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August 1, 2015

Posts in "Demographics"

July 31, 2015

Democrats Hope Baron Hill Can Follow Donnelly’s Path to the Senate

Donnelly won in Indiana by 6 points in 2012. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Donnelly won in Indiana by 6 points in 2012. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Former Indiana Rep. Baron P. Hill’s road to the Senate won’t be any easy one, but Democrats think they have a roadmap to get him there.

Although Hill declared his candidacy in mid-May, in the middle of the 2nd quarter, he raised just $151,000 with $143,000 in the bank. That included a $2,700 donation from Indiana native son singer John Mellencamp. Meanwhile, Rep. Todd Young, one of three Republicans in the race, posted a $1 million haul in the 2nd quarter, before even declaring his Senate candidacy.

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July 29, 2015

Tech Experts: Expect Innovation, Investment on Established Platforms for 2016

Political tech experts expect investment in established platforms. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Two weeks before Scott Walker announced his presidential bid, he set up a Snapchat account so followers could get a behind-the-scenes look at the Wisconsin governor grilling brats and singing karaoke. When Hillary Rodham Clinton held her first major campaign rally of the cycle on Roosevelt Island in New York, she live-streamed it on Periscope so supporters could tune in from afar.

As candidates utilize the latest social media platforms ahead of the 2016 elections to expand their potential reach with voters, political and technology experts say they should be investing the most in the older guard (relatively speaking) technologies, led by email and established giants such as Facebook, Twitter and Google Ads. Full story

July 23, 2015

Ahead of Redraw, Virginia Republicans Jockey for Safe Seats

Brat is one of three Republicans whose district is most likely to change. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Brat is one of three Republicans whose district is most likely to change. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Virginia Democrats say their congressional map can’t get any worse.

In a state President Barack Obama carried twice, their party holds just three seats in the 11-member delegation. With a new round of redistricting coming up next month, the question now is which districts get rougher for Republicans. Full story

July 17, 2015

Failed but Not Forgotten, Linda McMahon Keeps Hand in GOP

NJ Governor Chris Christie Campaigns With Connecticut Senate Candidate Linda McMahon

McMahon campaigns with Christie in the closing weeks before her failed 2012 Senate run. (Getty Images file photo)

There was a time in 2012 when it looked like Connecticut might do what it had never done before: Elect a female senator.

WWE co-founder and former CEO Linda McMahon was investing tens of millions of dollars of her personal fortune trying to become the state’s first Republican senator in more than two decades.

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July 6, 2015

GOP Women’s Recruitment Effort Adapts for 2016

Ellmers was one of the founders of Project GROW. (File Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Ellmers was one of the founders of Project GROW. (File Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

The Republican women’s recruitment effort is experiencing some growing pains.

Project GROW (which stands for Growing Republican Opportunities for Women) was launched in 2013 to try to elect more GOP women to Congress. But with the historic Republican majority in the House, the effort has a big challenge to address in its second cycle: limited room to grow.

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June 29, 2015

Voting-Rights Advocates Get Win at Supreme Court

Monday’s big election law news came from the Supreme Court’s penultimate decision of the term upholding Arizona’s congressional districts.

But before handing down its last three decisions, the court made voting-rights advocates happy by deciding not to review a different election case.

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June 23, 2015

Parties Gear Up for Crucial Test in Only Competitive Texas District

 

Hurd is one of two African American Republicans in Congress. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Hurd, left, is one of two African-American Republicans in the House. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The districts that are expected to provide true, edge-of-your-seat general election excitement this cycle are few and far between. One of the biggest — in size and importance — is Texas’ 23rd.

Aside from being Texas’ only competitive race, the district is “also important because it signals an ability for each party to compete,” said Progress Texas Executive Director Ed Espinoza.

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June 19, 2015

GOP Pollster to Christian Group: Balance Ideology With Electability

Public Opinion Strategies

Bolger said Republicans will have to quickly rally around their presidential candidate if the nominating process stretches into the summer. (File Photo by Tom Williams/Roll Call).

A top Republican pollster on Friday stressed to a gathering of the Christian right the need for an electable Republican presidential nominee, saying a nominee who can beat Hillary Rodham Clinton is a top priority among Republican voters.

With a wide open Republican field, Glen Bolger told the Faith and Freedom Coalition’s Road to Majority Conference his research shows that for GOP voters, electability might outweigh how close a candidate aligns to their values.

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May 1, 2015

Koch-Backed Conservative Group Seeks to Woo Latinos

Castro, D-Texas, speaks to a reporter after a press conference at the House Triangle on many democrat's desire to bring an immigration reform bill up for a vote in the House. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Conservatives are making a bid for Hispanic voters, but Democrats such as Castro are skeptical. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A Koch brothers-backed group is making a new push to persuade Hispanics to vote for conservative candidates in the 2016 elections.

As reported by The Washington Post, the LIBRE Initiative, started in 2011 and is based in Texas, is now active in nine states, and, after having a modest presence in the 2014 elections, aims to make a big play for the Latino vote next year. Full story

April 9, 2015

Democrats Considering Female Comstock Challengers

Comstock is a top target in 2016. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Which Democrat will challenge Comstock? (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Virginia Democrats are narrowing in on a handful of female candidates to take on freshman Rep. Barbara Comstock.

