The candidate: Former state Sen. Tony Strickland, a Republican The member: Longtime GOP Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon is retiring from Congress, leaving his competitively drawn southern California House seat open for the first time in two decades. The district: California’s 25th, located on the northern edge Los Angeles County, was close in the past two presidential contests but has a slight conservative bent. It’s rated Republican Favored by Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call. The candidate’s team: Jamestown Associates (media), Joe Justin of the Justin Company (mail), Jeff Burton of Burton Kamins Advocacy (general consultant), Greg Strimple of GS Strategy Group (polling).
The candidate: Businessman Bob Fuehr The member: Democratic Rep. Jim Matheson is retiring from Congress after seven terms. The district: Utah’s 4th is House Republicans’ most certain pickup this cycle. Matheson had a unique political brand and without him in the equation, the battle to watch for this seat is the GOP nomination process. Fuehr will face off against Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love.
The candidate: Veteran Seth Moulton, a Democrat. The member: Nine-term Rep. John F. Tierney, D-Mass. The district: Massachusetts’ 6th District, located in the northeast corner of the state, is a reliably Democratic district. But past ethics inquiries into Tierney’s personal finances make him a uniquely vulnerable Democrat. Tierney faces Moulton and Democrat Marisa DeFranco in a Democratic primary. The primary victor will likely face former state Sen. Richard Tisei in the general. The candidate’s team: Mark Mellman (polling), Dover Strategy Group (mail), Scott Ferson (general consultant), Joe Trippi (senior adviser), Max Glass (campaign manager), Carrie James Rankin (communications director).
“If I had a penny for everyone who’s whispered in my ear to say, ‘We want you to win the primary. We may not be able to publicly support you, but we’d really like you to win this because Congressman Tierney is a liability in this seat,’ my fundraising numbers would be even better than they are,” Moulton said in an interview with CQ Roll Call this month.
The candidate: Republican state Sen. Lee Zeldin The member: Six-term Rep. Timothy H. Bishop, D-N.Y. The district: New York’s 1st District. It covers the eastern half of Long Island, encompassing both working-class regions and the tony Hamptons. Bishop won re-election in 2012 by 5 points, as President Barack Obama carried the district by 1 point. The candidate’s team: Brabender Cox (media); John McLaughlin of McLaughlin & Associates (polling); Majority Strategies (direct mail); Chapin Fay (campaign manager). Full story
The candidate: Physician Milton Wolf The member: Sen. Pat Roberts, R-Kan. The state: Roberts ran unopposed in his 2008 primary and won the general with 60 percent. Kansas hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932. The candidate’s team: Jason Miller of Jamestown Associates is the general and media consultant.
Milton Wolf, a physician challenging Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts in a Republican primary, may be a distant relative of Barack Obama, but he is no fan of the second-term president.
In an interview with CQ Roll Call this week, Wolf said Obama’s policies “are destroying America” and called him “maybe the worst president of our history.”
“Indeed we are cousins, but I am quick to remind that you cannot choose your family,” Wolf said. “What you can do is choose to rise up and stop your family from destroying America.” Full story
The candidate: Former Maryland state Sen. Alex Mooney The member: Shelley Moore Capito, R-W.Va., is running for Senate, leaving an open race for her House seat in 2014. The district: In 2012, Mitt Romney won the 2nd District, which includes Charleston and the Eastern Panhandle, by more than 20 points. But Democrats continue to win local office in this region in West Virginia, making the race somewhat competitive.
The candidate: Surgeon Bob Johnson, a Republican. The member: Rep. Jack Kingston, R-Ga., who is running for Senate, leaving his seat open in 2014. The district: Kingston has held the 1st District, which includes all of of Georgia’s coastline, since 1992. It’s a strong district for the GOP, and Mitt Romney carried it with 56 percent last cycle. The team: John Konkus at Jamestown Associates (general consulting, media/communications, and mail), Robert Blizzard (polling), and Nathan Wurtzel at The Catalyst Group (PAC fundraiser).
The candidate: Mike Collins, a Republican The member: Rep. Paul Broun, R-Ga., is running for Senate, leaving his seat open in 2014. The 10th District: Broun has held this strong GOP district since 2007, soundly winning re-election each cycle since then. GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney carried the district with 62 percent. The candidate’s team: Brandon Phillips at Wiregrass Strategy Group (general consultant) and Bob Kish at Third Wave Communications (media).
The candidate: Republican state Sen. Julianne Ortman The member: First-term Sen. Al Franken, D-Minn. The state: Franken won by the smallest margin of any Senate race in 2008. He defeated then-Sen. Norm Coleman, a Republican, following a recount. The candidate’s team: Campaign manager Andy Parrish and media consultant Ed Brookover.
