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Posts in "Democrats"
August 5, 2014
Roll Call’s Politics Team provides live coverage and results on one of the biggest nights of the GOP primary season Tuesday with a large slate of tea party-vs.-business contests in Kansas and Michigan and a crowded race to replace retiring Washington Rep. Doc Hastings.
Get live numbers, analysis and reaction from the candidates and their campaigns, starting at 8 p.m. below:
August 4, 2014
Two House members have already lost their re-election in primaries this cycle — and it’s unlikely they will be the last with ruined plans to return to Congress.
Since the last edition of this ongoing feature, Rep. Ralph M. Hall, R-Texas, lost re-nomination, former House Majority Leader Eric Cantor was upset in his Virginia primary and Rep. Charles B. Rangel, D-N.Y., survived his primary by a small margin.
Roll Call’s latest edition of the “Top 10 Most Vulnerable House Members” shows several more incumbents in peril. Some of them face top-notch opponents, others are running in unfavorable districts; a couple members just don’t run good campaigns.
We’ll revise this list during the first week of each month through Election Day. For now, here are the 10 most vulnerable House members in alphabetical order:
Former Rep. Hansen Clarke’s hopes of returning to Congress in a definitive Tuesday primary might be just that for the Michigan Democrat — hopes.
He’s attempting to leverage his name recognition as a former one-term member, but Clarke’s top two Democratic rivals, state Rep. Rudy Hobbs and Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence, have major political heft behind their campaigns. Several of Clarke’s former colleagues have lined up behind his opponents, and others expressed doubt about his prospects of coming back to Congress.
“I wanted Hansen to come back, but Hansen didn’t get any labor endorsements,” said Rep. John Conyers Jr., D-Mich., who is neutral in the race, in between votes last week. “I think that that’s almost fatal.” Full story
July 31, 2014
The careers of Hawaii Sen. Brian Schatz and Gov. Neil Abercrombie have been linked for several years, but the Schatz campaign has worked for the past 18 months to ensure their political fates are not.
With the Aloha State Democratic primaries just a week away, it’s increasingly possible Schatz, the former lieutenant governor appointed by Abercrombie in December 2012, could win the Senate nomination, even as the governor loses his own re-nomination.
Schatz faces Rep. Colleen Hanabusa in the Aug. 9 contest, which both campaigns say is close.
Schatz hasn’t overtly run away from Abercrombie, whom he supports, but his campaign has focused squarely on the influence and accomplishments the freshman senator garnered in less than two years on Capitol Hill. The intent is to differentiate him from Hanabusa, with the added benefit of building a profile unique from his association with the unpopular governor. Full story
July 29, 2014
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel said those threats helped him raise $1 million in online contributions in 24 hours on Monday, mostly from small-dollar donors.
“The Republican strategy of lawsuits and approaching impeachment is fundamentally misfiring,” the New York Democrat said at a breakfast organized by the Christian Science Monitor. “It’s amassing resources for us.”
July 27, 2014
With 100 days to go until Election Day, Senate Republicans have plenty of reasons to be optimistic about winning the majority — but they also have grounds for concern.
After coming up short in 2010 and 2012, the GOP is unquestionably well positioned to finish the job this time. Republicans need to match their November 2010 score of six seats to take the majority, and the party has multiple paths to the finish line.
That’s thanks to a successful recruitment push that didn’t conclude until late February, and a playing field naturally tilted in the GOP’s direction — seven Democrat-held seats are in states President Barack Obama lost in 2012, six of those by double digits.
But, as optimistic as Republican operatives are heading into the final stretch, the GOP has reasons to restrain its confidence. With tens of millions of dollars of advertising already spent by outside groups on both sides, just one Democratic incumbent is, at this point, a solid underdog for re-election.
Reasons for Republicans to Be Optimistic Full story
July 25, 2014
The League of Conservation Voters is spending $380,000 on a TV ad campaign over the next two weeks to boost Hawaii Sen. Brian Schatz in the Aug. 9 Democratic primary.
Schatz, who was appointed to fill the seat of Daniel K. Inouye in December 2012, faces Rep. Colleen Hanabusa in the competitive nomination fight. They’re running to serve the remaining two years of Inouye’s term.
LCV’s first ad, which begins running Saturday, focuses on the threat of climate change to Hawaii and states Schatz is “holding corporate polluters who cause it accountable.” It also highlights the Honolulu Star-Advertiser’s recent endorsement of him. Full story
July 22, 2014
A new poll of likely voters in 12 Senate battleground states suggests a populist economic message and focus on women’s health issues could help Democrats improve their standing with unmarried women voters in advance of the midterm elections.
The poll was conducted by Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg’s Democracy Corps in collaboration with Women’s Voices Women Vote Action Fund, which focuses on increasing participation among unmarried women voters.
