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February 11, 2016

Posts in "Polling"

January 20, 2016

Edwards Tightens Up Race Against Van Hollen

 (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Edwards has experienced a boost in Baltimore, beating Van Hollen in an area that is home to a large number of Democratic voters. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A survey of Maryland voters last week found that despite his campaign’s financial advantage, Rep. Chris Van Hollen has only a slight lead over Rep. Donna Edwards as the two Democrats vie for their party’s nomination to replace outgoing Sen. Barbara A. Mikulski in an April primary.

The poll, conducted by the Maryland firm Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, shows Edwards might be seeing “dividends” from the $1 million television advertising campaign paid for her by EMILY’s List that has targeted Baltimore, home to about half of the state’s Democratic electorate, the pollster wrote.

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January 19, 2016

Kasich Reaches 20 Percent in New Hampshire, Still Has to Survive Iowa

Kasich is considering a run for president. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Kasich earned 20 percent in the latest ARG poll. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

An American Research Group poll released Tuesday showed Ohio Gov. John Kasich in second place in New Hampshire Republican primary, registering at 20 percent to Donald Trump’s 27 percent.

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GOP Poll Underscores Competitiveness of Israel’s District

A new GOP poll underscores the competitiveness of the seat Israel is vacating. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A new GOP poll underscores the competitiveness of the seat Israel is vacating. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

When Democratic Rep. Steve Israel announced his retirement earlier this year, he said he wanted to leave Congress during a presidential year to give Democrats a greater shot at holding his seat.

But Republicans are pointing to new poll commissioned by the Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC tied to House GOP leadership, and obtained by Roll Call to underscore the competitiveness of his district.

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January 15, 2016

Obama Suggests Trump’s Dominance Is Doomed

UNITED STATES - JANUARY 15 - Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives at an event at the Living History Farms Visitor Center in Urbandale, Iowa, on Friday, Jan. 15, 2016. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Republican presidential candidate Trump arrives at an event at the Living History Farms Visitor Center in Urbandale, Iowa, on Jan. 15. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

President Barack Obama poured cold water on Donald Trump’s dominance of the Republican presidential primary, saying Friday he bets voters soon will look to other candidates.

Obama suggested Trump’s big lead nationally could be doomed, saying it is merely the latest example of a long-running trend of bombastic candidates getting a lot of attention early in the process. But when it comes time to actually vote, Americans tend to get “serious” and vote for other candidates, Obama said during a YouTube-hosted online interview.

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December 16, 2015

Republicans: Cruz Bigger Threat to Senate Majority Than Trump

Cruz greets guests at the Faith & Freedom Coalition’s Road to Majority conference. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Republican operatives hoping to retain the Senate majority are almost as concerned about Cruz as they are about Trump. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Republicans are worried a Donald Trump nomination could threaten the party’s chances of holding the Senate and winning seats in the House.

But they’re even more concerned about Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who surpassed Trump in Iowa polling this weekend and has been gaining in national polls.

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December 10, 2015

GOP’s Opportunity With Millennials in 2016 May Be ‘Waning’

The percent of millennials who would prefer to see a Democrat in the White House has increased since the spring. (SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images

The percent of millennials who would prefer to see a Democrat in the White House has increased since the spring. (SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images)

More than half of young Americans would prefer to see Democrats maintain control of the White House, according to the Harvard Institute of Politics’ most recent survey of 18- to 29-year-olds released Thursday.

The 56 percent support for Democrats holding the executive branch is substantially higher than the 36 percent who said they’d prefer a Republican to win the presidency, and it represents a 5 point increase in support for Democrats since the same question was asked in the spring. Full story

December 1, 2015

Cruz and Rubio ‘Flavor of the Month’

Cruz, left, and Rubio, right, are both first-term senators, but Rubio enjoys more establishment support.  (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Cruz, left, and Rubio, right, are both first-term senators, but Rubio enjoys more establishment support. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

With 60 days to go until the Iowa caucuses, Senators Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz and are attempting to capitalize on recent momentum in a GOP field long dominated by this year’s two outsider candidates.

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November 25, 2015

Poll: Wide Divide Over Allowing Muslim Refugees Into the U.S.

A Syrian family cheers after  arriving on the Greek island of Lesbos after crossing the Aegean Sea from Turkey with other refugees and migrants on November 19, 2015. European leaders tried to focus on joint action with Africa to tackle the migration crisis, as Slovenia became the latest EU member to act on its own by barricading its border. AFP PHOTO/BULENT KILIC        (Photo credit should read BULENT KILIC/AFP/Getty Images)

A Syrian family arrives on the Greek island of Lesbos after crossing the Aegean Sea from Turkey. (Bulent Kilic/AFP/Getty Images)

A new poll shows six in 10 Americans don’t want the U.S. to allow Muslim refugees from Syria into the country but are more inviting to Christian refugees.

