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October 8, 2015

Posts in "Open Seat"

May 20, 2014

Arkansas Primary Results: French Hill, Bruce Westerman Win GOP Primaries

Pryor didn't have to wait to learn his GOP challenger. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Two Republican primaries in Arkansas on Tuesday finalized the makeup of potentially competitive House races this fall.

National Democrats, who have lost several seats in Arkansas over the last couple of cycles, are targeting Arkansas’ 2nd and 4th districts. With their own nominees already in hand, Democrats now know which Republicans will be vying to keep the open seats in GOP hands.

Both races will run under the umbrella of competitive statewide races for governor and Senate. The latter will feature Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor and Republican Rep. Tom Cotton, who both avoided primary challenges.

Full story

Pennsylvania Primary Results: Margolies Fails in Comeback Bid (Updated)

Updated 12:01 a.m. | State Rep. Brendan Boyle easily defeated three other Democrats Tuesday night, including former Rep. Marjorie Margolies, to win an open-seat primary in Pennsylvania’s 13th District.

Boyle defeated Margolies, his next closest primary opponent, 41 percent to 27 percent, with 98 percent of precincts reporting, according to The Associated Press. The Democratic primary is tantamount to the general election in this district, which President Barack Obama carried with 66 percent in 2012. Full story

Democrat Drops Out of Arizona Open-Seat Primary

Gallardo dropped out of a competitive open-seat Democratic primary in Arizona. (Meredith Dake/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Arizona state Sen. Steve Gallardo withdrew on Tuesday from the crowded race to replace retiring Democratic Rep. Ed Pastor.

Gallardo, a potentially competitive candidate in the race, will instead run to replace one of his former Congressional rivals, Mary Rose Wilcox, in her seat on the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.

The race for Pastor’s 7th District will now come down to the two most organized Democrats of the handful of contenders — Wilcox and state Rep. Ruben Gallego. Full story

Club for Growth Launches Ad in Open Alabama House Race

The Club for Growth is up with an ad attacking an Alabama Republican primary hopeful for his donations to “liberal Democrats in Congress.”

The 30-second spot says businessman Will Brooke, one of seven Republicans running in the 6th District open-seat race, donated “tens of thousands of dollars” to a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Alabama and that his company helped pass tax increases in the state.

“That’s liberal, that’s Will Brooke,” a narrator says in the ad, backed by a six-figure buy in the Birmingham broadcast and cable markets.

Full story

Fight Night Preview: Primaries From Georgia to Idaho

It’s primary night in six states, with plenty of races to watch in Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

The only night with more states holding consequential primaries? In two weeks, on June 3.

(For a full list of the primary calendar, check out CQ Roll Call’s Primary Dates chart.)

There are no fewer than five competitive primary races in Georgia. Beyond that, three Republican incumbents steeped in the establishment will, by all appearances, swat back tea party rivals after the polls close. Unless there is a sleeper primary upset, the only incumbent who is in any sort of political trouble is a Democrat, Rep. Hank Johnson of Georgia.

Starting at 6:30 p.m., our Politics Team will have a live blog of the results below. After polls close, @Alexis_Levinson and @KyleTrygstad will track the Senate races, while @CahnEmily and @RollCallAbby will watch the House side of politics.


Here are the races to watch, accompanied by each race’s Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call race rating:

Kentucky – Polls close at 7 p.m. EST Full story

May 16, 2014

Congressman Backs Ex-Hill Staffer for California Seat

Royce endorsed a former Capitol Hill staffer on Friday. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

House Foreign Affairs Chairman Ed Royce has endorsed former Capitol Hill aide Lesli Gooch, becoming the latest Southern California congressman to back the Republican seeking her former boss’ open House seat.

Gooch, one of several candidates vying for the seat of retiring GOP Rep. Gary G. Miller in California’s 31st District, worked for Miller as a senior policy adviser in the district, which is a top Democratic pick-up opportunity in November. Royce’s endorsement follows that of Miller and Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, R-Calif.

