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November 26, 2014

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November 7, 2012

Beyond California, Six House Races Too Close to Call

Beyond California, Six House Races Too Close to Call

Rep. Allen West appeared headed toward defeat this morning, but his re-election race had not yet been called. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Razor-thin margins mean more than a handful of House races might not produce a winner today — or this week. There are still several races in California that have yet to be called by the Associated Press. Here are the races outside the Golden State that remained too close to call as of this morning.

  • In Arizona’s 1st district, former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D) has a 6,716-vote lead over Jonathan Paton (R), with 100 percent of precincts reporting.
  • In Arizona’s 2nd district, Air Force Col. Martha McSally (R) led Rep. Ron Barber (D) by 386 votes — with 100 percent of precincts reporting. There’s an automatic recount in Arizona when the winner’s margin is less than one-tenth of a percentage point. Full story

October 15, 2012

Michigan: Facing Stiff Challenge, Strong 3rd Quarter for Benishek Coffers

Michigan: Facing Stiff Challenge, Strong 3rd Quarter for Benishek Coffers

Rep. Dan Benishek reported raising $510,000 in the third quarter. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

If freshman Republican Rep. Dan Benishek is losing his grasp on Michigan’s 1st district, his campaign coffers don’t show it.

His campaign announced its best fundraising quarter ever today, raising a total of $510,000 from July 1 to Sept. 30 to close the period with more than $570,000 in cash on hand.

His opponent, former state Rep. Gary McDowell (D), reported raising just $400,000. But heading into the final weeks of the campaign, he is sitting on $600,000.

Recent polls suggest McDowell has gained ground on Benishek, a tea-party-backed physician who rode the 2010 Republican wave to Congress and is one of his party’s most vulnerable lawmakers. The Detroit Free Press endorsed McDowell on Sunday.

Full story

September 17, 2012

Republicans Launch New Round of Ads in House Races

The National Republican Congressional Committee and other GOP-aligned outside groups launched a new round of television advertising over the weekend in a bevy of House races.

With seven weeks to go until Election Day, the NRCC on Sunday released 10 new TV ads — six in districts the group is working to hold and four in districts the GOP hopes to pick up. Democrats must score a net gain of 25 seats in November to wrestle back control of the House majority. Full story

September 5, 2012

California: Internal Poll Has Alan Lowenthal Up 20

California: Internal Poll Has Alan Lowenthal Up 20

(Douglas Graham CQ/Roll Call File Photo)

A poll conducted for the campaign of California state Sen. Alan Lowenthal found the Democrat ahead of his Republican opponent by 20 points in the race for the newly drawn 47th district. Full story

August 29, 2012

Arizona: Paul Gosar, Matt Salmon Win GOP Races; 9th District Battle Set

Arizona: Paul Gosar, Matt Salmon Win GOP Races; 9th District Battle Set

Rep. Paul Gosar won a competitive GOP primary on Tuesday in Arizona. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Paul Gosar beat back a competitive GOP primary challenge Tuesday and former Rep. Matt Salmon won the nomination that clears the way for him to return to Congress after a more than decade long hiatus.

The GOP races in the 4th and 5th districts were the two most-watched Republican primaries outside of the blockbuster Member-vs.-Member race involving Reps. David Schweikert and Ben Quayle in the 6th district. Full story

August 21, 2012

Georgia: Doug Collins Wins House Race, Likely Headed to Congress

Georgia: Doug Collins Wins House Race, Likely Headed to Congress

(Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 11:32 p.m. | State Rep. Doug Collins won the GOP runoff today in Georgia’s 9th district and is almost certain to be coming to Congress from the ultra-Republican seat in the northeast portion of the state. Close with Gov. Nathan Deal (R) and backed by the Atlanta Republican establishment, Collins easily won the runoff, besting conservative talk radio host Martha Zoller by almost 10 points.

With 98.1 percent of precincts reporting, Collins had 54.6 percent to Zoller’s 45. 4 percent, the Associated Press reported.

With support from former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R), former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.), and former GOP presidential contender Herman Cain, Zoller cast herself as the insurgent tea party candidate against Collins, who has establishment roots. Full story

California: Mark Takano Up by 4 in Internal Poll

In a California House race targeted by both parties, Riverside Community College Board Trustee Mark Takano (D) led by 4 points in a poll conducted for his campaign.

According to a polling memo obtained by Roll Call, the poll, conducted by EMC Research of Oakland, Calif., found Takano ahead of Riverside County Supervisor John Tavaglione (R), 42 percent to 38 percent, with 20 percent undecided. Tavaglione enjoys a 15-point name identification advantage, 55 percent to 40 percent. Full story

June 26, 2012

South Carolina: Tom Rice Likely Next Member From New District

Horry County Council Chairman Tom Rice beat former Lt. Gov. André Bauer in GOP primary runoff in South Carolina’s new 7th district. In November, he’ll face economist and former Georgia state Rep. Gloria Bromell Tinubu, who won the Democratic primary runoff against attorney Preston Brittain.

