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April 21, 2014

Posts in "Leans Republican"

September 27, 2012

Dueling Internal Polls in Iowa and Pennsylvania House Races

Dueling Internal Polls in Iowa and Pennsylvania House Races

A Democratic poll showed Rep. Steve King in a competitive race in Iowa. (Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call)

‘Tis the season for dueling internal polls.

In Iowa, former Iowa first lady Christie Vilsack (D) released a survey today showing her trailing Rep. Steve King (R) by 2 points in the first public poll of this race in several weeks.

A few hours later, the conservative group American Future Fund put out a poll showing King ahead by several points, 48 percent to 41 percent. Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican. Full story

September 26, 2012

Arizona: Richard Carmona Internal Poll Shows Dead Heat in Senate Race

Arizona: Richard Carmona Internal Poll Shows Dead Heat in Senate Race

(Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A new internal poll released Tuesday night by the Senate campaign of former Surgeon General Richard Carmona showed the Arizona race to be in a statistical tie. Rep. Jeff Flake is the Republican nominee and has, until recent weeks, been considered a likely bet to replace retiring Sen. Jon Kyl (R).

Flake led Carmona by 1 point in the poll. Forty-four percent of those surveyed said they backed Flake, while 43 percent backed Carmona. Three percent said they supported a libertarian candidate.

Flake and Carmona have net positive ratings. Thirty-eight percent of respondents had a favorable impression of Flake, while 32 percent had an unfavorable impression of him. As for Carmona, 34 percent viewed him positively, while 15 percent had a negative view of him.

The poll was conducted by Anzalone Lizst Research from Sept. 18-23. The live-interview survey included 600 likely voters. The margin of error was 4 points.

September 25, 2012

Wisconsin: SEIU Backs Off 8th District

The Service Employees International Union has canceled a previously scheduled television ad buy in support of businessman Jamie Wall’s (D) challenge of Rep. Reid Ribble (R).

Roll Call has learned from a source monitoring Wisconsin advertising markets that the union will no longer follow through with its approximately $130,000 reservation in the Green Bay media market, which covers the 8th district. But the same source noted that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is still scheduled to go on television in Green Bay on Oct. 9.

The House Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, had previously canceled a $130,000 television ad-buy reservation in mid-September.

Full story

Iowa: New DCCC Poll Shows Leonard Boswell, Tom Latham Tied

Iowa: New DCCC Poll Shows Leonard Boswell, Tom Latham Tied

A new poll out today showed Rep. Leonard Boswell (above) tied with Rep. Tom Latham in the race for Iowa's 3rd district. (Tom Williams CQ/Roll Call File Photo)

A new Democratic poll shows Reps. Leonard Boswell (D) and Tom Latham (R) tied in their race for Iowa’s redrawn 3rd district.

Both Members earned 45 percent in the survey paid for by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and released today.

Earlier this cycle, local operatives wrote Boswell off because of Latham’s hefty cash advantage. But the race has become increasingly competitive in recent months, much like every other House race in the Hawkeye State.

The poll had the race as a dead heat, even though respondents viewed Latham in a more positive light. Thirty-nine percent viewed Latham favorably, while only 34 percent viewed Boswell favorably.

In the same poll, President Barack Obama leads GOP nominee Mitt Romney, 52 percent to 45 percent.

The Benenson Strategy Group poll interviewed 400 likely voters in the district from Sept. 18- 20. The margin of error was 4.9 percent.

Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican.

September 21, 2012

California: House Majority PAC Targets Jeff Denham

California: House Majority PAC Targets Jeff Denham

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

House Majority PAC, a Democratic-aligned group, is going on the air in California’s 10th district against freshman Republican Rep. Jeff Denham.

The group is launching a Medicare-themed television ad that targets “Denham’s plan” for Medicare and states that his Democratic opponent, astronaut Jose Hernandez, would strengthen the program. The ad hits the Sacramento airwaves Saturday and will run for a week and a half behind a six-figure independent expenditure. Full story

September 18, 2012

Ohio: Charlie Wilson Poll Shows Tied Race With Bill Johnson

The campaign of former Rep. Charlie Wilson (D) released a poll Tuesday showing him in a dead heat with freshman Rep. Bill Johnson (R).

Wilson tied Johnson at 46 percent, with 8 percent of the electorate still undecided, according to the Democrat’s internal campaign survey.

Wilson, a two-term Democrat, lost re-election in 2010 to Johnson in a marginally Republican district.

But Buckeye State Republicans redrew the district to include more GOP voters when they overhauled the state’s Congressional map last year after reapportionment.

Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican.

The Anzalone Liszt Research survey sampled 500 likely 2012 voters Sept. 9-12 and had a 4.4-point margin of error.

September 17, 2012

DSCC, NRSC Fuel Battle for Indiana Senate Seat

The Hoosier State officially became a Senate battleground last week as both parties dropped six-figure ad buys into the race.

During the weekend, the National Republican Senatorial Committee bought $650,000 worth of airtime for a week-long buy to boost its nominee, state Treasurer Richard Mourdock, Roll Call confirmed.

