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February 11, 2016

Posts in "Maine-2"

February 3, 2016

Owens, Mills Outraising Incumbents in Rematches

UNITED STATES - OCTOBER 9: Rep. Mia Love, R-Utah, runs down the House steps barefoot as she leaves the Capitol for the Columbus Day recess after final votes on Friday Oct. 9, 2015. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Love’s Democratic challenger outraised her by $25,000. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

In Utah’s ‘Safe Republican‘ territory, where Democrat Doug Owens is again vying for the 4th District seat he lost by 5 points in 2014, he is one of the rare rematch candidates to have raised more than the incumbent.

Freshman Republican Rep. Mia Love has been looking to solidify her hold in a district Mitt Romney carried by 37 points in 2012. She brought in $325,000 in the final three months of 2015, and spent $302,000 of it, leaving her with $781,000 in the bank. But Owens raised $350,000, spending only $135,000, and has $500,000 in the bank.

Wealthy Minnesota businessman Stewart Mills is making a second attempt to unseat the Democratic congressman who defeated him by a point and a half in 2014. Mills’ 4th-quarter fundraising report shows him raising $258,000 for his bid for the 8th District. That’s more than Rep. Rick Nolan’s $187,000, even excluding Mills’ $11,000 contribution to his own campaign. Nolan still has some $400,000 more in the bank.

In another House rematch, vulnerable New Hampshire Republican Frank Guinta was outraised by his Democratic opponent. Guinta, however, has been in hot water for campaign finance violations, and his Democratic opponent, Carol Shea-Porter, is a former member of Congress.

Shea-Porter raised $211,000 to Guinta’s $71,000. Although Guinta maintains a cash-on-hand advantage over Shea-Porter, he’ll have to make it through a primary before facing Democratic competition. His primary opponent, businessman Dan Innis, also outraised him, though by only about $20,000.

It’s much more typical, of course, for rematch challengers to lag in fundraising. That’s been the case in Maine’s 2nd District, where freshman GOP Rep. Bruce Poliquin, a member of the Financial Services Committee, has consistently raised more than Democrat Emily Cain, whom he defeated by 5 points in 2014. But only $61,000 separated their 4th quarter fundraising hauls. Thanks to a hefty 1st quarter haul, Poliquin’s cash on hand total still dwarfs Cain’s.

The same has been true in Texas’ 23rd District, the site of a rematch between Democratic former Rep. Pete Gallego and freshman GOP Rep. Will Hurd. Gallego raised $224,000 and has $424,000 in the bank. Hurd, as he has throughout the cycle, raised more, taking in $312,000 and leaving him with over $1 million in the bank.

In Illinois’ 10th District, Democratic former Rep. Brad Schneider has been raising serious money in his bid to take back the 10th District seat from Republican Rep. Robert J. Dold, but Dold is still raising more. The Republican raised $464,000 compared to Schneider’s $391,000. Dold also has more cash on hand.

Incumbency isn’t always a fundraising advantage. A number of challengers in competitive or closely-watched House races that aren’t rematches upended the incumbency-advantage narrative in the 3rd quarter. In Iowa’s 1st District, for example, Democrat Monica Vernon raised more than freshman Republican Rep. Rod Blum, one of the most vulnerable members of the House. She did so again in the 4th quarter.

In New Jersey’s 5th District, former Bill Clinton speech writer Josh Gottheimer again raised more than longtime GOP Rep. Scott Garrett, who angered some Republicans, including his Wall Street allies, when he said in July he wouldn’t contribute to the NRCC because of the committee’s support of gay candidates.

Tennessee GOP Rep. Scott DesJarlais has been outraised before; he barely won his 2014 primary and is facing what some have described as a more daunting challenger in young Republican Grant Starrett this year. Starrett again outraised DesJarlais this quarter, although Starrett’s $92,000 4th quarter haul is less impressive than the $733,000 haul (including a $227,000 personal loan) he reported in his first fundraising report.

The 4th quarter saw several challengers post higher numbers than incumbents for the first time. In Michigan’s 7th District, for example, Democratic state Sen. Gretchen Driskell raised more than four-term Republican Tim Walberg. Walberg only raised a few thousand dollars more than Driskell in the previous quarter, but his cash on hand has now grown to more than $1 million, while Driskell has only $604,000 in the bank.

