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April 20, 2014

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June 28, 2012

Arizona: Jeff Flake to Make $1.4 Million TV Ad Buy

Arizona: Jeff Flake to Make $1.4 Million TV Ad Buy

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Jeff Flake is set to spend at least $1.4 million of his Senate campaign war chest on television advertising in his attempt to secure the Republican nomination.

Flake has found himself in a costly primary against self-funding real estate investor Wil Cardon. The ad buy is set to run from July 9 through the Aug. 28 primary.

Roll Call rates the general election as Leans Republican. Former Surgeon General Richard Carmona is the presumptive Democratic nominee.

June 27, 2012

Crossroads Launches TV Ads In North Dakota, New Mexico

American Crossroads and its nonprofit affiliate, Crossroads GPS, today launched new television ads targeting competitive Senate races in New Mexico and North Dakota.

American Crossroads, a GOP-aligned super PAC, went up with its second ad in New Mexico on behalf of former Rep. Heather Wilson (R), who is facing Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) in the race for the open Senate seat. The group spent $184,000 on the ad — its second to air this month — which airs statewide on broadcast and cable from today through July 7. Full story

Oklahoma: John Sullivan Loses Primary in Surprise Upset

Oklahoma: John Sullivan Loses Primary in Surprise Upset

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. John Sullivan unexpectedly lost the GOP primary Tuesday night to U.S. Navy Reserve pilot Jim Bridenstine, a political newcomer who has tea party support.

The five-term Congressman trailed Bridenstine 46 percent to 54 percent, with 94 percent of precincts reporting at 12:30 a.m., when the Associated Press called the race. Sullivan, who was first elected to Congress in a 2002 special election, vastly outspent his challenger, the former executive director of the Tulsa Air and Space Museum.

During the campaign, Bridenstine attacked Sullivan as an out-of-touch politician and for his lackluster attendance record in Congress, saying he missed 9 percent of votes, according to local reports. Sullivan acknowledged he has missed votes because of his battle with alcoholism, for which he checked himself into a rehabilitation center in 2009.

“I’ve never had a race like this in all my life,” Sullivan told the Associated Press a few days ago. “The only mistake I made was I ignored it for too long.”

The 1st district, which includes Tulsa, is a solid GOP seat that only incurred minimal changes in redistricting. The district voted for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) with 64 percent in 2008. Bridenstine will be the next Member representing this seat in all likelihood.

Sullivan is the eighth House Member to lose a primary this cycle, although four of those have lost to another Member in a race created by redistricting. To see who else isn’t returning to the 113th Congress, check out our Casualty List.

June 26, 2012

Utah: Orrin Hatch Cruises to Victory in GOP Primary

Utah: Orrin Hatch Cruises to Victory in GOP Primary

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Sen. Orrin Hatch handily won renomination in the Republican primary Tuesday night and is now heavily favored to win re-election to a seventh term, which he has said would be his last.

After entering the 2012 cycle as one of the Senate’s most endangered incumbents, the 78-year-old lawmaker survived a challenge from Dan Liljenquist, an underfunded former state Senator whose candidacy was ultimately undone by Hatch’s strong campaign and a lack of angst over the Senator’s voting record and length of service. Hatch led 69 percent to 31 percent, with 13 percent of precincts reporting.

The Associated Press called the race just after 11 p.m. Eastern time. Full story

Oklahoma: Runoffs Set in Second District

No Democrat or Republican garnered enough of the vote tonight to avoid a runoff for the “Little Dixie” district of retiring Rep. Dan Boren (D).

On Aug. 28, plumbing company owner Markwayne Mullin and state Rep. George Faught will face off for the GOP nomination.

Two Democrats, former Assistant U.S. Attorney Rob Wallace and seed company owner Wayne Herriman, will also head to a runoff on the same date. Full story

Colorado: Doug Lamborn Survives Primary

After a late scare, Rep. Doug Lamborn won the Republican primary in the 5th district and should win re-election in the fall.

Around 9:30 p.m. the Associated Press called the race for Lamborn, who had 69 percent to self-funding challenger Robert Blaha’s 39 percent with 87 percent of precincts reporting.

Blaha’s early spending was enough to make some of Lamborn’s backers nervous and the Blaha team confident. There was little in the way of public polling, and Blaha’s spending raised eyebrows. Still, in the end, it was not enough. (Except for a brief period when a snafu with AP results accidentally flipped the percentages, causing some confusion among close watchers of the race.)

Blaha heavily outspent Lamborn in the first quarter of the year. But by the time of the pre-primary Federal Election Commission reporting period, Lamborn matched Blaha’s rate of spending.

Lamborn should win re-election in the fall as Roll Cal rates this seat as Safe Republican.

South Carolina: Tom Rice Likely Next Member From New District

Horry County Council Chairman Tom Rice beat former Lt. Gov. André Bauer in GOP primary runoff in South Carolina’s new 7th district. In November, he’ll face economist and former Georgia state Rep. Gloria Bromell Tinubu, who won the Democratic primary runoff against attorney Preston Brittain.

Shortly after 9 p.m., the Associated Press called the race for Rice. With 94 percent of precincts reporting, he had 56 percent to Bauer’s 44 percent.

Around the same time, the AP called the race for Bromell Tinubu. With 94 percent of precincts reporting, she had 73 percent to Brittain’s 27 percent.

Democrats and Republicans in the state do not believe Bromell Tinubu can win the race in the Myrtle Beach-anchored district. Roll Call rates the 7th district race as Safe Repubican.

