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November 25, 2015

Posts in "Republicans"

November 6, 2015

With the Senate Up for Grabs, All Eyes Are on the Presidential Race

NEW YORK, NY - NOVEMBER 03:  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a news conference before a public signing for his new book "Crippled America: How to Make America Great Again," at the Trump Tower Atrium on November 3, 2015 in New York City. According to a new poll, Ben Carson, the retired neurosurgeon, has pulled ahead of Trump with 29% of Republican primary voters.  (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Democrats think that Trump at the top of the ticket will make their path to control of the Senate easier. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Among those watching the White House race most closely a year from Election Day are those who stand to gain the most from the top-of-the-ticket contest.

House and Senate candidates from both parties know their fates are closely tied to the fortunes of their parties’ respective presidential nominees and the tenor of the national conversation next November.

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The 10 Most Vulnerable House Members

Graham is one of the most vulnerable House members this cycle.  (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Graham is one of the most vulnerable House members. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Freshmen Republicans who won otherwise Democratic-leaning seats in last year’s GOP wave outnumber Democrats 7 to 3 on Roll Call’s list of the 10 most vulnerable House members a year out from Election Day.

Last cycle, seven of the 10 most vulnerable incumbents did not return to Congress: three retired, two lost primaries and two lost general elections.

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The 10 Most Vulnerable Senators

UNITED STATES - NOVEMBER 13: Sen. Mark Kirk, R-Ill., speaks with Roll Call at his desk in the Hart Senate Office Building on Thursday, Nov. 13, 2014. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Democrats are going all-in to try to beat Illinois Republican Kirk. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The script has most definitely been flipped on Senate battlegrounds in 2016.

This cycle, Republicans take nine of the 10 spots on Roll Call’s list of the most vulnerable senators. That’s a marked turn from 2014, when there were nine Democrats and one Republican.

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November 5, 2015

Artur Davis Goes to Court to Get Back Into Democratic Party

Former Democratic congressman from Alabama Artur Davis speaks at the 2012 Republican National Convention at the Tampa Bay Times Forum. (Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Former Democratic Congressman Davis speaks at the 2012 Republican National Convention at the Tampa Bay Times Forum. (Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Should a desperation move to crowbar his way into local politics fail next week, former Rep. Artur Davis may attempt to drag Democrat leaders before the state Supreme Court.

“If I’m successful, we’ll be taking our case to voters in District 1,” Davis told the Montgomery Advertiser. “If I’m not successful, there’s another court down the street I’d be willing to talk to, the Alabama Supreme Court. If I’m unsuccessful in the judicial process, then I’m unsuccessful.”

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November 4, 2015

McConnell on GOP Gains in Kentucky: Thanks, Obama


McConnell said Kentucky’s 2015 races were a referendum on Obamacare. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Democrats might disagree, but Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell thinks the GOP electoral wave in his home state Tuesday was about President Barack Obama.

The Kentucky Republican told CQ Roll Call that he viewed the election returns Tuesday in his home commonwealth as a strike against the Obama administration’s agenda — particularly the Affordable Care Act.

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November 2, 2015

What to Watch for on Election Day

Bevin, who ran an unsuccessful GOP Senate primary in Kentucky in 2014, is trailing in a gubernatorial contest on Tuesday in the Bluegrass State. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Bevin, left, who ran an unsuccessful GOP Senate primary in Kentucky in 2014, is trailing in the Bluegrass State gubernatorial contest. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Voters in a handful of states across the country head to the polls Tuesday for a slate of elections that political handicappers use as an off-year election bellwether of what might happen in 2016.

And while no federal offices are on the table, results from these states will have implications for House and Senate contests in 2016.

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Florida Republican to Retire From Congress

Nugent is retiring in 2016 after serving three terms. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Nugent is retiring in 2016 after serving three terms. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 4 p.m. | Rep. Rich Nugent, R-Fla., will retire from Congress after just three terms, he announced Monday, saying he wants to spend more time with his family.

Nugent, 64, leaves vacant a safe Republican seat based in northwestern Florida. GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney won it in 2012 by a 19-point margin — meaning the Republican primary is likely to produce the next member from this seat.

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Special Election Date Set for Boehner Replacement

A special election to replace Boehner will be held June 7. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

A special election to replace Boehner will be held June 7. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Ohio Gov. John Kasich, a Republican, has set the special election to replace former Speaker John A. Boehner for June 7, 2016, according to The Associated Press.

A primary for the seat will be held on March 15, which coincides with the Buckeye State’s presidential primary.

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October 29, 2015

Ryan Donated Thousands to Those Who Voted Against Him for Speaker


Of the 10 Republicans in the House GOP conference who voted for someone other than Paul D. Ryan for speaker Thursday morning, half of them took thousands of dollars from the new speaker’s leadership political action committee since the 2010 elections, a CQ Roll Call analysis shows.

