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February 11, 2016

Posts in "Demographics"

February 10, 2016

Redistricting Case Could Delay North Carolina’s Primary

UNITED STATES - JUNE 24: Rep. Renee Ellmers, R-N.C., speaks during a press conference outside the Capitol with members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee and members from the House Kentucky Delegation on the "Ratepayer Protection Act" on Wednesday, June 24, 2015. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Ellmers faces a March 15 primary, but there’s now speculation that will be pushed back because of redistricting litigation in North Carolina. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

By moving up all its primaries from May to March 15, North Carolina thought it would be playing a more pivotal role in this year’s presidential election. But a recent federal court ruling invalidating two of the state’s congressional districts threatens to delay this year’s earlier-than-normal primary and upend elections in which early voting is already under way.

A three-judge panel ruled on Feb. 5 that the GOP-legislature relied too heavily on race in 2011 to draw the 1st and 12th Districts. The court gave the state until Feb. 19 to draw new districts, and on Tuesday, the same court denied a request from the state to stay its decision.

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January 27, 2016

Survey: Cruz Attack on Trump Helps … Trump

Cruz, left, and Trump, right, are at the top of the GOP polls. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A new study suggests Cruz’s attacks on Trump might not be working. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A new survey suggests that a Ted Cruz ad attacking Donald Trump on his “New York values” only strengthens his appeal among blue-collar voters. Full story

January 13, 2016

Obama Tries to Build Bipartisan Redistricting Momentum

UNITED STATES - JANUARY 12 - President Barack Obama speaks during his final State of the Union to a joint session of Congress in the House Chamber on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, Jan. 12, 2016. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Obama called for bipartisan groups to take over redistricting during his final State of the Union. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Calling for a systematic change to American politics in Tuesday’s State of the Union, President Barack Obama gave a somewhat surprising shout-out to bipartisan redistricting reform.

“I think we’ve got to end the practice of drawing our congressional districts so that politicians can pick their voters and not the other way around,” he said, before going off script to add, “Let a bipartisan group do it.”

Advocates of redistricting reform were pleased to hear the president validate their issue, but they cautioned that sweeping change at the national level isn’t likely anytime soon. Full story

January 7, 2016

Judges Select New Virginia Congressional Map

Democrats are hoping that a redrawn 4th District will allow them to take on Forbes. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Virginia’s new map would make Forbes’ district more Democratic. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A federal three-judge panel selected a new congressional map for the 2016 elections Thursday.

The map is one of two proposed maps that a court-appointed special master — in this case a political science professor at University of California, Irvine — released in November 2015 that would give Democrats a shot at picking up another seat. Currently, Democrats hold three of the state’s 11 congressional seats. Full story

December 17, 2015

Democrats Look to Expand Map in Indiana — Just in Case

Democrats are hoping that the presidential race could grant them more openings at the congressional level, including in Walorski's district. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Democrats are hoping that the presidential race could grant them more openings at the congressional level, including in Walorski’s district. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Apart from the 7th District in the middle and the 1st District in the northwest, Indiana’s congressional map is entirely red.

But several Democrats are mounting challenges to GOP incumbents or going after an open seat currently held by a Republican — a sign that Democrats are looking to keep their options open should the presidential race make the state’s map more competitive.

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December 14, 2015

Before He Runs for Governor in 2017, Wittman Faces Uncertain District in 2016

UNITED STATES - MARCH 29: Rep. Robert Wittman, R-Va., speaks during the news conference on American Energy Initiative legislation to expand U.S. energy production on Tuesday morning, March 29, 2011. (Photo By Bill Clark/Roll Call)

Wittman is running for governor in 2017. (Bill Clark/Roll Call File Photo)

Virginia’s 1st District Rep. Rob Wittman announced over the weekend that he’s running for the GOP nomination for governor in 2017.

“Obviously our focus is on winning in 2016, but I am preparing for 2017,” Wittman told The Washington Post on Dec. 12.

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December 10, 2015

GOP’s Opportunity With Millennials in 2016 May Be ‘Waning’

The percent of millennials who would prefer to see a Democrat in the White House has increased since the spring. (SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images

The percent of millennials who would prefer to see a Democrat in the White House has increased since the spring. (SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images)

More than half of young Americans would prefer to see Democrats maintain control of the White House, according to the Harvard Institute of Politics’ most recent survey of 18- to 29-year-olds released Thursday.

