- Franken Maintains Lead in Minnesota
- Senator's Refusal to Resign Changed South Dakota Politics
- Political Ads Flood the Airwaves
- Bonus Quote of the Day
- Rubio Changes Tune on Immigration
Posts in "Leans Republican"
June 22, 2012
The Club for Growth and Rep. Trent Franks (R) are currently engaged in a proxy war over the Arizona Senate GOP primary.
Franks has endorsed real estate investor Wil Cardon, while the club is backing Rep. Jeff Flake in the GOP race to succeed retiring Sen. Jon Kyl (R).
The club responded swiftly.
“The facts in our ads are entirely accurate: Wil Cardon did support a massive tax increase, and Cardon is a leading member of a liberal organization that wants to raise gas taxes and backs a cap-and-trade energy scheme,” Club for Growth Communications Director Barney Keller wrote in a statement. “Trent Franks is a good man and it’s a shame that he is allowing his personal bitterness at the Club for Growth PAC’s support of Jeff Flake over him in the U.S. Senate race to cloud his judgment about liberal Wil Cardon.”
At issue is Proposition 400, a 2004 extension of a half-cent transportation sales tax in Maricopa County. A spokeswoman in the Cardon camp told Roll Call that Cardon does not support tax increases from Capitol Hill but does support voters’ right to approve such action via referendum.
Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican. Former Surgeon General Dr. Richard Carmona is the presumptive Democratic nominee.
June 21, 2012
At least one candidate is prepared for however the Supreme Court rules next week on the health care overhaul law — although Indiana’s GOP Senate nominee, Richard Mourdock, probably didn’t want the world to know it.
Mourdock’s campaign uploaded four videos to respond to the high court’s imminent decision — and each one has a different answer depending on the ruling.
Uh, oops. The Supreme Court isn’t supposed to rule on the law until Monday at the earliest. Full story
June 19, 2012
Nebraska state Sen. Deb Fischer’s (R) campaign released an internal poll today that showed her ahead of former Sen. Bob Kerrey (D) by a large margin in the race to replace retiring Sen. Ben Nelson (D).
The poll showed Fischer at 58 percent while Kerrey garnered 33 percent.
A source from the Kerrey campaign told Roll Call that other private polling shows a much tighter race, and the source stressed that Fischer is widely unknown in the state.
National Democrats upped the ante in the North Dakota Senate race with a second ad buy to boost their nominee, former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp.
This week, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee placed another $86,000 statewide ad buy through their independent expenditure arm. The 30-second spot, which runs from today to July 2, blasts Heitkamp’s opponent, freshman Rep. Rick Berg (R-N.D.).
June 18, 2012
Just days before the Supreme Court is expected to make a highly anticipated ruling on the health care law, former Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp (D) took on the controversial issue in a new television advertisement.
Heitkamp, who faces freshman Rep. Rick Berg (R-N.D.) this November, invokes her personal experience beating breast cancer 12 years ago in the 30-second spot.
“When you live through that, political attack ads seem silly,” she says in her straight-to-camera appeal. “I would never vote to take away a senior’s health care or limit anyone’s care. There’s good and bad in the health care law, and it needs to be fixed. But Rick Berg voted to go back to letting insurance companies deny coverage to kids or for pre-existing conditions.”
The advertisement is notable because Democratic candidates running in Republican states typically avoid discussing the health care law altogether — let alone pay for airtime promoting it. Additionally, Republicans have criticized Heitkamp for championing the legislation a couple of years ago.
But the spot also gives hints at how Democrats will discuss the controversial law during 2012 campaign in wake of the high court’s upcoming decision. A top Senate Democratic aide confirmed they expect more candidates to discuss the individual negative effects of repealing parts of the health care law — no matter how the Supreme Court rules.
June 14, 2012
Rep. Joe Donnelly (D) is set to hit the airwaves Friday with his first general election television ad of the Indiana Senate race, a $250,000 statewide buy.
According to a copy of the spot obtained by Roll Call, the 30-second advertisement paints GOP nominee Richard Mourdock as an extremist and highlights Donnelly’s bipartisanship in Congress.
“To me, the highlight of politics, frankly, is to inflict my opinion on somebody else,” Mourdock, a state Treasurer, says in the on-camera MSNBC interview that is used in the spot. (View the full spot after the jump)
June 13, 2012
Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer upset the North Dakota Republican Party-backed candidate for at-large Representative on Tuesday night. With 84 percent of precincts reporting, Cramer had 53 percent to Brian Kalk’s 46 percent.
Cramer is running for the House seat vacated by freshman Rep. Rick Berg (R), who easily won his Senate primary Tuesday against businessman Duane Sand (R).
Earlier this year, North Dakota Republicans picked Kalk, also a public service commissioner, as their endorsed candidate in the GOP primary. A former state party chairman, Cramer ran outside the party endorsement system, giving the GOP’s chosen candidate a significant challenge for the first time in recent history.
National conservative groups such as the Club for Growth and FreedomWorks boosted Cramer with independent expenditures on his behalf.
