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All’s fair in love and … House races? Not so much.
Less than three weeks before Election Day, would-be safe incumbents such as Reps. Lee Terry, R-Neb., and Brad Schneider, D-Ill., are scrambling to win in partisan districts — while these 10 members are headed for victory in otherwise competitive districts.
Some are blessed with luck. Others create it for themselves. It’s your call which is which.
Here are the luckiest — er, slickest — incumbents of 2014, in alphabetical order: Full story
House Minority Whip Steny H. Hoyer has jam-packed several campaigning events and fundraisers over recess on behalf of House candidates.
The Maryland Democrat’s tour will take him to Michigan, Ohio and Massachusetts, where he will campaign and fundraise for a handful of House contenders and one incumbent over the next few days.
Hoyer is only campaigning for challengers who have made the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s Jumpstart program, according to a release from his leadership PAC, AmeriPAC. Candidates in Jumpstart have received the committee’s de facto seal of approval.
Here are the districts where Hoyer is scheduled to campaign on Wednesday and Friday: Full story
The candidate: Democrat Jennifer Garrison, former state lawmaker.
The member: Two-term Rep. Bill Johnson, a Republican from Ohio.
The state: In 2012, GOP nominee Mitt Romney carried the district with 55 percent.
The candidate’s team: Charlie Hale (campaign manager), Mark Riddle (senior adviser), The Campaign Group (media consultant), Benenson Strategy Group (pollster), New Partners (research), New Blue Interactive (digital strategist)
Former state Rep. Jennifer Garrison said any campaign help from President Barack Obama would not help her chances of winning the 6th District in southeastern Ohio.
“Obama isn’t very popular in my part of the state, and I respect the office of the presidency of the United States,” Garrison said in an Oct. 8 interview with CQ Roll Call. “But I suspect that the president would not be campaigning for someone unless he thought that would be helpful, and in my case it probably would not.” Full story
The National Republican Congressional Committee will announce it has raised $3 million total for the 20 vulnerable incumbents through its Patriot program, according to figures provided first to Roll Call.
On Thursday, House Republican leaders hosted their second “Patriot Day” of the cycle — a fundraising event that contributed to that $3 million total. The Patriot program provides resources to the party’s most vulnerable House members for their re-election efforts, including fundraising and communications support.
Republican incumbents in the Patriot program include: Full story
The National Republican Congressional Committee will announce Monday that it has added nine members to its vulnerable incumbent program for the 2014 cycle, according to information provided exclusively to CQ Roll Call.
The Patriot program provides fundraising and communications support to incumbents who meet certain NRCC benchmarks in their re-election campaigns. The nine Patriot program additions join 11 House Republicans whom the NRCC already deemed vulnerable.
Former state Rep. Jennifer Garrison announced Monday that she will challenge GOP Rep. Bill Johnson for his conservative, southeast Ohio district.
“Both political parties have not focused enough on jobs, job security, and the kitchen table issues that our neighbors and families face everyday,” Garrison said in a release. Full story
Former Rep. Charlie Wilson’s (D) campaign released new internal polling numbers today showing him with a 6-point lead over freshman Rep. Bill Johnson (R).
Wilson led Johnson 49 percent to 43 percent in the poll paid for by the Democrat’s campaign.
These numbers come one day after Republicans released their own late-September survey giving the Congressman an 8-point advantage over Wilson. Then again, a mid-September survey from Wilson’s campaign showed a tied race.
Is your head spinning yet? The two polls also paint different pictures of the presidential race in this conservative, coal country district in eastern Ohio:
Wilson’s recent poll showed Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama by a single point, 48 percent to 47 percent, according to a campaign aide. Johnson’s poll gave Romney a larger lead, 53 percent to 39 percent.
In 2008, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) would have won this redrawn 6th district with about 53 percent of the vote.
Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican.
Anzalone Liszt Research conducted Wilson’s poll of 500 likely general election voters Oct. 8-10. The margin of error is 4.4 points.
See Wilson’s full polling memo after the jump:
Rep. Bill Johnson (R) led former Rep. Charlie Wilson (D) by 8 points in their rematch of the 2010 race, according to a GOP survey released today.
Johnson had 47 percent and Wilson had 39 percent in the survey paid for jointly by the freshman lawmaker and the National Republican Congressional Committee.
The results counter Wilson’s own mid-September polling that showed a tied race. Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican.
The 6th district race has become one of the most competitive House races in Ohio, next to the Member-vs.-Member race in the 16th district. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee dedicated additional resources to the 6th district race two weeks ago. Full story
The campaign of former Rep. Charlie Wilson (D) released a poll Tuesday showing him in a dead heat with freshman Rep. Bill Johnson (R).
Wilson tied Johnson at 46 percent, with 8 percent of the electorate still undecided, according to the Democrat’s internal campaign survey.
Wilson, a two-term Democrat, lost re-election in 2010 to Johnson in a marginally Republican district.
But Buckeye State Republicans redrew the district to include more GOP voters when they overhauled the state’s Congressional map last year after reapportionment.
Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican.
The Anzalone Liszt Research survey sampled 500 likely 2012 voters Sept. 9-12 and had a 4.4-point margin of error.