Most of those defectors were in the House Freedom Caucus — a group that includes roughly 40 of the House GOP’s most conservative members who would have been unlikely to support anyone who was not an ideologically pure conservative as speaker.

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The Winners and Losers of the CNBC Debate

BOULDER, CO - OCTOBER 28:  Presidential candidates Sen. Marco Rubio (R) (R-FL) speaks while Jeb Bush looks on during the CNBC Republican Presidential Debate at University of Colorados Coors Events Center October 28, 2015 in Boulder, Colorado.  Fourteen Republican presidential candidates are participating in the third set of Republican presidential debates.  (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Rubio, right, turned the tables on an attack by Bush. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Sens. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz delivered the strongest performances in Wednesday night’s Republican presidential debate, a group of GOP strategists told CQ Roll call, and should see a bounce in their poll numbers between now and the next faceoff in two weeks.

“Rubio delivered yet another solid performance in which he demonstrated what a good candidate he is. And how formidable he could be in November,” said Jason Roe, who has managed and advised congressional campaigns, including that of former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay of Texas.

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October 28, 2015

Favorite Sons Pinching GOP Florida Senate Contributions

Two native sons running for president in Florida are casting a shadow over the state's Senate primary. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Bush, above, and Rubio’s presidential bids in Florida are casting a shadow over the fundraising race in the state’s Senate primary. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Two favorite sons of Florida running for president in the crowded GOP primary field are stunting fundraising for the 2016 Senate race in the Sunshine State, sucking up the time and attention span of Florida’s top donors, according to multiple Florida Republican operatives.

The presidential campaigns of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and outgoing Florida Sen. Marco Rubio have siphoned off the time and money from top donors that could be going to Republican Senate candidates. The cash squeeze has been so bad that the leading Democrat in the race raised nearly as much in the third quarter as the three top Republican candidates combined.

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October 27, 2015

Candidates All Face Challenges Heading Into Third GOP Debate

Republican presidential hopefuls  Ben Carson and Donald Trump participate in the Republican Presidential Debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California on September 16, 2015. Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump stepped into a campaign hornet's nest as his rivals collectively turned their sights on the billionaire in the party's second debate of the 2015.  AFP PHOTO / FREDERIC J. BROWN        (Photo credit should read FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP/Getty Images)

Carson has surged past Trump in polls in the early voting state of Iowa. (Frederic J. Brown/AFP/Getty Images)

The horse race that is the 2016 presidential campaign remains a long one. But Republican strategists maintain that several White House hopefuls have serious ground to cover in Wednesday’s third GOP debate lest they get left behind in the dust.

Virtually all the Republican strategists and consultants surveyed by CQ Roll Call had an opinion about what front-runners Donald Trump and Ben Carson could do to distance themselves from the rest of the field. Few seemed invested in what, if anything, those stuck at the “kids table” — that means you, Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and one-time Iowa caucus-winner Rick Santorum — could do to salvage their campaigns.

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Ryan Is a Boehner ‘Mini-Me’ to Some Conservatives

Ryan and Boehner, seen here in 2012, are facing similar attacks from tea-party outlets that once tolerated them. ( Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Ryan, left, and Boehner are facing similar attacks from tea party outlets that once tolerated them. ( Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Just weeks after Republicans won control of the House in 2010, John A. Boehner celebrated his 61st birthday with a cake with green frosting.

It was actually a double celebration. That same day, Nov. 17, 2010, he was elected speaker-designate by the Republican conference with unanimous support — a present he never enjoyed again.

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October 21, 2015

Ryan Supporters Call Critics Hypocrites Over Fundraising

Ryan supporters say Huelskamp's criticisms of Ryan's demand for family time are unfounded. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Some House Republicans say Huelskamp’s criticisms of Ryan’s fundraising abilities are hypocritical and unfounded. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Supporters of a Rep. Paul D. Ryan speakership are calling two members of the House Freedom Caucus hypocrites for their criticism of his ability to fundraise for the party.

Ryan backers say the two members who questioned the Wisconsin Republican’s commitment to fundraising duties — Reps. Tim Huelskamp and Mo Brooks — raise almost no money for the party or their colleagues.

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Why These 2 Coastal California Districts Stay Reliably Red

Rohrabacher, left, and Issa, right, are the only Republicans to hold seats on California's coastline. (CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rohrabacher, left, and Issa, right, are the only Republicans to hold seats on California’s coastline. (CQ Roll Call File Photo)

At first glance, almost the entirety of California’s picturesque coastline is represented by Democrats.

But two of the 14 districts along California’s 800 miles of Pacific Ocean real estate buck that trend. And strategists from both parties expect it to remain that way.

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