California Republican Steve Knight’s fundraising got off to a rough start this cycle. He took in only $29,000 during the first quarter of 2015, but as a member of the National Republican Congressional Committee’s Patriot Program for vulnerable members, he got a significant boost in the 2nd quarter, posting an impressive $405,000 haul. He slipped again in the 3rd quarter, though, raising just $77,000. In the final quarter of 2015, his haul returned to the six-figures. But Democratic attorney Bryan Caforio, who got in the race in December, managed to raise $35,000 more in less time.

Contact Pathé at simonepathe@rollcall.com and follow her on Twitter at @sfpathe.

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January 8, 2016

Before Donald Trump, There Was Maine’s Paul LePage

LePage, shown here in 2013, is again garnering national media attention.  (John Ewing/Portland Press Herald via Getty Images)

LePage, shown here in 2013, is again garnering national media attention. (John Ewing/Portland Press Herald via Getty Images)

It’s not unusual for Maine Gov. Paul LePage’s comments to make national news.

The two-term Maine Republican has a penchant for speaking off the cuff in a similar tell-it-like-it-is manner as the presidential candidate whom he’s endorsed, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie.

But his most recent comments sound a lot more like current GOP front-runner Donald Trump, earning LePage — who as recently as Thursday said he was thinking “very seriously” about running for Senate in 2018 — more national attention. Full story

October 17, 2015

Incumbency Isn’t Always an Advantage in Fundraising

insurgent-cash-flows-2

Because of the advantages of the office, senators tend to raise more than their primary and general election challengers. But not always.

Especially if the challenger also holds federal elected office or has previously.

Full story

October 7, 2015

Three Races in Which Export-Import Bank Could Be an Issue

Walberg opposes reauthorization of the Export-Import Bank, and his Democratic opponent is ready to make it an issue in Michigan's  7th District. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Walberg opposes reauthorization of the Export-Import Bank, and his Democratic opponent is ready to make it an issue in Michigan’s 7th District. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 11:20 a.m. | In a handful of competitive races around the country, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and its recruits intend to make an issue of the Export-Import Bank charter’s lapse, especially now that large American corporations are blaming Congress for lost contracts and American jobs.

The jobs General Electric will create overseas either already exist or would have been created in Maine, New York, Texas and South Carolina.

Full story

Little-Understood Export-Import Bank Becomes Politically Significant

Poliquin hasn't announced an official position on the bank. Above, he participates in the House Financial Services Committee on the bank in June. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Poliquin hasn’t announced an official position on the bank. Above, he participates in the House Financial Services Committee on the bank in June. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 11:30 a.m. | No politician wants to be accused of jeopardizing jobs in his or her state.

That’s the corner GOP Rep. Bruce Poliquin found himself in this fall, when Democrats attacked him for being out of touch with his district on reauthorization of the Export-Import Bank.

Full story

August 4, 2015

Joe Baldacci Complicates Cain’s Challenge to Poliquin in Maine

Cain will have to win a primary before facing off in a rematch against Poliquin. (Meredith Dake/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Cain will have to win a primary before facing Poliquin in a rematch. (Meredith Dake/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

New England’s only tossup election got a little more complicated last week, when Maine’s Joe Baldacci, the brother of former Gov. John Baldacci, filed to run as a Democrat in the 2nd District.

Democrats’ anointed candidate, former state Sen. Emily Cain, who lost by 5 points to Rep. Bruce Poliquin last November, has been in the race since March.

Full story

June 1, 2015

EMILY’s List Targets 15 Republicans for 2016

Schriock is the president of EMILY's List. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Schriock is the president of EMILY’s List. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

EMILY’s List put 15 GOP incumbents “On Notice” for their re-election bids Monday, naming its top GOP targets for 2016, according to a release provided first to CQ Roll Call.

The group, which backs women who support abortion rights, says each incumbent has a bad record on women’s health issues, and will make it a priority to find female recruits to challenge them next fall. The list is almost identical to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s top targets in 2016, when the party will seek to put a dent in Republicans’ historic House majority.

Full story

May 20, 2015

Why This Vulnerable Freshman Is Surprising People

Poliquin is making a name for himself in Washington . (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Poliquin might be vulnerable, but he’s making a name for himself in Washington anyway. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

He may be new to the halls of Congress, but when the Energizer Bunny pauses, it’s not for long.