An Economist Group/YouGov poll released Tuesday shows a wide ideological split on the question of whether Syrian Muslim refugees should be allowed into the country, with 83 percent of those who identify as conservative opposed and 70 percent of liberals saying they favor allowing them entry.

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November 17, 2015

Poll Shows GOP Focused on Terrorism, Democrats on the Economy

UNITED STATES - NOVEMBER 16 - Capitol Police officers stand by an armored vehicle is seen on the east front of the U.S. Capitol in Washington on Monday, November 16, 2015. Security around Washington is ramped up after last week's shooting in Paris. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Capitol Police officers stand by an armored vehicle in front of the east front of the Capitol on Monday. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

The latest American Values Survey paints a picture of a mistrustful, world-weary electorate that’s pretty much had it with political dynasties, monolingual immigrants and political correctness in general.

Aside from the logical divide on who the two parties’ official standard-bearers will be, both sides are far apart on the most critical issues facing the nation, the poll shows.

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November 10, 2015

Ahead of Fourth Debate, Republican Confidence in Bush Falters

GOP.candidates.poll

Perhaps no one has as much riding on Tuesday’s GOP presidential debate as former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, once the presumed front-runner, who has struggled to energize his campaign in recent weeks.

But ahead of the debate, the latest The Economist/YouGov poll shows the percentage of Republicans who think Bush could win the general election falling.

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November 5, 2015

Coasting to Victory: D.C. Bar Handicapping Presidential Race

Coasters featuring political figures such as Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, center, are being offered at the Off the Record bar in the Hay Adams Hotel. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Coasters featuring political figures such as former Speaker John A. Boehner, R-Ohio, center, are being offered at the Off the Record bar in the Hay Adams Hotel. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

No matter their standing in the latest polls, every White House hopeful is virtually guaranteed to soak up some attention at D.C.’s historic Off the Record bar.

The fabled watering hole, which is just a hop, skip and a jump (stumble?) from the Oval Office, intends to handicap the upcoming presidential race by keeping tabs on which signature drink coasters — the extra-long faces of many those vying to be commander-in-chief grace the limited-edition series — customers routinely snatch up before rolling home.

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October 30, 2015

Leftovers: What Happens to Members’ Campaign War Chests

Sen Campaign Fundraising

Neither New York Sen. Charles E. Schumer nor Alabama Sen. Richard C. Shelby, whose campaign accounts dwarf those of their colleagues, is likely to face a serious electoral threat from the opposing party anytime soon.

And although there was chatter earlier this year that Shelby might face a primary challenge, the deadline to file in Alabama’s Republican primary is just more than a week away.

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October 29, 2015

David Vitter Trails Democrat in Louisiana Governor’s Runoff

Vitter, R-La., heads to the Senate floor for a vote on Wednesday, June 11, 2014. (File Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Vitter, R-La., heads to the Senate floor for a vote. (File Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

In the first poll released since two candidates emerged from Louisiana’s jungle primary for governor, state House Minority Leader John Bel Edwards, a Democrat, holds a serious lead over Republican Sen. David Vitter.

The survey, made public by the Democratic Governors Association and conducted by Anzalone Liszt Grove Research — an Alabama-based firm that has done polling for both of Barack Obama’s presidential campaigns and now Hillary Rodham Clinton’s — found Edwards with a 12-point lead, 52 percent to 40 percent, with less than four weeks until the Nov. 21 runoff.  Full story

October 14, 2015

Internal Polls Show Brad Schneider Leading Bob Dold and Primary Opponent

Dold will run again. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Two surveys commissioned by Democrats show Schneider, a former lawmaker, with leads in primary and general elections.  (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Illinois Democrat Brad Schneider, a former congressman who served one term representing the state’s 10th District, is claiming a big lead over his primary rival as he hopes for a rematch with Republican Rep. Robert J. Dold.

According to a memo detailing a survey conducted by Normington Petts for Schneider’s campaign last week and obtained by CQ Roll Call, Schneider holds a 36-point lead over Nancy Rotering — pulling more than half of the support from the seniors, women, union households and liberals who were polled.  Full story

October 6, 2015

Democratic Poll: Ted Strickland Leads Rob Portman in Ohio Senate Race

Portman trails his likely Democratic opponent in a new poll. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Portman trails his likely Democratic opponent in a new poll. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Sen. Rob Portman, R-Ohio, trailed his likely Democratic opponent, former Gov. Ted Strickland, by 3 points in a poll conducted for a Democratic super PAC and provided first to CQ Roll Call.

Strickland was favored by 46 percent of those polled, while 43 percent favored Portman, according to the poll conducted for Senate Majority PAC by Harstad Strategic Research.

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