Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
February 14, 2016

Democratic Polls Show Tight Race for McConnell #KYSEN

McConnell sent one of his top aides to his campaign this week. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Two Democratic polls released in the past two days showed Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell virtually tied in his re-election race in the Bluegrass State.

Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes, who formally launched her challenge to the Republican this week, led 44 percent to 42 percent in a survey conducted by her pollster, Mark Mellman. The poll of 750 likely voters was taken July 20-24.

The Democrat’s 2-point lead was within the poll’s 3.6-point margin of error, but the results indicate at this early point that McConnell has a race on his hands in this Republican-leaning state.

The second poll, released Thursday by a couple of liberal organizations, found Grimes ahead 45 percent to 44 percent. This survey was automated.

Meanwhile, McConnell Chief of Staff Josh Holmes is leaving his post in the Capitol to hold a joint role on McConnell’s campaign and as a senior adviser at the National Republican Senatorial Committee. Politico first reported the news.

McConnell and Grimes are both scheduled to attend the annual picnic on Saturday in Fancy Farm, Ky. So is Matt Bevin, who is taking on McConnell in the GOP primary.

  • jmail147

    McConnell should be replaced in the GOP Primary. He’s got a challenger.

    Electing RINOs simply hands over the nation to the left. Current GOP “leadership” spends most of its time fighting conservatism !

  • stasis

    Americans will LOSE JOBS ( low end and high end ) and experience LOWER WAGES for generations? That’s called “capitalism”.

  • Jesse4

    It’s still too early to get too optimistic, but the mid-terms might just work out pretty well after all. But it would be a good idea to replace The Turtle with someone more ideologically pure, and less electable, just in case.

  • Jim Davis

    Right on, Jmail! Maybe you can talk Todd Akin into moving to KY?

  • Jesse4

    That capitalism sure stinks, doesn’t it?

  • ID-2

    Dems can hit about 45% support in Kentucky. Even 48%. But getting above that number has been their problem since 2004.

  • lookolook

    You must have been hating capitalism all your life, judging from what you posted or you don’t have a clue about what you wrote?

  • Jazzboy1

    To all the faint-hearted Democratic skeptics: Grimes won statewide in 2011 with an amazing 60% of the vote for Kentucky Secretary of State against a strong GOP candidate (all KY constitutional offices have 4 year terms). 60% is a landslide by any definition.

    Democratic Governor Beshear beat GOP candidates in both 2007 and 2011 (58% and 55% of vote respectively). Attorney General Jack Conway won twice in 2007 and 2011 (55% of vote). So it is not correct to say it is unlikely for Democrats to win statewide in Kentucky. Yes, for federal office it is a higher bar but not impossible with charismatic Alison Lundergan Grimes.

    2011 was a year when Obama was VERY unpopular in Kentucky.

    Historical precedent: Democratic Senate Minority leader Tom Daschle lost his 2004 Senate reelection bid in a surprise upset. Voters told pollsters they thought he was: 1) too obstructionist (fighting the President on everything); 2) more interested in partisan goals than state concerns; 3) he represented Washington politics; 4) they wanted a new face.

    Hmm…. sound familiar? Of course there are many other factors at play between 2004 and 2014 BUT these are the same negatives that are showing up in today’s polls of the McConnell-Grimes race. Grimes has a good chance as McConnell grows nastier, older and more shrill.

  • Jazzboy1

    Please see my reply above about your incorrect statement.

  • jmail147

    Is there a better alternative ?

    For instance. Every day I awaken, I’m another day older … that sure stinks .. but it is much better than the alternative.

  • jmail147

    Let’s see. Gov policy aiding big business. Gov/Industrial “cooperation” … sounds more like SOCIALISM.

    Capitalism is about competition. It turns out that true capitalist are all for competition until they get to the top … then they buddy up with “open minded” politicians who “listen” to their points of view to hinder competition ( make new laws, “better regulations”, … ). That is SOCIALISM.

    Sort of like a good cop … using his guns to rob a bank … I’d say he is no longer a cop but a criminal.

  • ID-2

    You did not refute my point above. There is quite a difference between how voters view a state and a federal race,

  • ballsnow

    If McConnell gets beat in the next election, at least he’ll leave Congress with his pockets full of cash, provided by Lobbyists. But alas, nothing good lasts forever, he’ll just come back to Washington as a K Street Lobbyist. Capitalism has nothing to do with giving American jobs to illegals. Illegals are not supposed to be in this country, and are not supposed to be working, in this country. Illegals have no SS number, so how are they going to pay taxes? Why should legal Americans be forced to pay taxes, while illegals have the luxury of paying no taxes, and sending billions of dollars a year, back to Mexico. That’s not called Capitalism, it’s called stealing. That’s the reason for E-Verify. It’s illegal for companies to make money from paying illegals less, and working them more hours, slave labor was made illegal, 150 years ago. Ask Walmart how much money they’ve had to pay in fines, because of working illegals, just like this?

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