Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
September 16, 2014

Crossroads Upends New York’s 21st District Primary

Crossroads Upends New Yorks 21st District Primary

Crossroads is spending heavily in New York's 21st District primary against Matt Doheny, above. (CQ Roll Call File Photo)

In New York’s sprawling 21st District, a recent influx of more than $1 million from outside groups has catapulted a 29-year-old first-time candidate ahead of the two-time nominee in the Republican primary for this coveted seat.

American Crossroads alone has already made more than $750,000 in independent expenditures to boost former White House aide Elise Stefanik’s bid — the group’s only spending in a House primary so far in 2014.

The June 24 Republican primary pits Stefanik against Matt Doheny, a deep-pocketed businessman and repeat candidate.

Early on in the race, Doheny’s familiarity with local voters and track record of self-funding his campaigns gave him an advantage. But two outside groups have flooded the district’s airwaves in a way that sources say has thrown the momentum to Stefanik. 

The winner of the primary will face Democrat Aaron Woolf in the race to succeed retiring Rep. Bill Owens, D-N.Y. Last cycle, Owens won with one of the slimmest margins of any House race, and this cycle, the election is rated a Tossup by the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call.

“People are just shocked that Karl Rove and Crossroads … would come in and try to buy this election for a 29-year-old who just showed up,” Doheny said in a phone interview on June 13, before Crossroads had reserved another $250,000 worth of airtime in the district.

The spending came as a surprise to many operatives in New York and D.C. What’s more, Doheny has shown no signs of trying to match Crossroads’ funding. He gave more than $3 million to his past two campaigns in 2010 and 2012, according to online fundraising reports.

“If it weren’t for Crossroads, this would be a completely different race,” said one Democratic operative with experience in the district. “Unless [Doheny] is able to match what Crossroads is doing on TV, [Stefanik] is the shoo-in.”

Crossroads’ two ads released so far portray Doheny as too damaged from his previous bids to win in November, calling him a “perennial loser.” There’s also an image of Doheny’s private islands in one of the spots running throughout the 21st District, which has one of the lowest mean household incomes in New York.

Outside groups such as Crossroads cannot legally coordinate campaign activity and spending with Stefanik. She said all of her campaign materials have been “positive” in a June 10 phone interview.

“Every piece of mail, every advertisement, every radio piece that my campaign has been responsible for has been positive and focused on the issues,” Stefanik said. “I think I’m the only candidate that can win in a general.”

New York 2014, a super PAC that has not supported any other candidates ever, according to online records, has also spent more than $300,000 boosting Stefanik since mid-May.

The extensive outside involvement has reshuffled the race in Stefanik’s favor, but that’s not the only way national supporters have boosted her bid. A veteran of President George W. Bush’s administration and Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign, Stefanik has picked up endorsements from the former GOP presidential nominee and House Budget Chairman Paul D. Ryan. She’s secured donations from former Bush spokesman Ari Fleischer and the GOP super-lawyer Benjamin Ginsberg.

Reports also show Winning Women, a fundraising committee with ties to financier Paul Singer, hosted a joint event for Stefanik, resulting in $110,000 for her campaign.

Stefanik boasts endorsement from most of the county party committees, many of which she secured before Doheny entered the race in February. Doheny has said he planned to sit out any more House bids until Owens retired — a fact that many Stefanik supporters tout.

“She was gutsy enough to want to take on the incumbent in October,” said Jim Ellis, the former chairman of the Franklin County Republican Party Committee and a Stefanik backer.

Doheny, meanwhile, insists that relationships he has built over two previous bids for the seat will carry him through. The businessman’s 2010 and 2012 campaigns were plagued by personal scandals, but local Republican raved about Doheny’s work ethic and self-funding abilities.

The winner of next week’s Republican primary will face Woolf, a documentary filmmaker and grocery store owner. Woolf stumbled during his campaign’s rollout, snubbing local media by calling himself “more of a press release kind of guy.”