It found that Democratic candidates are currently underperforming with unmarried women voters, beating Republicans among the crucial demographic by just 11 points, compared to a 20-point gap in the 2010 midterms. But the poll also gave Democrats suggestions for messages that are most likely to resonate with this voting bloc.
“The movement in the races and in the states is really about the movement of unmarried women … based on hearing an economic agenda that resonates with their lives,” said Page Gardner, the founder of Women’s Voices Women Vote. Full story
July 21, 2014
Rep. Patrick Murphy’s campaign made its first ad buy Monday in Florida’s 18th District, reserving $1.4 million in cable and broadcast in the West Palm Beach-Treasure Coast media market, according to figures shared first with CQ Roll Call.
The Democrat’s buy runs through the summer and into the fall in this district, located in the northeast corner of Palm Beach County, according to his campaign.
The freshman is a fundraising powerhouse, bringing in $759,000 in the second quarter and reporting more than $2.6 million in cash on hand as of June 30.
July 18, 2014
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee moved Rep. Rick Nolan of Minnesota to its Frontline program — a reflection of growing concern over his re-election prospects.
The Frontline program is for House Democrats’ most vulnerable incumbents.
Nolan’s opponent for Minnesota’s 8th District is GOP businessman Stewart Mills. The move came after second-quarter campaign fundraising reports revealed that Mills raised more money than Nolan in April, May and June.
July 16, 2014
House Democrats don’t have much in their favor in the upcoming elections — except their bank accounts.
There’s a sour national political environment, a history of the president’s party losing seats in midterms and an unfavorable congressional map drawn mostly by Republicans. But less than four months before Election Day, it’s clear that House Democrats have a major financial advantage among their candidates and committees that is already translating to television airtime for the fall.
On average, Democrats in competitive House races have more than one-third more in the bank than their Republican opponents, according to a CQ Roll Call tabulation of the most recent fundraising reports due Tuesday to the Federal Election Commission. Across 59 House races considered remotely competitive by CQ Roll Call, Democratic candidates and incumbents had, on average, $955,000 in the bank, while Republicans had an average of $667,000 in the bank.
It’s unlikely Democrats can net the 17 seats necessary to take control of the House this November, so party operatives are trying to mitigate any massive losses this year as part of a long-term, multi-cycle plot to win the majority. Meanwhile, Republicans aim to extend their majority to a modern-history record of 245 seats — and they believe the financial gap could leave a handful of seats on the table this year. Full story
July 15, 2014
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee topped its Republican counterpart by $1.3 million in June fundraising and $5.6 million in the second quarter overall, according to figures released Tuesday.
The DCCC’s $10.9 million haul in June was bolstered by digital fundraising efforts tied to the Supreme Court decision on the Hobby Lobby case and Speaker John A. Boehner’s lawsuit against President Barack Obama. The committee ended June with $50.9 million in cash on hand, with four months left to go until the elections.
The National Republican Congressional Committee raised $9.6 million in June, according to The Associated Press, and ended June with $42.5 million on hand.
NRCC Chairman Greg Walden named Majority Whip-elect Steve Scalise of Louisiana and Reps. Kevin Brady of Texas, Erik Paulsen of Minnesota and John Shimkus of Illinois as the NRCCs “Battleground Program” chairmen. These members will serve as Walden’s top lieutenants to collect dues from their members.
Democrats hope to cut into the GOP’s 17-seat margin in the House.
July 10, 2014
Rep. John Barrow, a Georgia Democrat and perpetual GOP target, raised $580,000 in the second quarter, according to figures provided first to CQ Roll Call.
Barrow’s three-month haul brings his total cash on hand to $1.9 million as of June 30.
One of the most moderate Democrats in the House, Barrow is running for re-election in a district Mitt Romney carried by 12 points in 2012. He faces construction company owner Rick Allen, who earned the GOP nomination in a crowded May 20 primary. Full story
July 9, 2014
Rep. Kyrsten Sinema raised $582,000 in the second quarter — a hefty sum as the freshman Democrat awaits her GOP opponent in Arizona’s 9th District.
Sinema’s haul left her war chest at $1.59 million as of June 30, the last day of the second quarter.
Two Republicans are running in the Aug. 26 primary: retired Air Force Officer Wendy Rogers and former Arizona State University quarterback Andrew Walter.
Attorney Gwen Graham, a Democrat, raised $563,000 in the second quarter, adding to her war chest as she gears up for a competitive race in Florida’s 2nd District, according to numbers provided first to CQ Roll Call.
Graham’s haul brings her total cash on hand to $1.57 million in her race against GOP Rep. Steve Southerland II. At the end of the first quarter in March, Graham reported $1.4 million in the bank.
Southerland has yet to release his second-quarter numbers, which cover the period between April 1 and June 30. They are due to the Federal Election Commission on July 15. Southerland ended March with $1.18 million in the bank — a cash-on-hand disadvantage compared to Graham.