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Posts in "Polling"
December 18, 2013
Despite poor approval ratings for the president in Iowa, the Democratic candidate for Senate led all of his potential Republican opponents in a poll released Wednesday.
Quinnipiac University’s latest poll found that Iowa Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley would defeat each of the six Republicans tested for this open-seat race. His closest competitor was former U.S. Attorney Matt Whitaker, whom Braley led 43 percent to 40 percent.
December 4, 2013
Freshman Rep. Rodney Davis, R-Ill., holds a large lead over his GOP primary opponent, former Miss America Erika Harold, according to a poll obtained exclusively by CQ Roll Call.
Davis leads Harold by a massive 48 points in the poll of likely GOP primary voters commissioned by his campaign and conducted by the GOP survey firm Public Opinion Strategies. Twenty percent of respondents in the poll said they were undecided.
The survey showed Davis with 63 percent and Harold with 15 percent.
November 25, 2013
The candidate: Republican state Sen. Julianne Ortman
The member: First-term Sen. Al Franken, D-Minn.
The state: Franken won by the smallest margin of any Senate race in 2008. He defeated then-Sen. Norm Coleman, a Republican, following a recount.
The candidate’s team: Campaign manager Andy Parrish and media consultant Ed Brookover.
November 15, 2013
Former state Senate President Kevin Raye, a Republican, is solidifying his support as the GOP front-runner in Maine’s competitive 2nd District — a strong pick-up opportunity for the GOP in 2014.
An internal poll from Raye’s campaign released last week showed him far ahead of the two other GOP candidates — thanks in large part to his high name recognition in the district. Meanwhile, Maine Office of Policy and Management Director Richard Rosen, a top Republican who had been eyeing a bid, appears poised to stay out of the GOP primary, according to local sources.
“The fact is that Kevin Raye looks like he is the presumptive front-runner of the seat, and that’s a big deal for Republicans up here,” said one Maine GOP operative unaffiliated with any candidates in the race. “It’s been a long time since we’ve held that seat.” Full story
November 12, 2013
As a new poll showed a tight race in Kentucky, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell held a news conference in Louisville to press for the repeal of the health care overhaul and tie his opponent to the Senate Democrats who voted for it.
The poll, conducted by Democratic firm Lake Research Partners for MoveOn.org’s political action arm, found McConnell and Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes tied at 37 percent in a potential general-election matchup. It’s the latest evidence that the Bluegrass State will be among the top races of 2014.
Speaking behind a podium at his campaign headquarters, McConnell said Democrats essentially took a “meat ax” to the country’s health care system with the new law and are now panicked over the repercussions. After referring to the health care website’s troubles, he noted that 15 Democrats up for re-election next year met with the president at the White House last week to discuss the law. Full story
October 23, 2013
A poll conducted on behalf of Rep. Tom Cotton’s campaign found the Arkansas Republican with a 4-point lead over Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor — within the margin of error for the survey.
In one of the GOP’s top pickup opportunities in 2014, Cotton led 45 percent to 41 percent, with 15 percent of those surveyed undecided.
The poll of 600 likely voters was conducted by GOP firm OnMessage Inc. on Oct. 15-17. The margin of error was 4 points. Full story
October 15, 2013
Newark Mayor Cory Booker continues to lead his Republican opponent by double digits with just one day to go in the New Jersey Senate special election.
A Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday morning found Booker ahead of Republican Steve Lonegan, 54 percent to 40 percent. The margin is nearly identical to a week ago, when Booker led by 12 points. Full story
October 3, 2013
Rep. Bill Shuster, R-Pa., holds a more than 50-point lead over his Republican challengers in the 9th District primary next year, according to a new automated telephone poll from a GOP firm.
In the survey — shared first with CQ Roll Call — nearly two-thirds of likely GOP primary voters, 63 percent, said they would back Shuster in a primary. Ret. Coast Guard Capt. Art Halvorson had the support of 11 percent of respondents, while 5 percent backed veteran Travis Schooley. Twenty-one percent of respondents said they were “not sure” in the poll.
