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July 24, 2014

Posts in "Polling"

November 12, 2013

New Dem Poll Shows McConnell in Tight Race

New Dem Poll Shows McConnell in Tight Race

McConnell is up for re-election in 2014. (Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call)

As a new poll showed a tight race in Kentucky, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell held a news conference in Louisville to press for the repeal of the health care overhaul and tie his opponent to the Senate Democrats who voted for it.

The poll, conducted by Democratic firm Lake Research Partners for MoveOn.org’s political action arm, found McConnell and Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes tied at 37 percent in a potential general-election matchup. It’s the latest evidence that the Bluegrass State will be among the top races of 2014.

Speaking behind a podium at his campaign headquarters, McConnell said Democrats essentially took a “meat ax” to the country’s health care system with the new law and are now panicked over the repercussions. After referring to the health care website’s troubles, he noted that 15 Democrats up for re-election next year met with the president at the White House last week to discuss the law. Full story

October 23, 2013

GOP Poll: Cotton Holds Edge Over Pryor in Arkansas

GOP Poll: Cotton Holds Edge Over Pryor in Arkansas

Pryor faces a tough re-election race in 2014. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A poll conducted on behalf of Rep. Tom Cotton’s campaign found the Arkansas Republican with a 4-point lead over Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor — within the margin of error for the survey.

In one of the GOP’s top pickup opportunities in 2014, Cotton led 45 percent to 41 percent, with 15 percent of those surveyed undecided.

The poll of 600 likely voters was conducted by GOP firm OnMessage Inc. on Oct. 15-17. The margin of error was 4 points. Full story

October 15, 2013

Poll: Booker Up 14 Going Into New Jersey Special Election

Newark Mayor Cory Booker continues to lead his Republican opponent by double digits with just one day to go in the New Jersey Senate special election.

A Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday morning found Booker ahead of Republican Steve Lonegan, 54 percent to 40 percent. The margin is nearly identical to a week ago, when Booker led by 12 points. Full story

October 3, 2013

Exclusive: Bill Shuster Stomps Tea Party Challenger in Early GOP Poll

Rep. Bill Shuster, R-Pa., holds a more than 50-point lead over his Republican challengers in the 9th District primary next year, according to a new automated telephone poll from a GOP firm.

In the survey — shared first with CQ Roll Call — nearly two-thirds of likely GOP primary voters, 63 percent, said they would back Shuster in a primary. Ret. Coast Guard Capt. Art Halvorson had the support of 11 percent of respondents, while 5 percent backed veteran Travis Schooley. Twenty-one percent of respondents said they were “not sure” in the poll.

In recent weeks, Pennsylvania GOP operatives have questioned if Shuster is vulnerable to a primary challenge from Halvorson. The House Transportation and Infrastructure chairman has ramped up his fundraising over the past year, and his campaign manager insisted to CQ Roll Call that his team takes every challenge seriously.

Full story

September 30, 2013

Campaign Poll: Democrat Widens Lead in Massachusetts Special Primary | #MA05

State Sen. Katherine Clark, one of five Democrats running in a special election in Massachusetts’ 5th District, has released a new poll that shows her leading the pack two weeks from the Oct. 15 primary.

Clark had the lead with 27 percent of the vote — 9 points more than her next closest competitor, state Sen. Karen Spilka.

The rest of the field hovered in the teens. The survey found Spilka in second with 18 percent, Middlesex County Sheriff Peter Koutoujian in third with 16 percent, state Rep. Carl Sciortino in fourth with 15 percent and state Sen. William Brownsberger with 12 percent.

Full story

September 26, 2013

Sheriff Releases Ad in Wide-Open Massachusetts Special | #MA05

Middlesex County Sheriff Peter Koutoujian, one of five Democrats running in a special-election primary in Massachusetts’ 5th District, released his first ad of the campaign, less than three weeks before the Oct. 15 primary.

The 30-second spot touches on Koutoujian’s stance on gun control, Social Security and women’s rights. The campaign says the “six-figure buy” will air on cable and broadcast stations in the 5th District, located in the suburbs of Boston.

Full story

September 24, 2013

Poll: Booker Up 12 in New Jersey Senate Special | #NJSEN

In its first survey of likely voters, a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday found Newark Mayor Cory Booker’s lead in next month’s New Jersey Senate special election down to 12 points.

Booker, favored to win the Oct. 16 special in this Democratic-leaning state, led 53 percent to 41 percent over Republican Steve Lonegan, with 5 percent undecided.

Quinnipiac and other polling firms had Booker ahead by leads at least twice as large in previous surveys. It’s also smaller than President Barack Obama’s 17-point winning margin in the state last year. Full story

September 11, 2013

Poll: Booker Up 35 With a Month to Go | #NJSEN

With a month to go in New Jersey’s Senate special election, Newark Mayor Cory Booker has pulled out to a 35-point lead, according to a Rutgers-Eagleton Poll released Wednesday.