The candidate: Donna Sheldon, a Republican The member: Rep. Paul Broun, a three-term Republican who will run for Senate in 2014, leaving the seat open The district: Georgia’s 10th District, which Mitt Romney carried with 62 percent The candidate’s team: Chad Holland (manager), Ron Butler of Creative Direct (mail), Tony Marsh of Savanna Communications (media), Laura Dunaway of Capitol Strategy Group (fundraising), Dan McLagan of Tactical Communications Solutions (communications), and Scott Riles of RightPass Strategic Affairs (general consulting).
The candidate: Podiatrist Lee Rogers, a Democrat. The member: Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon, a Republican. The district: California’s 25th District, which McKeon has held since 1992. The candidate’s team: Bill Wachob of The Campaign Group (general consultant and media), Eric Hogensen of HSG Campaigns (direct mail), Jonathan Brown of Global Strategy Group (polling), Adam Nashban (fundraising and strategy).
Podiatrist Lee Rogers, a Democrat, views an open-seat race as advantageous in his second attempt for Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon’s 25th District in California.
“There will be more attention on the district if it’s an open seat,” Rogers said in an Oct. 11 interview with CQ Roll Call. “This is one that already shows [McKeon] to be vulnerable. I think more attention is probably good for the challenger.”
Insiders have speculated this could be the top Republican’s last term in Congress, although his aide said in April he has no plans to retire. President Barack Obama lost the district by a slim margin in 2012, which makes Democrats optimistic they could compete there if McKeon leaves.
The candidate: Former state Rep. Pam Byrnes, a Democrat. The member: Rep. Tim Walberg, a Republican. The district: Michigan’s 7th District, which favored GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney in 2012, but only by 3 points. The candidate’s team: Al Quinlan of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (polling), Martha McKenna and Jennifer Pihlaja of McKenna Pihlaja (media), Terry Walsh of The Strategy Group (mail), Karen Defilippi (campaign manager)
“I think [Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.] would relate to the people very well,” she said in an Oct. 10 interview with CQ Roll Call. “He is a very personable guy. I’ve met him before and I believe he could connect with people and help me.” Full story
The candidate: Democratic National Committeewoman Erin Bilbray The member: Two-term Rep. Joe Heck, a Republican, who won re-election by a 7-point margin last year. The district: President Barack Obama carried the 3rd District by a single point in 2012.
The candidate’s team: Bradley Mayer (manager), Mark Mellman of The Mellman Group (pollster), Ann Liston of Adelstein | Liston (media), Achim Bergmann of Bergmann Zwerdling Direct (direct mail), Rhonda Foxx (finance director)
Democrat Erin Bilbray said she will seek support from former President Bill Clinton and President Barack Obama in her campaign for 3rd District in the southern tip of Nevada.
“I hope [Clinton] will, and of course I would ask,” Bilbray said in an Oct. 10 interview with CQ Roll Call. She later added that she believes an endorsement from Obama would help her in the district. Full story
The candidate: Former chief judge Ann Callis, a Democrat The member: Freshman Rep. Rodney Davis, a Republican The district: Mitt Romney narrowly won this district with 49 percent of the vote. The candidate’s team: Marshall Cohen (manager), Travis Lowe and Clare Gannon of Three Point Media (media), Jason McGrath and Mike Bocian of GBA Strategies (polling), Emily Parcell and Beth Hernandez of The Pivot Group (mail)
Former chief judge Ann Callis said she will need to raise $2 million to $2.5 million to wage a competitive campaign in the 13th District next year, according to an Oct. 10 interview she gave CQ Roll Call.
Callis is seeking to oust freshman Rep. Rodney Davis, R-Ill., in the competitive district that split nearly evenly between the two presidential candidates. Davis first faces a primary against former Miss America Erika Harold. Full story
The candidate: Democrat Jennifer Garrison, former state lawmaker. The member: Two-term Rep. Bill Johnson, a Republican from Ohio. The state: In 2012, GOP nominee Mitt Romney carried the district with 55 percent. The candidate’s team: Charlie Hale (campaign manager), Mark Riddle (senior adviser), The Campaign Group (media consultant), Benenson Strategy Group (pollster), New Partners (research), New Blue Interactive (digital strategist)
Former state Rep. Jennifer Garrison said any campaign help from President Barack Obama would not help her chances of winning the 6th District in southeastern Ohio.
“Obama isn’t very popular in my part of the state, and I respect the office of the presidency of the United States,” Garrison said in an Oct. 8 interview with CQ Roll Call. “But I suspect that the president would not be campaigning for someone unless he thought that would be helpful, and in my case it probably would not.” Full story