In recent weeks, Pennsylvania GOP operatives have questioned if Shuster is vulnerable to a primary challenge from Halvorson. The House Transportation and Infrastructure chairman has ramped up his fundraising over the past year, and his campaign manager insisted to CQ Roll Call that his team takes every challenge seriously.
September 30, 2013
State Sen. Katherine Clark, one of five Democrats running in a special election in Massachusetts’ 5th District, has released a new poll that shows her leading the pack two weeks from the Oct. 15 primary.
Clark had the lead with 27 percent of the vote — 9 points more than her next closest competitor, state Sen. Karen Spilka.
The rest of the field hovered in the teens. The survey found Spilka in second with 18 percent, Middlesex County Sheriff Peter Koutoujian in third with 16 percent, state Rep. Carl Sciortino in fourth with 15 percent and state Sen. William Brownsberger with 12 percent.
September 26, 2013
Middlesex County Sheriff Peter Koutoujian, one of five Democrats running in a special-election primary in Massachusetts’ 5th District, released his first ad of the campaign, less than three weeks before the Oct. 15 primary.
The 30-second spot touches on Koutoujian’s stance on gun control, Social Security and women’s rights. The campaign says the “six-figure buy” will air on cable and broadcast stations in the 5th District, located in the suburbs of Boston.
September 24, 2013
In its first survey of likely voters, a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday found Newark Mayor Cory Booker’s lead in next month’s New Jersey Senate special election down to 12 points.
Booker, favored to win the Oct. 16 special in this Democratic-leaning state, led 53 percent to 41 percent over Republican Steve Lonegan, with 5 percent undecided.
Quinnipiac and other polling firms had Booker ahead by leads at least twice as large in previous surveys. It’s also smaller than President Barack Obama’s 17-point winning margin in the state last year. Full story
September 11, 2013
With a month to go in New Jersey’s Senate special election, Newark Mayor Cory Booker has pulled out to a 35-point lead, according to a Rutgers-Eagleton Poll released Wednesday.
Booker took 64 percent, with 29 percent supporting Republican Steve Lonegan and 6 percent undecided. The special to replace the late Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg, D-N.J., will be held Oct. 16. Full story
September 10, 2013
Former Gov. Mike Rounds, a Republican, has a large lead over likely Democratic challenger Rick Weiland in South Dakota’s open Senate contest, according to an automated GOP poll released on Monday.
Rounds leads Weiland, a former aide to former Sen. Tom Daschle, D-S.D., 58 percent to 38 percent, with 10 percent of respondents undecided, according to the survey from Harper Polling.
The open-seat contest marks one of the Senate GOP’s best pickup opportunities this cycle. Sen. Tim Johnson’s retirement announcement left his party searching for a top candidate to take on the former two-term governor.
August 29, 2013
A poll released Thursday only confirmed Newark Mayor Cory Booker’s solid advantage in the New Jersey Senate special election.
Fairleigh Dickinson University found Booker ahead of Republican Steve Lonegan, 50 percent to 22 percent. Twenty-three percent remained undecided with less than two months to go, including 15 percent of Democratic respondents and 23 percent of Republicans.
Booker and Lonegan won their respective primaries on Aug. 13 by wide margins. They’re facing off in the Oct. 16 special election to replace the late Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg.
Although his support was not in question, President Barack Obama formally endorsed Booker last week. Lonegan knows he’ll need some help from the national party to win in this Democratic-leaning state, which hasn’t sent a Republican to the Senate in four decades.
The poll of 700 registered voters was conducted Aug. 21-27. It had a 3.7-point margin of error.
August 28, 2013
Sen. Lamar Alexander, R-Tenn., holds a massive lead over current and potential primary opponents, and holds a high job performance rating from likely Republican primary voters in the Volunteer State, according to an internal poll provided exclusively to CQ Roll Call.
Alexander leads recently announced primary opponent Joe Carr 64 percent to 22 percent, according to the poll conducted by North Star Opinion Research.