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Posts in "Likely Democratic"
July 31, 2012
The House Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, released two polls this morning that indicate Democrats are well-positioned in high-profile races in Utah and Maryland.
In the tossup race for Utah’s 4th, 51 percent of respondents said they would vote for Rep. Jim Matheson (D), while 33 percent supported Mia Love (R). In the Maryland 6th district survey, businessman John Delaney (D) had the support of 44 percent of those polled, while 42 percent said they would vote for Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R). The difference is within the poll’s margin of error.
July 26, 2012
Updated 5:44 p.m. | State Speaker Chris Donovan’s (D) former campaign manager, Joshua Nassi, has been charged in connection with a contribution scandal that has put the Donovan campaign for the 5th district on the skids, according to the Danbury News Times.
Federal authorities have spent the past several months investigating an alleged quid pro quo scheme involving donations to the Donovan campaign and tobacco tax legislation in the state House. Nassi was dismissed from the campaign in early June.
Former Rep. Christopher Shays is going on the air after all, less than two weeks after he announced he would not run TV ads in the lead-up to the Aug. 14 GOP Senate primary in Connecticut.
His campaign today released a new, positive television ad featuring his wife, Betsi.
July 24, 2012
FreedomWorks PAC today backed the underdog in Michigan’s Republican Senate primary.
Charter schools executive Clark Durant received the conservative group’s endorsement, although Republicans expect former Rep. Pete Hoekstra will win the GOP primary and the right to challenge Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) on Aug. 7
FreedomWorks PAC joins several conservatives and affiliated groups that have backed Durant, including Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah).
Stabenow is favored to win re-election, and Roll Call rates this race as Likely Democratic.
July 16, 2012
Former Rep. Christopher Shays (R) has opted against going on television in the lead-up to his Aug. 14 Senate primary against former WWE CEO Linda McMahon.
“Don’t make an assumption because I’m not going to have TV ads that we’re not going to win. We’re taking our money, whatever we have, and we’re going to spend it to talk to 150,000 people. That’s how you win a primary,” he told the Hartford Courant.
McMahon has been on television since May. Roll Call rates this race as Likely Democratic.
July 11, 2012
Firebrand former Rep. Alan Grayson (D-Fla.) announced today that he raised $820,000 in the second quarter and ended June with about $1.2 million in cash on hand in his bid to return to the House.
Grayson was beaten by now-Rep. Daniel Webster by 18 points in 2010 but is running in the newly configured Orlando-area 9th district, which is friendly to Democrats. It would have voted about 60 percent for Barack Obama in 2008. Full story
July 5, 2012
Updated, 4:26 p.m. | An internal investigation released today shows that Connecticut House Speaker Chris Donovan (D) “had no knowledge of illegal contributions to his campaign,” according to the Hartford Courant.
A quid pro quo scandal involving tobacco legislation and campaign donations has rocked the Donovan campaign for the past month. An FBI sting resulted in the arrest of Donovan’s finance director and the termination of two other staffers.
Donovan’s political opponents from both parties were highly critical of the report, conducted by former U.S. Attorney Stanley Twardy. Per the Courant, Twardy lacked subpoena power and attorneys prevented interviews with central figures in the investigation.
June 13, 2012
Danny Tarkanian topped eight others Tuesday night to win Nevada’s 4th district Republican primary, setting up a general election race with Democratic state Senate Majority Leader Steven Horsford.
Tarkanian, an attorney and son of legendary basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian, won with 32 percent of the vote, followed by state Sen. Barbara Cegavske with 28 percent, bail enforcement agent Kenneth Wegner with 21 percent and businessman Dan Schwartz with 11 percent. Full story
Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer upset the North Dakota Republican Party-backed candidate for at-large Representative on Tuesday night. With 84 percent of precincts reporting, Cramer had 53 percent to Brian Kalk’s 46 percent.
Cramer is running for the House seat vacated by freshman Rep. Rick Berg (R), who easily won his Senate primary Tuesday against businessman Duane Sand (R).
Earlier this year, North Dakota Republicans picked Kalk, also a public service commissioner, as their endorsed candidate in the GOP primary. A former state party chairman, Cramer ran outside the party endorsement system, giving the GOP’s chosen candidate a significant challenge for the first time in recent history.
National conservative groups such as the Club for Growth and FreedomWorks boosted Cramer with independent expenditures on his behalf.
This November, Cramer faces the newly minted Democratic nominee, former state Rep. Pam Gulleson. Roll Call rates this seat as Likely Republican.
Berg faces former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp in November. Roll Call rates the North Dakota Senate race as Leans Republican.
June 6, 2012
Bernalillo County Commissioner Michelle Lujan Grisham won New Mexico’s 1st district Democratic primary and is now favored to be the next Representative for the Albuquerque-based seat.
In a three-way primary that got nasty in the closing weeks, Lujan Grisham won with 40 percent of the vote, followed by state Sen. Eric Griego with 35 percent and former Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez with 25 percent. Full story
June 5, 2012
State Speaker Chris Donovan, the Democratic frontrunner in the 5th district, is in a heap of political trouble.
On Wednesday, his campaign aide Robert Braddock Jr. was arrested and charged with improperly concealing campaign contributions ostensibly solicited to kill state legislation to regulate tobacco, according to the Connecticut Mirror.
Donovan has denied any awareness of the activity and promised to press on with his campaign. Full story
May 30, 2012
New Mexico state Sen. Eric Griego is slamming his 1st district Democratic primary opponent, Michelle Lujan Grisham, in a new TV ad set to be released today.
With less than a week to go until the primary, the ad comes in response to an attack ad Lujan Grisham leveled against Griego. Both candidates have been neck and neck in public and private polling, with former Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez in third place.
The Griego ad is part of a large ad buy and directs its focus to Lujan Grisham’s time as director of the New Mexico Agency on Aging and as state secretary of Health. It cites a U.S. Justice Department investigation into the Fort Bayard Medical Center.
May 22, 2012
Two new internal polls in New Mexico’s 1st district illustrate how tight the battle for the Democratic nomination is with just two weeks to go.
Former Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez, state Sen. Eric Griego and Bernalillo County Commissioner Michelle Lujan Grisham are running in the June 5 Democratic primary. The winner will be favored to hold the Albuquerque-based seat, which Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) is vacating to run for Senate. Full story
Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D) endorsed Rep. Christopher Murphy (D) for Senate on Monday.
“From standing up for American jobs and manufacturers to protecting Medicare and Social Security, Chris has been a strong partner for me during his service in the House,” Blumenthal said.
Murphy is the frontrunner in the Democratic primary, which also features former Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz. Full story
May 19, 2012
As expected, former World Wrestling Entertainment CEO Linda McMahon topped former Rep. Chris Shays in the state convention fight for the Connecticut Republican Party’s endorsement Friday night.
McMahon picked up the support of 60 percent of the delegates at the state convention, while Shays got 32 percent of the vote, according to the Associated Press. While the margin was significant, most political observers expected McMahon to win, and Shays met the 15 percent threshold to qualify for the primary on Aug. 14.
McMahon and Shays are running to replace retiring Sen. Joe Lieberman (I). McMahon also won her party’s Senate endorsement over former Rep. Rob Simmons in 2010. She went on to lose that race in the fall to now-Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D). Full story