But Democrats in the area say Woolf has recovered from early mistakes and is quietly building relationships with voters, while the two Republicans remain locked in an increasingly negative primary.

Democrats also express optimism about a familiar scenario in the district: a third-party nominee peeling off Republican votes in the general election. In 2010, when fewer than 2,000 votes separated Doheny from Owens, many Republicans blamed Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman’s 10,507 votes for the GOP’s loss.

Both Doheny and Stefanik are currently slated to appear on the November ballot; the Conservative Party endorsed Stefanik and the Independence Party has backed Doheny. Woolf will be the nominee for the Democratic Party and the Working Families Party.

Republicans hope Tuesday’s loser will find a way to get his or her name removed, but it’s a difficult process. As New York election lawyer Jerry Goldfeder explained, “for someone to get off the ballot [in New York] is a very, very limited opportunity.” Short of death, he said, a candidate must be nominated for another office to be removed from the ballot.

Doheny, a lawyer, could ask to be nominated for a judgeship and has hinted strongly that he would do so if he loses.

For Stefanik, clearing the way for Doheny would be difficult if she loses the primary. Her clearest path would be to collect hundreds of signatures to run for state or local office by July 10, but it’s unclear if this feasible in the short timeframe.

New York Conservative Party Chairman Michael Long thinks the issue is simple.

“Someone’s creating a scenario that is virtually nearly impossible. … There’s simply no way for her to get off the ballot,” said Long in a recent interview.

Emily Cahn contributed to this report.

 

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  • Yonatan YONATAN

    THERE ARE STILL MORE THAN THREE MILLION UNEMPLOYED FAMILIES WITHOUT AN EXTENSION OF BENEFITS SINCE LATE LAST DECEMBER. THE REPUBLICAN SENATE HAS HELD THE EXTENSION BILL HOSTAGE IN THE SENATE FOR MORE THAN FIVE MONTHS NOW. MEANWHILE THESE FAMILIES HAVE FALLEN INTO FINANCIAL RUIN AND COLLAPSE. THE REPUBLICANS HAVE TURNED THEIR BACKS ON THESE AMERICANS. THESE PEOPLE ARE DESPERATELY IN NEED OF FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE. OUR GOVERNMENT HAS JUST GIVEN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TO THE UKRAINE, AND WILL BE SPENDING BILLIONS MORE TO DEFEND EUROPE. WHY CAN’T THEY HELP AMERICANS HERE AT HOME TOO?

    • John

      You do realize that 3 million umemployed is less than one percent of our total population of a little more than 313 million? I’m not saying that I wish anyone unemployed but anything less than 5% is considered extremely positive. I also think the actual number of unemployed is a lot higher, but the point remains. Does this make being unemployed ok? No, but atleast put it into perspective when you use large numbers to gain recognition.

      • B. Bending Rodriguez Sr.

        Plus there will always be people who are unemployed. I lived behind the Iron Curtain (in East Germany) back in the day, and even in that Socialist Workers’ Paradise there were still people unemployed. (And far more who were just doing “make work”) In a true free market economy this will always fluctuate. “Full employment” is a myth in any type of economy.

        I also want Yonatan to think about the fact that many of these people don’t want to work. Here in NY, there are many who prefer to sit and collect their checks rather than doing some menial tasks for small wages. They feel it is their due, and they will be stuck there forever. Gratefully there are small numbers of people who are refusing this assistance, working, and actually getting ahead. Almost all of those people I know personally who are doing this are 1st generation immigrants (actual immigrants, with actual visas, green cards, or citizenship). Many of the people who do not want to get ahead have been here for generations and are happy to sit in the Section 8 – created ghettoes.

    • Arch

      “THE REPUBLICAN SENATE?” Where have you been? The Dems control the US Senate.

