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August 1, 2014

Posts in "Leans Democratic"

August 14, 2012

Florida: Connie Mack IV, Bill Nelson to Battle in November

Florida: Connie Mack IV, Bill Nelson to Battle in November

Rep. Connie Mack IV won tonight's Republican Senate primary in Florida. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Connie Mack IV, who had broad support from just about every swath of the Republican Party, easily picked up the GOP nomination for Senate to take on Sen. Bill Nelson (D) in November.

Mack defeated long-shot candidates former Rep. Dave Weldon, retired Army Col. Mike McCalister and activist Marielena Stuart in primary. With 42.7 percent of precincts reporting, Mack had 58.5 percent of ballots cast, according to the Associated Press.

Nelson also easily dispatched a nonserious opponent. The two-term Senator took 79.3 percent of the vote, with 43.1 percent reporting, per AP results.

Mack is seen in both Democratic and Republican circles as a particularly weak candidate. The race in November favors Nelson.

Roll Call rates the Senate race as Leans Democratic. Nelson is widely expected to outperform President Barack Obama regardless of whether he wins the battleground state.

August 9, 2012

House Race Ratings: Changes in Michigan and Washington

House Race Ratings: Changes in Michigan and Washington

Rep. Steve Israel, chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, was pleased with the outcome of Tuesday's primaries. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

House Democrats had a productive primary night Tuesday. But how good was it, really?

In Michigan, Democrats nominated their strongest possible general election candidate, a self-funding former state lawmaker, to challenge freshman Rep. Justin Amash (R) in the 3rd district. Another potential opportunity was solidified in the vacant 11th district, where Republicans nominated a libertarian reindeer rancher who is untested and unvetted as a candidate. Finally, on the West Coast, Democrats nominated the best possible candidate, former Microsoft executive Suzan DelBene, in Washington’s vacant 1st district.

“We were presented with some good opportunities last night,” Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel (N.Y.) boasted to reporters Wednesday. “Make no mistake about it: Michigan was a huge loss for Republicans and a real opportunity for Democrats.”

Full story

August 2, 2012

California: GOP Poll Finds 9th District Race a Dead Heat

Rep. Jerry McNerney (D-Calif.) and his Republican challenger, Ricky Gill, are in a dead heat in the 9th district, according to a poll conducted for Gill and the National Republican Congressional Committee. Full story

August 1, 2012

California: Jerry McNerney Leads Ricky Gill by 16 Points in Own Poll

California: Jerry McNerney Leads Ricky Gill by 16 Points in Own Poll

A poll conducted for Democratic Rep. Jerry McNerney found him comfortably ahead of his GOP challenger in his California district. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

A poll conducted for Rep. Jerry McNerney found the Democrat ahead of his Republican challenger, Ricky Gill, 49 percent to 33 percent.

McNerney led Gill by 24 points among “decline to state” voters, according to the polling memo from Lake Research Partners. The firm conducted the poll of 504 likely voters from July 8-11, and it had a 4.4-point margin of error. Its sample included 45 percent Democrats, 38 percent Republicans and 18 percent DTS or other voters.

This is one of a number of competitive races in California this cycle. Roll Call rates it as Leans Democratic.

Arizona: Ron Barber Up Over Martha McSally in Internal Poll

Arizona: Ron Barber Up Over Martha McSally in Internal Poll

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

An internal poll that Rep. Ron Barber’s (D-Ariz.) campaign released today showed the incumbent has a solid lead over retired Air Force Col. Martha McSally as they head into the fall election.

Barber has the support of 53 percent of respondents, while 40 percent said they backed McSally. Both are their parties’ likely nominees.

Full story

July 30, 2012

Arizona: Martha McSally in D.C. for NRCC Candidate School

Arizona: Martha McSally in D.C. for NRCC Candidate School

(Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Retired Air Force Colonel Martha McSally posted on her Facebook page over the weekend that “the entire AZ Republican Congressional delegation will host a meet and greet” for her Wednesday evening. She added that her campaign’s goal is to raise “another $315k” by Sept. 1.

“I arrived this evening in D.C for four days … [National Republican Congressional Committee] candidate school plus meetings with many people, members of Congress, and organizations,” she also wrote.

McSally is the presumptive GOP nominee to challenge Rep. Ron Barber (D) in the fall in the race for the new 2nd district.

Roll Call rates this race as Leans Democratic.

July 26, 2012

Hawaii: Mazie Hirono Leads Linda Lingle by Double Digits in DSCC Poll

Hawaii: Mazie Hirono Leads Linda Lingle by Double Digits in DSCC Poll

A new Democratic poll shows Rep. Mazie Hirono (above) leading former Gov. Linda Lingle in a general election matchup. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Update 11:00 a.m. | A Democratic poll released this morning found Rep. Mazie Hirono (D) well ahead of former Gov. Linda Lingle (R) in a test of Hawaii’s likely general election Senate matchup.