Booker took 64 percent, with 29 percent supporting Republican Steve Lonegan and 6 percent undecided. The special to replace the late Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg, D-N.J., will be held Oct. 16. Full story

September 10, 2013

GOP Poll: Rounds Holds Large Lead in Senate Contest | #SDSEN

Former Gov. Mike Rounds, a Republican, has a large lead over likely Democratic challenger Rick Weiland in South Dakota’s open Senate contest, according to an automated GOP poll released on Monday.

Rounds leads Weiland, a former aide to former Sen. Tom Daschle, D-S.D., 58 percent to 38 percent, with 10 percent of respondents undecided, according to the survey from Harper Polling.

The open-seat contest marks one of the Senate GOP’s best pickup opportunities this cycle. Sen. Tim Johnson’s retirement announcement left his party searching for a top candidate to take on the former two-term governor.

Full story

August 29, 2013

Booker Out to Wide Lead in New Jersey Special | #NJSEN

A poll released Thursday only confirmed Newark Mayor Cory Booker’s solid advantage in the New Jersey Senate special election.

Fairleigh Dickinson University found Booker ahead of Republican Steve Lonegan, 50 percent to 22 percent. Twenty-three percent remained undecided with less than two months to go, including 15 percent of Democratic respondents and 23 percent of Republicans.

Booker and Lonegan won their respective primaries on Aug. 13 by wide margins. They’re facing off in the Oct. 16 special election to replace the late Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg.

Although his support was not in question, President Barack Obama formally endorsed Booker last week. Lonegan knows he’ll need some help from the national party to win in this Democratic-leaning state, which hasn’t sent a Republican to the Senate in four decades.

The poll of 700 registered voters was conducted Aug. 21-27. It had a 3.7-point margin of error.

August 28, 2013

Alexander Holds Large Lead Over Primary Challengers | #TNSEN

Alexander Holds Large Lead Over Primary Challengers | #TNSEN

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Sen. Lamar Alexander, R-Tenn., holds a massive lead over current and potential primary opponents, and holds a high job performance rating from likely Republican primary voters in the Volunteer State, according to an internal poll provided exclusively to CQ Roll Call.

Alexander leads recently announced primary opponent Joe Carr 64 percent to 22 percent, according to the poll conducted by North Star Opinion Research.

Full story

August 22, 2013

Scott Rasmussen Leaves Rasmussen Reports Polling

Scott Rasmussen, the founder of polling firm Rasmussen Reports left the organization in July, according to a company release.

Chief Operating Officer Mike Boniello will helm the firm “until a replacement for Mr. Rasmussen is named,” the company said. Full story

Eric Cantor Backs Candidate in Louisiana House Special | #LA05

Eric Cantor Backs Candidate in Louisiana House Special | #LA05

Cantor has endorsed a candidate in the special election to replace former Rep. Rodney Alexander. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Republican state Sen. Neil Riser received the backing of House Majority Leader Eric Cantor this week in the special election to replace former Rep. Rodney Alexander, R-La., according to a local news source.

Riser, who will seek the 5th District seat in the Oct. 19 special election, has also received endorsements from three Louisiana Republicans — John Fleming, Steve Scalise and Charles Boustany Jr.

Republican operatives consider Riser to be the front-runner in the crowded, 14-candidate field to replace Alexander, who resigned in August to take a position in Republican Gov. Bobby Jindal’s administration.

Full story

McConnell Poll Shows Lead With Tea Party Republicans | #KYSEN

Facing a spirited Republican primary challenge in Kentucky, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell released a poll on Thursday that found he still has the support of more than two-thirds of GOP voters.

McConnell led Louisville businessman Matt Bevin, 68 percent to 21 percent, with 8 percent of voters undecided. Given the six-term incumbent’s superior name ID, his wide lead is not surprising.

But the internal poll offered the incumbent some encouraging numbers among the primary voters likely to be Bevin’s base. According to the campaign’s polling memo, the lead holds up across several several demographic segments of the party, including “very conservative” voters and “Tea Party Republicans.” Full story

August 21, 2013

Margolies Poll Gives Her Large Lead in Crowded Democratic Primary | #PA13

Former Rep. Marjorie Margolies’ new poll shows her with a strong lead in the 13th District primary, boasting a 28-point advantage over her closest Democratic opponent.

The Pennsylvanian is attempting a comeback bid two decades after losing re-election to the House.

The poll, released Wednesday, shows her garnering 48 percent of the vote in a four-way primary, followed by state Rep. Brendan Boyle, who picked up just 15 percent.

Full story

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