This November, Cramer faces the newly minted Democratic nominee, former state Rep. Pam Gulleson. Roll Call rates this seat as Likely Republican.
Berg faces former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp in November. Roll Call rates the North Dakota Senate race as Leans Republican.
June 12, 2012
A new survey from plumbing-company owner Markwayne Mullin’s campaign shows him leading the GOP field for retiring Rep. Dan Boren’s (D) competitive southeastern Oklahoma seat.
Mullin had 30 percent in the poll, state Rep. George Faught had 15 percent and former state Rep. Wayne Pettigrew had 7 percent. Thirty-four percent of voters were undecided in the survey, which was paid for by Mullin’s campaign.
There’s a good chance the winner of the June 26 Republican primary could come to Congress. Oklahoma’s 2nd district leans Republican, and Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) won it with 66 percent in 2008 even though Boren has always won re-election by substantial margins.
Updated 6:29 p.m.: Rep. Trent Franks (R) will endorse Wil Cardon over fellow Rep. Jeff Flake today in the Republican Senatorial primary.
Franks is scheduled to co-host a campaign style meet-and-greet with Cardon this evening in Phoenix, and earlier today he released a statement that was complimentary of the wealthy businessman and his Senatorial candidacy.
June 11, 2012
Updated: 8:03 p.m. | The Arizona Republican Senate primary is getting nasty.
Rep. Jeff Flake has issued an apology to real estate investor Wil Cardon for a Web ad the Flake campaign produced accusing Cardon of failing to file company income taxes.
June 7, 2012
A new independent poll shows freshman Rep. Rick Berg (R) and former Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp (D) in a virtual tie for the open North Dakota Senate seat.
Heitkamp leads Berg, 47 percent to 46 percent, according to a survey conducted by the Mason-Dixon Polling and Research for KVLY and KFYR television stations. Just 7 percent of voters were undecided in the poll.
The survey comes as good news to Democrats, who hope to keep the seat of retiring Sen. Kent Conrad seat as part of their larger effort to maintain control of the Senate. The results are yet another sign that the race is competitive, although Roll Call continues to rate it as Leans Republican. Full story
That was fast. Top Michigan Republicans decided to support former state Sen. Nancy Cassis (R) as their consensus write-in candidate for the 11th district GOP ballot.
A cadre of top local GOP leaders met again this morning to discuss potential candidates and settled on Cassis out of a handful of write-in hopefuls who expressed interest.
The decision follows a hectic couple of days for the local GOP since Rep. Thaddeus McCotter (R-Mich.) dropped his own write-in bid Saturday after failing to make the Aug. 7 primary ballot.
There’s one Republican on the primary ballot, reindeer rancher Kerry Bentivolio, but GOP leaders opted to try to support a write-in candidate instead.
GOP Rep. Sean Duffy’s re-election campaign quickly claimed to have seized the momentum in his competitive race for re-election following Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s (R) easy victory in Tuesday’s gubernatorial recall election.
Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, the Democrat who opposed Walker in the recall, won only three of the 26 counties in the 7th district, according to a Wednesday memo from the Duffy campaign. Voters in the counties that make up the district picked Walker over Barrett by a 17-point margin. Full story
June 5, 2012
Sen. Marco Rubio stumped for state Treasurer Richard Mourdock on Monday evening in Indiana, marking the sought-after Florida Republican’s second road trip to campaign for a Senate candidate this cycle.
The GOP duo stopped by Shapiro’s Deli in Carmel on Rubio’s Indiana swing, which also included some fundraising.
Mourdock will face Rep. Joe Donnelly, the Democratic nominee, in November. The Treasurer defeated six-term Sen. Dick Lugar in an early May GOP primary.
The Indiana race is competitive, but Republicans have the advantage given the state’s GOP-leaning political composition. Accordingly, Roll Call rates this race Leans Republican.
Earlier this year, Rubio traveled to Ohio to campaign with state Treasurer Josh Mandel, the GOP’s nominee against Sen. Sherrod Brown (D).
According to an aide, Rubio has bundled at least $30,000 for Mandel and about $20,000 for Mourdock. Those figures do not include any money Rubio raised for the candidates during his trips to their respective states.
The Club for Growth is targeting Republican Senate candidate Wil Cardon with $500,000 in radio and television ads.
The club, which has endorsed Rep. Jeff Flake (R), has begun a series of ads targeting Cardon, a wealthy real estate investor.
This latest blitz includes two 15-second television ads and a 60-second radio ad. Each questions Cardon’s fiscal conservative credentials.
Cardon spokeswoman Alyssa Pivirotto wrote in an email statement that the club is “hell-bent on using an onslaught of attack ads to distract voters.” She questioned the truthfulness of the ads’ content and added, “Clearly these are desperate times at Flake headquarters and for the out-of-state wealthy interests who have used him to carry their water in Congress.”
Cardon and Flake are vying to succeed Senate Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R), who is retiring. Roll Call rates this race as Leans Republican. Former Surgeon General Richard Carmona is the presumptive Democratic nominee.