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Posts in "Va. Senate"
May 21, 2012
In a study that could annoy Democrats and perturb proponents of the “base election” theory, a centrist Democratic think tank is arguing that its party’s hold on the Senate hinges on political “moderates.”
Third Way, in a report set for release today, asserts not only that ideological moderates will determine control of the Senate in November, but that Democrats need to win more of these voters in 10 states with tossup Senate contests than do the Republicans. The think tank crunched exit polling data from recent presidential and midterm elections and concluded that Democrats face a significant challenge in their bid to retain their thin, four-seat Senate majority.
“Crucially for Democrats, they must garner a majority of moderates in nine of 10 toss-ups to win, and in seven of those the bar is even higher — Democrats must clear 60 percent [of moderates] to win,” Third Way policy advisers Michelle Diggles and Lanae Erickson write in the think tank’s report.
Third Way classifies 10 Senate races as Tossup; Roll Call currently rates eight races as Tossup.
May 8, 2012
Tim Kaine thinks the Senate and presidential races in Virginia are as close as most recent polls have shown and conceded his political fate is closely tied to the performance of his good friend in the White House.
Kaine spoke with reporters today in Washington, D.C., at a breakfast hosted by the Democratic-leaning think tank Third Way, three days after rallying a Richmond crowd to help kick off President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign. The Senate candidate and former Virginia governor said there will undoubtedly be a “strong linkage” in the results of the presidential race and Kaine’s expected matchup with Republican George Allen. Full story
In its first television advertising reservation for the fall, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee reserved $14.1 million in Missouri, Montana and Virginia — three states Democrats are looking to hold as they seek to preserve their four-seat Senate majority.
As the Hotline first reported, the DSCC reserved $7.4 million in Virginia, $3.5 million in Missouri and $3.2 million in Montana. The Virginia and Missouri reservations are for Oct. 9 to Nov. 5, and the Montana reservation is from Aug. 28 to Nov. 5, Roll Call confirmed with a Democratic source. Full story
May 4, 2012
The airwaves are heating up in what could be among the nation’s biggest 2012 battlegrounds.
A Democratic-aligned outside group announced today it is going on the air in the Senate race, targeting former Virginia Sen. George Allen. The ad comes one week after a GOP-aligned outside group took on Allen’s opponent, former Gov. Tim Kaine. Full story
April 20, 2012
Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson today will endorse and later appear alongside former Sen. George Allen, who is running to win back his former seat in Virginia.
The Republicans will hold a small-business roundtable this afternoon at Bill’s Barbecue, a Richmond institution that recently closed five of its eight area locations, according to local reports. Johnson, who was recently tasked with coordinating Senate Republicans’ messaging, ran his own business for three decades before being elected to the Senate in 2010. Full story
April 17, 2012
Former Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine (D) will not attend Wednesday’s Shad Planking, the state’s largest annual political event.
According to a schedule released by his campaign, Kaine will instead attend an economic roundtable with female business and community leaders near Richmond at the time of the event. He’ll attend another roundtable event with veterans and military families in Norfolk earlier in the day and hold a tele-town hall Wednesday evening. Full story
April 11, 2012
The Senate GOP’s campaign arm reserved approximately $25 million in airtime today in six targeted Senate races — an early and aggressive move for a party looking to regain the majority.
The broadcast, cable and radio buy comes several months before the campaign committees’ independent expenditure arms typically start to reserve air time for the post-Labor Day campaign advertisement blitz.
“This is our first buy, not our last. But this foundation does ensure we will be heard through various channels as the electorate decides who they are going to vote for,” a National Republican Senatorial Committee official told Roll Call. Full story
April 3, 2012
George Allen’s Senate campaign announced today that the former governor and Senator raised more than $1.4 million in the first quarter of 2012, leaving the Republican with $2.7 million in cash on hand as of the end of March.
Allen is likely to advance beyond the June 12 primary to face off against former Gov. Tim Kaine (D), who earlier today announced raising $2.2 million last quarter. Kaine’s campaign is expected to report $4.4 million in the bank as of Saturday. Full story
Former Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine’s Senate campaign had a monster first quarter, raking in $2.2 million and ending March with $4.4 million in the bank.
Kaine, the former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, is unchallenged in the June 12 primary and likely to face George Allen, a former governor and Senator, in a general election race anticipated to be among the closest in the country and instrumental to both parties’ quest for the Senate majority.
The Kaine campaign highlighted in a release today that it has raised a total of $7.4 million in the past year from 19,000 individual donors, including more than 14,000 who have given $200 or less.
Allen has not yet announced his first-quarter fundraising. Reports for the Jan. 1 through March 31 fundraising quarter are due April 15 at midnight.
March 28, 2012
March 20, 2012
With no end in sight for the GOP presidential nomination fight, President Barack Obama’s numbers are on the rise in the Old Dominion.
A Quinnipiac University poll released today found Obama’s support in Virginia reaching new heights, while the Senate race remains within the margin of error.
In a race with Mitt Romney, Obama hit 50 percent support and led the likely GOP nominee by 8 points, up from a 4-point margin last month. Likely Senate nominee Tim Kaine (D) has not received the same kind of boost against George Allen (R), as the battle of the former governors remains a statistical tie, where it’s been since Kaine entered the race last April. Full story
February 8, 2012
Former Govs. Tim Kaine (D) and George Allen (R) are still unable to create separation in the state’s marquee open-seat Senate race.
A Quinnipiac University Polling Institute survey released Wednesday found Kaine with 45 percent to Allen’s 44 percent. The candidates have been within 2 points in each of the five polls that Quinnipiac has conducted since June.