“I’ve had the pleasure of working with Lesli Gooch and our delegation in the United States Congress to get things done for Californians,” Royce said in a statement Friday. “The Inland Empire needs Lesli Gooch’s strong conservative leadership in Congress to beat back the failed policies of Reid and Pelosi that are hurting our economy and crippling our national security.”

Full story

Campaign Spot-Light: Landrieu Shoots Over the Moon

Welcome to the third edition of Roll Call’s feature that highlights the most interesting political ads of the week.

Here is what cut through the clutter:

Louisiana Senate: A Re-Election That Is Anything but the ‘Big Easy’

Ad buyer: Mary Landrieu for Louisiana
Ad buy: It is a $200,000 ad buy, per The Los Angeles Times.
The race: Democratic Sen. Mary L. Landrieu is running in a November jungle primary. Unless she takes 50 percent of the vote, she will head to a December runoff against a to-be-determined Republican rival. The race is rated a Tossup by the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call.

Landrieu is facing another competitive campaign, but her latest ad offers a glimpse of how she’s won multiple terms. In this spot, Landrieu’s father, former New Orleans Mayor Moon Landrieu, makes the case that the stubbornness of his daughter, the Pelican State’s three-term senior senator, protected Louisiana from great villains of recent years: BP, President Barack Obama and the rest of the Senate. Full story

May 15, 2014

Democrats Dropping Like Flies in Race to Replace Moran

Beyer is one of a dwindling number of Democrats running for this open Virginia seat. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Seeing no path to victory, three of the 10 Democratic candidates looking to succeed retiring Rep. James P. Moran in Virginia dropped out in rapid succession in the past week — slightly dwindling a still-crowded field in next month’s primary.

Engineer Satish Korpe dropped out of the 8th District contest last week, followed by state Del. Charniele Herring on Monday and businessman Bruce Shuttleworth on Wednesday.

Their exits come too late for them to be removed from the June 10 primary ballot. Earlier this year, state Dels. Mark Sickles and Alfonso Lopez also dropped out of the race. Their departures came before ballots were finalized.

Full story

Tea Party Candidate Lags in New Jersey Primary Poll

The New Jersey Republican-machine-backed candidate in an open-seat primary led a prominent tea party candidate by 11 points in a Monmouth University Poll released Thursday.

In the race to replace retiring Republican Rep. Jon Runyan, former Randolph Mayor Tom MacArthur, who is backed by the county establishments of New Jersey’s 3rd District, had the support of 46 percent of likely primary voters, while 35 percent backed tea party favorite and ex-Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan, the party’s nominee in last year’s Senate special election. Twenty percent of those surveyed were undecided.

The outcome of the June 3 primary is highly consequential to the general. Most New Jersey and national Republican operatives are aiming for a MacArthur victory, fearing that a tea party candidate could lose the seat to Democrats. The Democratic candidate, Burlington County Freeholder Aimee Belgard, is a safe bet to win her party’s nomination, and at this point the race is rated a Tossup by the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call. Full story

Howard Coble Endorses Successor in North Carolina

Coble has endorsed a candidate to replace him. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Retiring North Carolina Rep. Howard Coble has endorsed Rockingham County District Attorney Phil Berger Jr. as his successor, touting the candidate’s experience and conservative credentials.

In last week’s primary, Berger and Baptist Pastor Mark Walker advanced to a July 15 runoff from a nine-candidate GOP field running to replace the longtime Republican lawmaker in the 6th District.

“It’s clear to me that Phil Berger is the right conservative for the job,” Coble, 83, said in a statement. “He has the experience, knowledge and determination to hit the ground running in Washington.” Full story

May 14, 2014

For Democrats, It’s Déjà Vu in California’s 31st District

Democrats may have reason for concern about a replay from 2012, when the party fumbled a sure pickup opportunity in Southern California thanks to the state’s new top-two primary.

