Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
July 29, 2015

Posts in "N.Y.-11"

June 1, 2015

EMILY’s List Targets 15 Republicans for 2016

Schriock is the president of EMILY's List. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Schriock is the president of EMILY’s List. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

EMILY’s List put 15 GOP incumbents “On Notice” for their re-election bids Monday, naming its top GOP targets for 2016, according to a release provided first to CQ Roll Call.

The group, which backs women who support abortion rights, says each incumbent has a bad record on women’s health issues, and will make it a priority to find female recruits to challenge them next fall. The list is almost identical to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s top targets in 2016, when the party will seek to put a dent in Republicans’ historic House majority.

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May 15, 2015

NRCC Adds Another Member to Program for Vulnerable Incumbents

Donovan is a top Democratic target in 2016. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Donovan is a top Democratic target in 2016. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

The National Republican Congressional Committee added newly minted Rep. Dan Donovan to its Patriot program Friday, signaling to its donor base that the New Yorker is among the GOP’s most vulnerable House incumbents in 2016.

The Patriot program provides organizational and fundraising support to the House GOP’s most endangered members.

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May 5, 2015

Dan Donovan Wins Special Election to Succeed Michael Grimm

Voters in Staten Island elected a successor to Grimm. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Voters in Staten Island elected a successor to Grimm. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Republican Dan Donovan easily won a special election in New York’s 11th District Tuesday night, solidifying his role as the successor to disgraced ex-Rep. Michael G. Grimm.

The Staten Island district attorney defeated his Democratic opponent, New York City Councilman Vincent Gentile, 58 percent to 41 percent, with 72 percent of precincts reporting, according to The Associated Press. With his victory, the seat stays in GOP hands.

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Democrats Look Past Tuesday’s New York Special Election

Voters will elect a Grimm successor Tuesday. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Republican Daniel Donovan is expected to cruise to victory Tuesday in the special election to replace disgraced former Rep. Michael G. Grimm, R-N.Y.

Despite the apparent opportunity for Democrats stemming from Grimm’s resignation in January, after the three-term Republican pleaded guilty to tax fraud, national Democrats did not see a path to victory and spent almost nothing to aid their party’s candidate, New York City Councilman Vincent Gentile. Full story

April 24, 2015

Republican Wins Money Race in New York Special

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Grimm resigned from Congress in disgrace. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Staten Island District Attorney Dan Donovan walloped his Democratic opponent in fundraising for the special election to replace disgraced former Rep. Michael G. Grimm, according to reports filed with the Federal Election Commission on Thursday.

Donovan reported raising $615,000 between Jan. 1 and April 15 and had $462,000 in cash on hand for the final weeks of the May 5 special. New York City Councilman Vincent Gentile brought in $196,000 over the same time period and reported $116,000 in the bank.

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February 20, 2015

Cuomo Schedules New York Special Election (Updated)

new york special election

Grimm resigned from Congress last month. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call).

Updated 10:30 a.m. | Voters in New York’s 11th District will head to the polls on May 5 to elect a successor for former Rep. Michael G. Grimm, the Republican who resigned after pleading guilty to tax fraud last year.

Democratic Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo officially declared Grimm’s seat vacant on Friday, setting off a roughly two-month scramble in this Staten Island-based district.

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January 12, 2015

A Dilemma for Democrats in New York’s 11th District

new york special

Grimm resigned from Congress earlier this year. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call).

Updated 4:23 p.m.| Democrats have a tough decision to make on Staten Island: How much of a play do they make in the special election for a seat they are likely to lose?

“I’ve always believed that that is a very tricky district,” Rep. Steve Israel, D-N.Y., the former chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, told CQ Roll Call recently outside the House chamber. “In a presidential year, it is competitive. In a midterm, not so competitive. In a special election, it could be exceedingly difficult.” Full story

December 24, 2014

10 Races to Watch in 2016: New York’s 11th District

Grimm faces a trial in February. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Rep. Michael G. Grimm, R-N.Y., pled guilty Tuesday to one count of federal tax evasion but refused to resign his seat, creating chaos in this Staten Island-based district even before the 114th Congress is sworn in.

Grimm is scheduled for sentencing on June 8, and whether he’ll see jail time remains to be seen. But no matter his punishment, calls for his resignation have already begun.

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December 23, 2014

Ex-Congressman Considers Seeking Grimm’s Seat

Grimm is a New York Republican. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

As Rep. Michael G. Grimm, R-N.Y., reportedly prepares to enter a guilty plea Tuesday to at least one of the 20 felony charges against him, his former foe confirmed he is being recruited to run for the Staten Island seat.

Former Rep. Michael E. McMahon, D-N.Y., said he is not ruling out a bid in a brief phone interview with CQ Roll Call Tuesday morning. McMahon said he is not rushing to make a decision, citing the need to mourn the two police officers killed in a fatal shooting in Brooklyn over the weekend.