      Why should the unemployed get perpetual assistance. It’s a temporary program, not a career. We could afford it if we eliminated the Earned Income Tax Credit or cut food stamps by 50%. There are jobs out there, if you are willing to work. Subsidizing sloth merely encourages it.

    • B. Bending Rodriguez Sr.

      Oh look! Another Low Information Voter. Or maybe he’s from a parallel universe where the Republicans run the Senate and all of the Caps Lock keys are stuck in the On position.

      Too much sarcasm?

      On the real side of things – who decided to give billions to Ukraine? Oh wait, it was that same government. Yeah, not a Republican government. Don’t get me wrong, the Republicans aren’t called the Stupid Party for nothing. But these criminals are all in it TOGETHER, Yonatan. If you think the Democrats are for the little guy, look at their donor lists and think again.

    • Nobama

      Enough already!! The lyrics to the first verse of “What It’s Like” by Everlast comes to mind.

  • ErikEssig

    Doheny has been disrespectful to Stefanik, similar to the way Hanna is treating Claudia Tenney in NY-22. Not a winning strategy if you ask me.

  • teapartyidiots

    “Doheny, a lawyer, could ask to be nominated for a judgeship and has hinted strongly that he would do so if he loses.” – I’m sure Cuomo will get right on that.

  • Mike Flynn

    Long before Karl Rove’s Attack Ads and Crossroad’s money showed up in NY-21, Matt Doheny’s star was in the descent in the Republican Primary. The age old story has unfolded here once again, “A Politician has to to be likable and Matt Doheny just isn’t to the majority of voters. A lot of hard work was put in in jump-starting the Elise Stefanik campaign effort in NY-21 , and now Crossroads and Karl Rove are glad to swoop in and take credit for all that transpired before they showed up. Mike Flynn ‘Middle Class Mike

  • Heywood Jablowmi

    re:”“Someone’s creating a scenario that is virtually nearly impossible. … There’s simply no way for her to get off the ballot,” said Long in a recent interview.”

    Rick Lazio had gotten himself off the ballot in 2010 – he the NYS Conservative Party nominee vs. Cuomo & Palladino for NYS Governor -

    The Glens Falls NY Post-Star has endorsed Doheny, & he is picking up support from other GOP elected NY State & County officials throughout the North Country –

    “Assemblymembers Ken Blankenbush and Janet Duprey Endorse Matt Doheny for Congress”

    http://www.mattdohenyforcongress.com/news/assemblymembers-ken-blankenbush-and-janet-duprey-endorse-matt-doheny-congress

    Meanwhile, Ms. Stefanik retains the support of the GOP county bosses & Karl Rove & Co. inside the Beltway & has thus far not demonstrated her “independence” by denouncing the Crossroads attacks. Most convenient.

    This “Crossroads” crew knows that the GOP is not likely to lose their majority in the US House, & would rather see a Documentarian Organic Grocer “on the left of center” Democrat sit in Bill Owens’ seat than a Republican whose soul they have not bought. That’s how they “play the game” – but hey, haven’t been inside that Capitol Building since August of 1957 – rode over “on the tram” to sit in the Senate gallery, hoping to catch one of those “filibusters,” but it had been a slack afternoon. A week later, Sen. Strom had “set the record.”

    No need to actually venture “Under the Dome” when in DC to find out whazzup–
    We certainly did “make the rounds” in the Nixon thru GHW Bush years inG-Town & “On the Hill.”

    http://www.urbanspoon.com/nf/7/609/644/DC/Capitol-Hill/Pubs

  • Charlene Weshley

    Hussein Obama’s criminal marxist regime has vigorously opposed legislation to protect the conscience rights of U.S. military chaplains.

  • Cpt. States

    In 2013, Hussein Obama’s marxist regime attacked a Young Marines chapter in Louisiana because their oath mentioned God.

  • Murph Johnston

    Hussein Obama’s criminal marxist regime has encouraged sodomites occupying the US military to actively engage in homosexual political events

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