Comstock, already a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee target for 2016, won the open seat to replace GOP Rep. Frank R. Wolf, her former boss, by 16 points in 2014. But given the swing nature of her northern Virginia district and the higher turnout expected in a presidential year, Democrats say if they’re going to take the seat, this is the time.

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October 10, 2014

Steve King Tops NumbersUSA Scorecard

NumbersUSA likes what it sees in King. (Tom WIlliams/CQ Roll Call)

NumbersUSA, the conservative group that wants to reduce immigration, has graded members of Congress on its signature issue and its scorecard sees an institution with overall average marks.

The downloadable survey lists yes-or-no questions on topics, such as whether a member supports reducing “unnecessary foreign workers” and reducing “anchor baby citizenship.” The Senate got a “C,” while the House scored a “C-,” bringing the overall congressional score to “C.”

Rep. Steve King, R-Iowa, had the highest score of any member of Congress, 98 percent, good for an “A+.” Eighteen members, all Republicans, scored in the “A+” category, which had a range of being simpatico with 95-100 percent of NumbersUSA’s positions. Seven Democrats and six Republicans scored an “F-.” Rep. John Barrow of Georgia was the highest-scoring Democrat, getting an 89 percent on the scorecard, or an “A-.”

Roll Call Election Map: Race Ratings for Every Seat

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August 28, 2014

Romanoff Courts Latinos Crucial to Colorado Race

Romanoff, left, toured the theater that caters to the Latino community. Becerra joined the Democratic House candidate on the campaign trail. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Aurora, Colo. — Outside the Cinema Latino as he campaigned against Rep. Mike Coffman, Democratic House hopeful Andrew Romanoff outlines his strategy for winning over Hispanic voters critical to his chances in the Nov. 4 contest.

Romanoff told CQ Roll Call he is optimistic turnout will be high, thanks in part to a state law passed last year to allow same-day registration and voting, as well as a requirement every voters is automatically sent mail-in ballots.

“Those two things — universal mail-in balloting, Election Day registration — will increase turnout and that’s good not just for my campaign…but I think for democracy,” said Romanoff, the former state house speaker.

To win here, Democrats need Latinos to vote. Romanoff, who speaks fluent Spanish, has been trying to win over the community as he battles Coffman in a race The Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call rate a Tossup.

That’s one reason why on this summer day his campaign has reached out Cinema Latino’s management team for a tour. He lauded the business owners as working to “maximize their connection to the community.” Romanoff has visited a few dozen small- and medium-sized businesses as he tries to win over voters in the 6th District in the central part of the Centennial State. Full story

June 2, 2014

Report: Attitudes Changing Toward Female Candidates

As top female candidates around the country vie for competitive Senate and House seats in 2014, a report released Monday outlines key opportunities and challenges facing women who run for office.

Keys to Elected Office: The Essential Guide for Women, a report from the Barbara Lee Family Foundation, outlines shifting perceptions of female candidates. The report cautioned that women still face unique challenges running for office, but the authors also offered promising news for female politicians on voters’ perception of their economic acumen and non-traditional qualifications.

Foundation President Barbara Lee said the foundation’s research “applies to women running for office at every level,” though it focuses on women running for governor.

In the midterms, female candidates are running in some of the most high-profile races around the country, including Alison Lundergan Grimes’ challenge to Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in Kentucky and state Sen. Joni Ernst’s Senate bid in Iowa. According to the Center for American Women and Politics, 24 women are still in the running for Senate and 220 for House this cycle. Women currently hold 19 percent of seats in Congress. Full story

February 3, 2014

Senate Democrats Backed Obama On Overwhelming Number of 2013 Votes, CQ Roll Call Vote Studies Show

Every vulnerable Senate Democrat up for re-election in 2014 voted with President Barack Obama at least 90 percent of the time in 2013, according to CQ Roll Call’s latest vote studies, released Monday.

Arkansas Democrat Mark Pryor broke with the president most often, opposing him in 10 percent of all 2013 votes where the administration stated a preferred outcome. Sens. Mark Begich, D-Alaska, Mary Landrieu, D-La. and Kay Hagan, D-N.C., voted for Obama’s position 97, 97, and 96 percent of the time, respectively. Of those four, only Begich serves with a Republican who has bucked the GOP to back Obama with any frequency. (See our Jan. 21 story.)

Support for Obama’s initiatives from incumbent Democrats who are favored but not safe was just as high if not higher than from vulnerable members: Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire and Mark Warner of Virginia supported the president in 99 and 97 percent of votes.

On the flip side, Republican senators who are wary of primary challengers from the right opposed Obama so often that the president’s support from GOP senators in 2013 — 40 percent — was the lowest of his five years in office. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., opposed Obama 67 percent of the time. Sens. Pat Roberts, R-Kan., Thad Cochran, R-Miss., Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., and John Cornyn, R-Texas, opposed the Obama position on 66, 50, 48 and 66 percent of votes respectively.

Full story

January 15, 2014

Republican Announces Bid for Gerlach Seat in Pennsylvania (Updated)

Updated 4:20 p.m. | Ryan Costello, chairman of the Chester County Board of Commissioners, announced Wednesday that he will seek the GOP nomination in Pennsylvania’s newly open 6th District.

Costello is the first Republican to announce a bid for the Keystone State seat, which is being vacated by GOP Rep. Jim Gerlach. The six-term congressman announced his retirement last week.

State Sen. John Rafferty is also eyeing a bid, Republican operatives say.

Full story

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