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November 20, 2014

Democrats Look for Comebacks From Members Ousted in 2010

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Murphy, a Democrat, is a former member from Pennsylvania. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Democrats are looking to two former members — both of whom lost re-election in 2010 — as potential recruits for 2016, according to three senior House Democratic operatives.

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee recruitment officials have discussed ex-Reps. Patrick J. Murphy of Pennsylvania and Michael E. McMahon of New York as potential candidates this cycle.  Full story

November 13, 2014

Democrats Eyeing 5 House Race Rematches in 2016

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House Democrats want Horsford to run for the Nevada seat he lost this month. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

There’s no rest for the weary at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi has yet to name the new committee chairman for 2016, but the DCCC is already getting a jump on recruiting during the final days of New York Rep. Steve Israel’s tenure.

On Thursday morning, Israel held the first 2016 recruitment meeting since Election Day. He named two northeastern congressional districts as top targeting opportunities, and party strategists are readying for at least five rematches from 2014, according to a committee aide. Full story

October 27, 2014

Democratic Super PAC Ups Ante Against Michael Grimm

michael grimm

Democrats are targeting Grimm, right. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Democrat-aligned House Majority PAC has placed a massive broadcast television buy against New York Rep. Michael G. Grimm for the final week of the campaign.

The group is spending $1.7 million in support of Democrat Domenic M. Recchia Jr. on New York City broadcast, and the  reservation will last until Election Day, according to a spokesman. Combined with a previous cable buy, the super PAC is on track to spend $1.9 million against the legally and politically embattled Republican.

An analysis of ad spending provided by a Democrat monitoring the media market reflects a congressman fighting alone against a Democratic onslaught of advertising in the Staten Island-based 11th District. Full story

October 20, 2014

For House GOP, a Wave … Or a Trickle?

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Kirkpatrick is one of the most endangered Democrats this cycle. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

House Republicans are on track to make gains this cycle, but two weeks before Election Day, it’s still unclear whether the party will procure a wave of double-digit gains in their quest to extend the majority.

Members of Congress and operatives alike note this is a toxic time for Democrats on the ballot that should result in huge losses for the president’s party. But a race-by-race evaluation of the House map shows Republicans are more likely in a position to pick up a net of around six seats this cycle.

“After two successful cycles for House Republicans, the playing field confines the upper limits of pickups that can be had,” said Brock McCleary, a Republican pollster.

Public surveys show President Barack Obama’s unpopularity, as events in the Middle East and Ebola on the home front drag down Democrats coast to coast. House Democrats are defending more seats than Republicans this cycle.

But this midterm is shaping up to be one of the most perplexing in recent memory. Both parties are on offense, and both parties are on defense. In private polling, dozens of races are too close to call. Given the unpredictability, it’s also possible the next 14 days could exacerbate Democratic losses.

Here’s why most political operatives estimate Republican will have a net gain in the mid-single digits:

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October 2, 2014

The 10 Most Vulnerable House Members

house races 2014

Rahall is one of this cycle's most vulnerable House Democrats. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

With a month to go until Election Day, House Republicans are poised to add at least a handful of seats to their majority in the midterms.

Need proof? Look no further than this month’s list of Roll Call’s 10 Most Vulnerable House Members, plus the four incumbents who got honorable mentions: The majority of the names are Democrats facing slogs to re-election in tough districts.

What’s more, nearly all of the Republicans on the list made it due to isolated issues — like campaign problems, personal and legal missteps — instead of the national political environment.

The list does not include competitive open-seat contests, where Democrats could stave off major losses.

Since CQ Roll Call last published this feature in September, two incumbents — a Democrat and a Republican — dropped to the honorable mention category. Both are still as vulnerable as they were in September, but a few of their colleagues now face greater political peril than they do.

Roll Call will publish this list one more time, in the week before Election Day. For now, here is the updated list of the 10 Most Vulnerable House Members in alphabetical order:

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September 3, 2014

The 10 Most Vulnerable House Members

Coffman is one of the most vulnerable members. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Welcome to the general election: Labor Day has passed, nearly every primary has finished, and Roll Call has revised its monthly list of the 10 most vulnerable House members.

Since this feature last published in August, Rep. Kerry Bentivolio, R-Mich., lost his primary by a wide margin, while Rep. Scott DesJarlais, R-Tenn., barely survived his, defeating his primary foe by 38 votes.

That opened up two spots in the Top 10 — and there are a plethora of choices this cycle to fill their spots, plus more honorable mentions below.

House Democrats must net 17 seats to win the majority. But most of the names below are Democrats, symbolic of a cycle increasingly favorable to Republicans.

For now, here are the 10 most vulnerable House members in alphabetical order:

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