Full story

September 12, 2012

Pennsylvania: Mike Fitzpatrick Airs First TV Spot

Updated | 2:06 p.m. Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.) will air his first television advertisement of the general election today against his opponent, attorney Kathy Boockvar (D).

Fitzpatrick’s first spot focuses on his daughters.

“As parents, my wife and I worked to give our kids a strong future,” Fitzpatrick says. “But if our country doesn’t change course, our kids won’t have the same opportunities we had.”

Full story

September 11, 2012

Oklahoma: Markwayne Mullin Treated for Tear in Esophagus

Plumbing company owner Markwayne Mullin made an unexpected trip to the hospital over the weekend to treat “a small tear” in his esophagus, according to the 2nd district GOP nominee’s Facebook page.

“I’m feeling much better now and the Doctors and Nurses are doing a great job,” Mullin wrote on Sunday. “I’ll be in the hospital until about the end of the week as they keep an eye on me but then I’ll be back on the campaign trail.”

Mullin faces former Assistant District Attorney Rob Wallace (D) in an open-seat race generated by Rep. Dan Boren’s (D) retirement.

Mullin is favored to win the seat despite his brief break from the campaign trail.

Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican.

September 10, 2012

Iowa: Chris Christie to Campaign for Steve King

Iowa: Chris Christie to Campaign for Steve King

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (above) will campaign in Iowa for Rep. Steve King. (Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call)

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) will campaign in the first-in-the-nation caucus state next week to boost Iowa Rep. Steve King (R).

King’s campaign announced today that Christie will “keynote” King’s Defenders of Freedom luncheon on Sept. 20 in Sioux City, Iowa.

King is seeking re-election in a competitive race against former Iowa first lady Christie Vilsack (D). Both parties are targeting the northwestern Iowa district and Roll Call rates the race as Leans Republican. Full story

September 5, 2012

Indiana: Club for Growth Boosts Richard Mourdock With $800K Buy

Indiana: Club for Growth Boosts Richard Mourdock With $800K Buy

(Shira Toeplitz CQ/Roll Call File Photo)

The conservative cavalry will boost Indiana Treasurer Richard Mourdock (R) with a massive television ad buy for his Senate campaign.

The Club for Growth announced today that it bought $800,000 in ad time to run a spot attacking the Democratic nominee, Rep. Joe Donnelly, as a “Washington liberal” on cable and broadcast.

The television buy comes just in time for Mourdock. Democrats have released several internal polls showing the two candidates have been in a statistical tie since the May primaries. Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican.

Full story

August 30, 2012

Arizona: Jeff Flake Talks Senate Race

Arizona: Jeff Flake Talks Senate Race

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

TAMPA, Fla. — On the first day of the general election campaign for Arizona’s open Senate seat, GOP nominee Rep. Jeff Flake popped up on the floor of the Republic National Convention, greeting well-wishers and discussing the state of his race.

Full story

August 29, 2012

DCCC Starts Ads in Illinois’ 13th District

House Democrats are on the air in Illinois and hitting a GOP candidate in regard to Ryan — jailed former Gov. George Ryan, that is.

Rodney Davis, the GOP nominee in the 13th district, is the recipient of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s first independent expenditure in the Land of Lincoln.

The 30-second spot kicks off a $230,000 television buy in the Champaign, Ill., media market.

Full story

August 28, 2012

Arizona: Jeff Flake Defeats Wil Cardon in GOP Senate Primary

Arizona: Jeff Flake Defeats Wil Cardon in GOP Senate Primary

Arizona Rep. Jeff Flake is favored to hold a Senate seat for Republicans this fall. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Jeff Flake easily defeated real estate investor Wil Cardon in Tuesday’s Arizona Senate GOP primary, setting up a battle with Democrat Richard Carmona this fall.

Flake led Cardon 70 percent to 20 percent with just 15 percent of the vote counted, according to the Associated Press.

A year ago, Flake was the frontrunner to succeed retiring Sen. Jon Kyl (R). In the spring, Cardon initiated a television ad campaign that at times was highly personal and negative. In the summer, Flake returned the favor and the race became increasingly nasty. Full story

Oklahoma: Rob Wallace, Markwayne Mullin Win Primaries in 2nd District

Former district attorney Rob Wallace (D) and plumbing company owner Markwayne Mullin (R) will face off this November in the 2nd district.

Wallace defeated a well-funded seed company owner, Wayne Herriman, for the Democratic nod, 57 percent to 43 percent. Mullin defeated state Rep. George Faught, 57 percent to 43 percent, to become the GOP nominee, according to unofficial results from the Oklahoma Secretary of State.

This marks the second time both pairs of candidates have run against each other. Neither candidate won enough support in the June 26 primary to avoid today’s runoff.

Their victories set up the race for retiring Democratic Rep. Dan Boren’s “Little Dixie” seat in eastern Oklahoma. Roll Call rates the seat as Leans Republican.

The 2nd district overwhelmingly supported Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) for the national ticket in 2008. But Boren always won re-election by a comfortable margin.

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