Shortly after 9 p.m., the Associated Press called the race for Rice. With 94 percent of precincts reporting, he had 56 percent to Bauer’s 44 percent.

Around the same time, the AP called the race for Bromell Tinubu. With 94 percent of precincts reporting, she had 73 percent to Brittain’s 27 percent.

Democrats and Republicans in the state do not believe Bromell Tinubu can win the race in the Myrtle Beach-anchored district. Roll Call rates the 7th district race as Safe Repubican.

Since the 7th is a new district granted to the Palmetto State in reapportionment, if Rice wins, as expected, this will be a pickup for Republicans.

June 13, 2012

Nevada: Danny Tarkanian Wins 4th District GOP Primary

Nevada: Danny Tarkanian Wins 4th District GOP Primary

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Danny Tarkanian topped eight others Tuesday night to win Nevada’s 4th district Republican primary, setting up a general election race with Democratic state Senate Majority Leader Steven Horsford.

Tarkanian, an attorney and son of legendary basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian, won with 32 percent of the vote, followed by state Sen. Barbara Cegavske with 28 percent, bail enforcement agent Kenneth Wegner with 21 percent and businessman Dan Schwartz with 11 percent. Full story

June 12, 2012

South Carolina: André Bauer, Tom Rice Head to Runoff

South Carolina: André Bauer, Tom Rice Head to Runoff

Former Lt. Gov. André Bauer is headed to a runoff in South Carolina's new 7th district. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 11:59 p.m. | Colorful former Lt. Gov. André Bauer and Horry County Council Chairman Tom Rice are headed to a runoff in the GOP primary in South Carolina’s new 7th district. With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Bauer had 32.1 percent and Rice had 27.4 percent, according to the Associated Press. On the Democratic side, long-shot candidate Gloria Bromell Tinubu, an economist, had a much stronger-than-expected showing and squeaked out a victory over the establishment-backed Preston Brittain.

The candidates who didn’t make the GOP cut include attorney Jay Jordan and Chad Prosser, former director of the state’s Department of Parks, Recreation and Tourism. GOP operatives in the state widely expected this result. Rice has the edge in the runoff. But Bauer, a through-and-through conservative who marches to his own drum, should not be underestimated. Full story

May 31, 2012

South Carolina: André Bauer Gets Mike Huckabee Endorsement, TV Ad

Former South Carolina Lt. Gov. André Bauer picked up the endorsement of 2008 GOP White House hopeful and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) today.

Huckabee’s endorsement — which included the governor lending his voice to a TV ad — could give Bauer a boost in the crowded GOP primary in the 7th district, which was newly created after redistricting. Full story

April 3, 2012

Washington: 1st District Special Election Set

Washington Gov. Christine Gregoire (D) called for a special election to fill the seat of former Rep. Jay Inslee (D), setting up a confusing situation as a result of redistricting.

The special election will be held concurrently with the regular election schedule, with the primary on Aug. 7 and the general on Nov. 6. Voters will have representation for the last two months of the year, but that means candidates running for both a full term and in the special will be running under two different sets of lines at the same time. Full story

March 20, 2012

Nevada: NRCC Places Three ‘On the Radar’

Three candidates running in Nevada’s new 4th district have advanced to the second step of the National Republican Congressional Committee’s Young Guns candidate program.

The committee will announce today that state Sen. Barbara Cegavske, 2010 Senate candidate Danny Tarkanian and businessman Dan Schwartz have all made it to the “On the Radar” step of the program, which allows candidates to advance based on district-specific benchmarks such as fundraising and organization. Full story

March 9, 2012

NRCC Ties Jim Matheson to Obama in New Ad (VIDEO)

The National Republican Congressional Committee is going on the air against Rep. Jim Matheson (Utah) for the second time in three months.

The new ad ties the Democrat to President Barack Obama, who won just 34 percent in Utah in 2008, one of his lowest-performing states in the country. With Obama back on the ballot this cycle, the NRCC is reminding voters that Matheson voted for the economic stimulus package in 2009.

Full story

March 6, 2012

Joyce Beatty Denies Mary Jo Kilroy’s Comeback Bid in Ohio

Former Ohio House Minority Leader Joyce Beatty defeated former Rep. Mary Jo Kilroy in the 3rd district Democratic primary on Tuesday, denying the one-term Congresswoman’s comeback bid.

Beatty bested Kilroy, who lost re-election in the GOP wave of 2010, 38 percent to 35 percent, according to the Associated Press.

When Ohio Republicans redrew the Congressional map late last year, they crafted the new 3rd district to collect all the Democratic voters in the Columbus area. The result is a strong Democratic performing seat, and the party’s nominee will in all likelihood be the next Member of Congress.

Beatty served in the state House for nearly nine years until 2008, and Ohio insiders said she maintained a strong political organization in Columbus since then. She used that support to overcome Kilroy’s name identification advantage.

If Beatty wins the general election, as expected, her victory will mark the first time in history that Ohio will have two black Members of Congress.

Full story

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