Hirono led Lingle by 19 points in the poll, conducted by the Mellman Group on behalf of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. It was released today, the same day that Hirono and former Rep. Ed Case will meet for their final debate before the Aug. 11 Democratic primary and as Hirono highlights her ability to work across the aisle on behalf of Hawaii’s interests. Full story

July 24, 2012

Hawaii: Don Young Backs Mazie Hirono

Members of Congress from Hawaii and Alaska have a history of bipartisan cooperation, and that was on full display today in the Hawaii Senate race.

Rep. Don Young (R-Alaska) appeared in a 90-second web ad alongside Rep. Mazie Hirono (D-Hawaii) to endorse her for Hawaii’s open Senate seat. Hirono is facing former Rep. Ed Case in the Aug. 11 Democratic primary, the winner of which will take on former Gov. Linda Lingle (R) in the general election.

Full story

July 23, 2012

California: DCCC Pushes Back With Poll in 47th District

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee pushed back today against a poll conducted for Long Beach City Councilman Gary DeLong (R) that showed a close race with state Sen. Alan Lowenthal (D) for California’s Democratic-leaning 47th district. Full story

July 16, 2012

Florida: Connie Mack IV Beefs Up Fundraising Team

Florida: Connie Mack IV Beefs Up Fundraising Team

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Connie Mack IV (R) has hired veteran Washington, D.C., fundraisers in an effort to bolster his Senate prospects, hoping to capitalize on recent polls that have shown him running competitive with Sen. Bill Nelson (D).

According to Republican sources, Mack, at the urging of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, has hired well-known fundraiser Jim McCray to handle his national fundraising and has brought on Michael Gula and Jonathan Graham of Gula Graham to handle his political action committee fundraising. Among its other Congressional clients, the Gula Graham Group has long been been retained by Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) to run his PAC fundraising. McCray, meanwhile, has worked on multiple GOP presidential campaigns. Full story

July 13, 2012

Hawaii: Fundraising, Dueling Polls in Senate Race

In their potential showdown for the Hawaii’s open Senate seat, Rep. Mazie Hirono (D) and former Gov. Linda Lingle (R) have in the last two days announced their second-quarter fundraising and released dueling polls.

Lingle raised more than $1.1 million in the second quarter, outpacing Hirono, who brought in $941,000 from April to June and had $2 million in cash on hand as of June 30. Lingle did not release her cash-on-hand total. Full story

July 12, 2012

Hawaii: GOP Poll Finds Close Senate Race

Hawaii: GOP Poll Finds Close Senate Race

A poll for Republican Linda Lingle's campaign showed the Hawaii Senate race is competitive. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A poll conducted for former Hawaii Gov. Linda Lingle’s campaign found the Republican would be in a tight race with either of her potential Democratic opponents in this Democratic-leaning state.

According to a polling memo from Jan van Lohuizen, the Voter Consumer Research poll found Lingle leading Rep. Mazie Hirono by 5 points and trailing former Rep. Ed Case by 1 point, which is within the 4-point margin of error. The survey of 600 likely general election voters was taken July 8-10. Full story

June 23, 2012

Illinois: Local Democrats Pick Bill Enyart for Nomination

Democrats selected retired Maj. Gen. Bill Enyart today  to be their new nominee for Congress in Illinois’ 12th district.

“Maj. Gen. Bill Enyart has devoted his entire life to Southern Illinois values of service, hard work and integrity,” Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel (N.Y.) said. ”As the new Democratic nominee, he brings the experience and deep commitment to family, community and the Southern Illinois way of life.”

Democrats were forced to find a new candidate after their nominee dropped out of the race after the primary, citing health reasons. Local party officials, including retiring Rep. Jerry Costello, solicited applications for a replacement nominee. Full story

June 21, 2012

Florida: Bill Nelson Up in New Poll

In a new poll, two-term Sen. Bill Nelson led likely GOP nominee Rep. Connie Mack IV by 4 points in a Florida Senate matchup.

Nelson topped Mack 43 percent to 39 percent in the poll of registered — not likely — Florida voters. Nelson led among independent voters by 11 points, 44 percent to 33 percent.

Forty-four percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Nelson and 26 percent had an unfavorable opinion of him. Full story

June 20, 2012

Massachusetts: Richard Tisei Reserves TV Time in Race Against John Tierney

Massachusetts: Richard Tisei Reserves TV Time in Race Against John Tierney

Massachusetts House candidate Richard Tisei has reserved airtime in the 6th district race. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Republican candidate Richard Tisei reserved almost $650,000 of advertising time on cable and broadcast television for the last month of his competitive race against Rep. John Tierney (D).

Tisei, a former state Senator and 2010 nominee for lieutenant governor, reserved time on cable stations from Oct. 9 to 15. And he reserved time on both cable and Boston broadcast stations from Oct. 16 through Election Day.

Both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee have reserved millions of dollars in airtime in the Boston media market, some or all of which could be used in the 6th district race. Full story

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