Since the 7th is a new district granted to the Palmetto State in reapportionment, if Rice wins, as expected, this will be a pickup for Republicans.

Michigan: Freshman Justin Amash Backs Kerry Bentivolio

Reindeer rancher Kerry Bentivolio (R) picked up the backing of freshman Rep. Justin Amash (R-Mich.) today in the primary race in the 11th district.

“Having spent time with Kerry over the last few weeks and having listened to his vision for our country, I believe that Kerry is someone we can count on to do what’s right, not just what’s easy,” Amash said in a statement released by Bentivolio’s campaign.

The endorsement comes one day after Bentivolio’s campaign announced it was on the air with a TV ad. It’s yet another sign the once-unknown Republican aims to run a competitive race for the GOP primary against former state Sen. Nancy Cassis, a write-in candidate.

Earlier this month, Rep. Thaddeus McCotter (R) dropped his re-election bid after his campaign submitted ballot petitions filled with errors and duplicate names. Bentivolio was then the only Republican left on the party’s ballot, but local GOP officials started searching for a new write-in candidate to support in the Aug. 7 primary.

Michigan GOP officials settled on Cassis, who sources say plans to put $200,000 of her own money into the race.

DSCC Reserves $1.2 Million in North Dakota

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee reserved $1.2 million in fall airtime in North Dakota today.

The buy caps the committee’s first wave of ad investments in five key states with top Senate races, including $4.5 million in Missouri, $3.2 million in Montana, $7.5 million in Virginia and $5.1 million in Ohio.

According to a source familiar with the buy, the North Dakota reservation is for Oct. 2 through Nov. 5. But committees can change the reservation at any time without financial penalty — and they often do just that in the final months before Election Day depending on the competitiveness of a race. Full story

Minnesota: Michele Bachmann Opponent’s Poll Shows Competitive Race

Minnesota: Michele Bachmann Opponents Poll Shows Competitive Race

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A newly released Democratic poll shows Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) could face a competitive race in November, although there is little other evidence at this point that she is in danger.

Bachmann led businessman Jim Graves (D) 48 percent to 43 percent, according to a survey paid for by the likely Democratic Farmer Labor nominee’s campaign. Nine percent of respondents were undecided.

The survey marks the first public indication that the 6th district race could be competitive. Democrats unsuccessfully targeted Bachmann in the 2008 cycle, but they argue the Congresswoman is more vulnerable than ever following her failed presidential bid. Full story

Colorado: Doug Lamborn Vulnerable in GOP Primary

Colorado: Doug Lamborn Vulnerable in GOP Primary

Rep. Doug Lamborn faces a primary against a self-funding opponent. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Doug Lamborn (R-Colo.) is facing the toughest primary of his House career today.

His challenger, wealthy businessman Robert Blaha, has outspent Lamborn in the race for the 5th district over the course of this year. Running as an “outsider,” Blaha charges that while Lamborn has been a reliable conservative, Blaha would be a more effective Member.

Full story

New Mexico: Enviro Groups Launch New Ad Against Heather Wilson

The League of Conservation Voters and Defenders of Wildlife Action Committee launched a new round of television advertising in New Mexico against Republican Senate nominee Heather Wilson.

The former Congresswoman, who is running for the open Senate seat against Rep. Martin Heinrich (D), has been the target of a coalition effort from several environmental and conservation groups in recent weeks. The two groups responsible for the latest ad have already spent $700,000 in independent expenditures on the race this month, according to Federal Election Commission records.

Full story

Virginia: Former Gov. Linwood Holton Lends Name for Tim Kaine

Virginia: Former Gov. Linwood Holton Lends Name for Tim Kaine

(Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Democratic Senate candidate Tim Kaine distributed a fundraising appeal Monday from former Gov. Linwood Holton (R).

As the subject line states, Kaine is Holton’s son-in-law. But Holton, who was governor in the early 1970s, says he is backing Kaine because “we need people who will roll up their sleeves and focus on getting things done instead of fighting over everything all the time.”

Kaine is running against fellow former Gov. George Allen (R) in a race Roll Call rates as a Tossup.

“Tim is a great leader and a great guy — and he also happens to be married to my daughter Anne!” Holton says in the email, which asks for a contribution of $5 or more before Saturday’s fundraising deadline.

June 25, 2012

Michigan: Democratic Poll Shows Gary McDowell Within 2 Points of Dan Benishek

Updated 5:33 p.m. | A new Democratic poll of Michigan’s 1st district showed former state Rep. Gary McDowell (D) within 2 points of freshman Rep. Dan Benishek (R).

Benishek barely leads McDowell, 40 percent to 38 percent, with 22 percent of respondents undecided, according to a survey paid for by House Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, and released to Roll Call.

The poll is the most recent indication Democrats can compete in the northern Michigan House district this cycle. It’s one of the must-win seats for House Democrats if they want to make inroads into the GOP’s 25-seat majority this November. Full story

June 23, 2012

Illinois: Local Democrats Pick Bill Enyart for Nomination

Democrats selected retired Maj. Gen. Bill Enyart today  to be their new nominee for Congress in Illinois’ 12th district.

“Maj. Gen. Bill Enyart has devoted his entire life to Southern Illinois values of service, hard work and integrity,” Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel (N.Y.) said. ”As the new Democratic nominee, he brings the experience and deep commitment to family, community and the Southern Illinois way of life.”

Democrats were forced to find a new candidate after their nominee dropped out of the race after the primary, citing health reasons. Local party officials, including retiring Rep. Jerry Costello, solicited applications for a replacement nominee. Full story

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