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August 20, 2014

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October 3, 2012

DCCC Cancels Three Weeks of Buys in Seats It Feels Are Safe

House Democrats have canceled advertisement buys in three House races where the party’s nominee is on a clear path to victory.

In Arizona’s 2nd district, New Mexico’s 1st district and Florida’s 26th district, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee cut its weeklong reservation starting Oct. 18, according to a Democratic source with firsthand knowledge of the changes.

Campaign committees continue to shuffle funds among House races, often moving resources away from hopeless campaigns to more competitive ones in the weeks leading up to Election Day. But committee officials argue these cancellations target races where they are sure the Democrat will prevail:

  • In Arizona’s 2nd district, the DCCC canceled $85,000 worth of  Tucson broadcast television. Rep. Ron Barber (D) faces retired Air Force Col. Martha McSally (R) in this district, which Roll Call rates as Likely Democratic.
  • In New Mexico’s 1st district, the DCCC canceled $135,000 worth of Albuquerque broadcast television. Bernalillo County Commissioner Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) and former state Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R) are vying for this open seat, which Roll Call rates as Safe Democratic.
  • In Florida’s 26th district, the DCCC canceled $280,000 worth of Miami broadcast television. Rep. David Rivera (R) is reportedly under federal investigation (although the Congressman denies any wrongdoing). Polls show the Republican trailing his opponent, former Miami-Dade Democratic Party Chairman Joe Garcia (D). Roll Call rates this race as Leans Democratic.

The National Republican Congressional Committee had not reserved any airtime for these three House races.

Earlier this week, the DCCC trimmed $260,000 in ad time in another safe seat: Rep. Tim Walz’s district. Roll Call rates this race as Safe Democratic.

September 10, 2012

New Mexico: Martin Heinrich Up 7 Points in Senate Poll

New Mexico: Martin Heinrich Up 7 Points in Senate Poll

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) held a 7-point lead in the state’s open-seat Senate race and Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) led by 12 points in the race to replace Heinrich in the House, according to a new independent poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal.

Heinrich led former Rep. Heather Wilson (R), 49 percent to 42 percent, and Lujan Grisham led Janice Arnold-Jones (R) in the Albuquerque-based 1st district, 46 percent to 34 percent.

The polls were conducted Sept. 3-6 by Research & Polling. The Senate poll included a sample of 667 likely voters with a 3.8-point margin of error. The 1st district poll surveyed 409 likely voters with a 4.8-point margin of error.

In the state’s two less competitive Congressional districts, Reps. Steve Pearce (R) and Ben Ray Luján (D) each led by 26 points over their respective challengers.

June 6, 2012

New Mexico: Michelle Lujan Grisham Wins 1st District Democratic Primary

Bernalillo County Commissioner Michelle Lujan Grisham won New Mexico’s 1st district Democratic primary and is now favored to be the next Representative for the Albuquerque-based seat.

In a three-way primary that got nasty in the closing weeks, Lujan Grisham won with 40 percent of the vote, followed by state Sen. Eric Griego with 35 percent and former Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez with 25 percent. Full story

May 30, 2012

New Mexico: Eric Griego Fires Back After Michelle Lujan Grisham Ad

New Mexico state Sen. Eric Griego is slamming his 1st district Democratic primary opponent, Michelle Lujan Grisham, in a new TV ad set to be released today.

With less than a week to go until the primary, the ad comes in response to an attack ad Lujan Grisham leveled against Griego. Both candidates have been neck and neck in public and private polling, with former Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez in third place.

The Griego ad is part of a large ad buy and directs its focus to Lujan Grisham’s time as director of the New Mexico Agency on Aging and as state secretary of Health. It cites a U.S. Justice Department investigation into the Fort Bayard Medical Center.

Full story

May 22, 2012

New Mexico: Internal Polls Illustrate Tight Race for Democratic Nod

Two new internal polls in New Mexico’s 1st district illustrate how tight the battle for the Democratic nomination is with just two weeks to go.

Former Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez, state Sen. Eric Griego and Bernalillo County Commissioner Michelle Lujan Grisham are running in the June 5 Democratic primary. The winner will be favored to hold the Albuquerque-based seat, which Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) is vacating to run for Senate. Full story

May 16, 2012

New Mexico: Bill Clinton Robocalls For Marty Chávez

President Bill Clinton is making his presence felt in yet another Democratic House primary.

Full story

April 10, 2012

Fundraising: Campaigns Begin to Release Numbers

Crowing campaigns are beginning to leak their first-quarter fundraising numbers. Generally, any campaign releasing its fundraising numbers this early is happy with its totals. Reports must be postmarked by midnight Sunday.

  • Mo. Senate: Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) raised $2.3 million and has about $6 million in cash on hand.
  • Wis. Senate: Former Rep. Mark Neumann (R) raised $650,000. Although his campaign did not release cash on hand, the campaign noted that none of the money came “from Neumann himself.” Full story

April 9, 2012

New Jersey: Steven Rothman Barely Beats Bill Pascrell in Quarterly Money Chase

New Jersey: Steven Rothman Barely Beats Bill Pascrell in Quarterly Money Chase

Rep. Steven Rothman (above) just barely outraised fellow Rep. Bill Pascrell in the first quarter. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

In New Jersey’s hotly contested Member-vs.-Member Democratic primary, Rep. Steven Rothman narrowly outraised Rep. Bill Pascrell by about $30,000 in the first quarter. Rothman “raised over $540,000,” while Pascrell raised “approximately $510,000,” according to campaign press releases.

As for cash on hand, Rothman had just less than $1.8 million. Pascrell’s campaign did not release its cash total. At year’s end, Pascrell had $1.5 million in the bank, versus Rothman’s $1.7 million.

Full story

March 20, 2012

New Mexico: Dan Lewis Drops Bid for 1st District

Albuquerque City Councilor Dan Lewis has dropped out of the open 1st district race in New Mexico.

Lewis’ exit leaves former state Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones and retired Army Sgt. Gary Smith as the only Republicans vying for the seat of Rep. Martin Heinrich (D), who is running for Senate. Full story

March 12, 2012

New Mexico: Balderas, Griego Headline Convention

New Mexico: Balderas, Griego Headline Convention

State Sen. Eric Griego was No. 1 among 1st district candidates at New Mexico’s Democratic Party convention. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Senate candidate Hector Balderas outperformed expectations, and state Sen. Eric Griego finished on top among 1st district candidates over the weekend at New Mexico’s Democratic Party convention to decide primary ballot position. Full story

January 31, 2012

FEC for Lunch: Winners, Losers and Noteworthy Reports

During our lunch hour, the Roll Call politics team scoured fundraising reports filed with the Federal Election Commission and press releases that landed in our inboxes. Here’s our roundup of the winners and losers, as well as some noteworthy reports on this year-end filing day:

Winners:

  • IN-05: On the morning of Rep. Dan Burton’s (R-Ind.) retirement announcement, former U.S. attorney Susan Brooks reported raising $107,500 and had $325,000 in the bank. Her chief competition for the GOP nod, former Rep. David McIntosh, has not filed his report yet. But Brooks brought in much more than the other Republicans who lined up to challenge Burton. She also has a head start on state Sen. Mike Delph, a former Burton aide, if he jumps into the race before the Feb. 10 filing deadline. (via @shiratoeplitz) Full story

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