According to a poll conducted for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and obtained by CQ Roll Call, former Democratic Rep. Joe Baca, who has raised little money and is not backed by the national party, is gaining on the two Democratic front-runners in the 31st District open-seat race. With a 5-point rise since last month, Baca is now tied for third with attorney Eloise Gomez Reyes, behind Republican businessman Paul Chabot and Redlands Mayor Pete Aguilar, who is backed by the DCCC.

Chabot led the primary field among likely voters with 23 percent, followed by Aguilar with 15 percent, and Reyes and Baca with 13 percent apiece. Should the three top Democrats splinter the vote nearly evenly in the primary, there is a possibility one of the other Republicans finishes second — again.

“This dynamic leaves the door open for a scenario in which two Republicans clear the primary and Democrats are shut out of the general election, as they were in 2012,” pollsters for California-based Tulchin Research wrote in a memo.

The pollsters found Baca was unlikely to finish in the top two, but “this development has further diluted the Democratic vote…”

Full story

Pennsylvania Primary: Clinton Does TV Ad for Margolies

Former Rep. Marjorie Margolies’ latest ad in her comeback bid in Pennsylvania features former President Bill Clinton touting her accomplishments on camera, a potentially game-changing spot less than one week from the Keystone State’s primary.

“I’m not coming here saying vote for her because 20 years ago she saved the economy,” Clinton says of Margolies in the 30-second ad, referring to her vote in 1993 that saved Clinton’s budget and ultimately cost the Democrat her seat in Congress. “She’ll take initiative, she’ll do things and stand up when she needs to stand up and cooperate when we need cooperation.”

Margolies, who is former first daughter Chelsea Clinton’s mother-in-law, is looking to retake control of the race from her biggest opponent in the primary: state Rep. Brendan Boyle.

Full story

May 13, 2014

Tea Party Candidate Wins Republican Nod for Capito Seat

Mooney won the Republican primary race for West Virginia's 2nd District. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Former Maryland GOP Chairman Alex Mooney won the Republican nomination Tuesday night in the race to replace seven-term Rep. Shelley Moore Capito in West Virginia’s 2nd District.

Capito is vacating the seat to run for the Senate. Strategists from both parties agree that this seat could be a potential Democratic pickup in the fall. The race is currently rated Leans Republican by Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call.

Mooney carried 33 percent of the vote when The Associated Press called the race at approximately 9:33 p.m. Self-funding pharmacist Ken Reed led former U.S. International Trade Commissioner Charlotte Lane by about 100 votes at the time of the call. Each candidate had about 20 percent of the vote with 57 percent of precincts reporting.

Full story

Super PAC Touts Joe Baca as ‘Reagan Fiscal Conservative’

Baca hopes to again be a member of the California delegation. (Scott J. Ferrell/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A super PAC in California backing former Rep. Joe Baca sent three mailers in the district touting Baca’s credentials for his comeback bid for a Southern California open seat.

The mailers, obtained by CQ Roll Call, tout Baca endorsements — including some who are backing multiple candidates in the race — and one even paints the Democrat as a “Reagan Fiscal Conservative.” That mail piece features a letter written and signed by Baca, alongside an image of President Ronald Reagan.

Baca is one of four Democrats running in the June 3, top-two primary, which also includes three Republicans. Democrats are heavily targeting the seat, which is open with the retirement of GOP Rep. Gary G. Miller.

Full story

Paul Ryan Endorses in California House Race

Paul D. Ryan will endorse former state Sen. Tony Strickland

Strickland has the endorsement of Ryan. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

House Budget Chairman Paul D. Ryan will endorse former state Sen. Tony Strickland in a competitive open-seat House race in California, according to a release provided first to CQ Roll Call.

Strickland is one of eight candidates running in the June 3 top-two primary for the 25th District seat, and the endorsement from the Wisconsin Republican and former vice presidential nominee could help provide some separation from the pack.

“Tony Strickland has a long record of fighting for taxpayers in Sacramento, and that’s why we need him in Washington,” Ryan said in a statement. “I support Tony because I know that if he’s elected to Congress, he will help me balance the budget, pay down our debt, and create new jobs.”

Full story

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