Ray-Bans shading his eyes, Maine Rep. Bruce Poliquin stood on his tip-toes after votes one recent afternoon to whisper in the ear of a guard outside the House chamber. The freshman needed directions.

Full story

April 1, 2015

The Year of the Rematch

Shea-Porter is contemplating a fourth rematch in New Hampshire. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Shea-Porter is contemplating a fourth House race rematch in New Hampshire’s 1st District. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Former Democratic Rep. Carol Shea-Porter is seriously considering a run for Congress in New Hampshire’s 1st District in 2016 — setting up the possibility of yet another House rematch this cycle.

“I am so grateful to all of you who have been also asking me to run again for the United States House of Representatives,” Shea-Porter said recently in an email to supporters obtained by CQ Roll Call. “I received 48.2% of the vote in a very tough cycle, which mean we can win the seat in 2016 when more voters turn out. My team and I are hard at work looking at everything, and I will send you an email when a decision is made.”

Full story

March 3, 2015

Democrat Back for Rematch With Freshman Republican

Cain announced a rematch for 2016. (Meredith Dake/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Former state Sen. Emily Cain is back for a second round against Maine Rep. Bruce Poliquin, the Republican who defeated her for an open seat last year.

Democrats worked hard to recruit Cain for a rematch in the northern Maine-based 2nd District, which President Barack Obama carried by 9 points in 2012. House leadership, including Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, brought Cain to Capitol Hill in December, seeking to convince her to run.

Full story

DCCC Robocalls Target GOP on DHS Funding

Luján is chairman of the DCCC. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee will launch robocalls against more than two dozen House Republicans Tuesday over the Department of Homeland Security funding flap, according to a script of the call provided first to CQ Roll Call.

Many of the 29 targeted Republicans represent districts atop the DCCC’s list of pick up opportunities in 2016. Democrats must net 30 seats to win control of the House.

Full story

February 13, 2015

Exclusive: NRCC Announces 12 Members in Patriot Program

Walden of Oregon is the NRCC chairman in 2016. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The National Republican Congressional Committee announced 12 members will kick-start its Patriot Program for the House GOP’s most vulnerable incumbents, according to a news release provided first to CQ Roll Call.

Eleven of the members were elected in 2014, when Republicans made huge gains across the country. The 12 members represent districts where Democrats typically perform well in presidential cycles, making them top targets in 2016.

Full story

December 3, 2014

Democratic Leaders Court Candidate for House Rematch

emily cain

House Democrats are recruiting Cain for another bid. (Meredith Dake/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 8:22 p.m. | Former Maine state Sen. Emily Cain is on Capitol Hill this week being recruited by House leadership to run again in 2016.

According to a Democratic source, Cain is meeting Wednesday and Thursday with Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, Minority Whip Steny H. Hoyer and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Ben Ray Luján to discuss a potential rematch with GOP Rep.-elect Bruce Poliquin.

Poliquin beat Cain by 5 points in the open-seat race for the 2nd District, located in the northern half of the Pine Tree State.

Full story

By Emily Cahn Posted at 4:46 p.m.
DCCC, Democrats, Maine-2

November 18, 2014

The One-Term Caucus? Top House Targets in 2016

house races

Poliquin arrives last week for check-in for new members. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

They haven’t even been sworn in yet, but these members start off the cycle as underdogs in their quests for re-election in 2016.

Most of 2016’s initial targets are incoming Republicans, swept into office in a GOP midterm wave. They will represent districts Democrats carried with big margins in presidential election years — seats the newly minted Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Ben Ray Luján will probably want back. Only one vulnerable Democrat made this list.

What’s more, the window for either party to oust these freshman could close quickly. It’s easier to defeat an incumbent in their first re-election, before they solidify a stronghold on the seat.

In alphabetical order, here are the incoming members who start the 2016 cycle as underdogs:

Full story

November 13, 2014

Democrats Eyeing 5 House Race Rematches in 2016

house democrats

House Democrats want Horsford to run for the Nevada seat he lost this month. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

There’s no rest for the weary at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi has yet to name the new committee chairman for 2016, but the DCCC is already getting a jump on recruiting during the final days of New York Rep. Steve Israel’s tenure.

On Thursday morning, Israel held the first 2016 recruitment meeting since Election Day. He named two northeastern congressional districts as top targeting opportunities, and party strategists are readying for at least five rematches from 2014, according to a committee aide. Full story

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