The 56 percent support for Democrats holding the executive branch is substantially higher than the 36 percent who said they’d prefer a Republican to win the presidency, and it represents a 5 point increase in support for Democrats since the same question was asked in the spring. Full story

December 8, 2015

Trump Puts Republican Candidates in a Corner

NEW YORK, NY - NOVEMBER 03:  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a news conference before a public signing for his new book "Crippled America: How to Make America Great Again," at the Trump Tower Atrium on November 3, 2015 in New York City. According to a new poll, Ben Carson, the retired neurosurgeon, has pulled ahead of Trump with 29% of Republican primary voters.  (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Trump’s comments about Muslims have the GOP worried. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Republican congressional candidates have been slow to take a position on GOP presidential front-runner Donald Trump’s call for a “total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States.”

Trump has put Republican Senate candidates into the position of either addressing his comments and alienating Republicans who agree with Trump, or staying silent and hurting themselves with voters in the general election.

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December 7, 2015

Democrats Interested in Virginia’s Fuzzy 4th District Bide Their Time

Democrats are hoping that a redrawn 4th District will allow them to take on Forbes. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Democrats are hoping that a redrawn 4th District will allow them to take on Forbes. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Calls to political operatives on both sides of the aisle about Virginia’s congressional redistricting yield a similar response: uncertainty and confusion.

“I’ve told my members to sit tight and see where this thing goes with the courts,” 4th District Democratic Committee Chair Susan Rowland told Roll Call. 

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December 6, 2015

Democratic Challengers Make Gun Control a Security Issue

 (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

In the wake of terror attacks and mass shootings, Democrats are making their gun control argument more about national security. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Gun control has rarely been a winning general election issue for Democrats — and they know it. But the renewed focus on homeland security after the terror attacks in Paris and two mass shootings at home has given Democrats an opening to try to make it one. Full story

November 17, 2015

Poll Shows GOP Focused on Terrorism, Democrats on the Economy

UNITED STATES - NOVEMBER 16 - Capitol Police officers stand by an armored vehicle is seen on the east front of the U.S. Capitol in Washington on Monday, November 16, 2015. Security around Washington is ramped up after last week's shooting in Paris. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Capitol Police officers stand by an armored vehicle in front of the east front of the Capitol on Monday. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

The latest American Values Survey paints a picture of a mistrustful, world-weary electorate that’s pretty much had it with political dynasties, monolingual immigrants and political correctness in general.

Aside from the logical divide on who the two parties’ official standard-bearers will be, both sides are far apart on the most critical issues facing the nation, the poll shows.

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November 16, 2015

Two Senate Candidates Buck Parties on Syrian Refugees

Hassan joined with GOP governors calling on the federal government to stop accepting refugees from Syria until vetting "is as strong as possible." (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Hassan joined GOP governors calling on the federal government to stop accepting refugees from Syria until vetting “is as strong as possible.” (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan has the distinction of being the only Democratic governor so far to call on the federal government to stop accepting Syrian refugees.

At the same time, vulnerable Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin is one of the few Republicans who is not calling for a halt on Syrian immigrants.

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November 12, 2015

3 States Still Have Fuzzy District Lines for 2016

A court-appointed special master is currently redrawing Virginia's congressional map to address Scott's 3rd District. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A court-appointed special master is currently redrawing Virginia’s congressional map to address Scott’s 3rd District. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The filing deadline to run in North Carolina’s primaries is less than a month away. But with a redistricting case still outstanding, anyone interested in running for Congress can’t know for sure what district they’ll find themselves in.

The boundaries of the 1st and 12th districts have been challenged on the grounds that the GOP legislature packed too many black voters into those districts when they drew them in 2011.

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October 21, 2015

Why These 2 Coastal California Districts Stay Reliably Red

Rohrabacher, left, and Issa, right, are the only Republicans to hold seats on California's coastline. (CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rohrabacher, left, and Issa, right, are the only Republicans to hold seats on California’s coastline. (CQ Roll Call File Photo)

At first glance, almost the entirety of California’s picturesque coastline is represented by Democrats.

But two of the 14 districts along California’s 800 miles of Pacific Ocean real estate buck that trend. And strategists from both parties expect it to remain that way.

Full story

October 9, 2015

Congressman’s Ex-Wife Eyeing Challenge to Barbara Comstock

Comstock, seen here at an  Independence Day parade in 2014, is still without a Democratic challenger. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Comstock, seen here at an Independence Day parade in 2014, is still without a Democratic challenger. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated Oct. 13 | No Democrat has entered the race against freshman Virginia Rep. Barbara Comstock. But there’s a new recruit whose name may be familiar to Washington.

National Democrats are talking to businesswoman LuAnn Bennett, who is president of the District of Columbia-based Bennett Group, a real estate management firm. Bennett is also the third ex-wife of former Rep. James P. Moran, who represented Virginia’s 8th District until his retirement in 2015.

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