Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
February 12, 2016

Poll: Tight Iowa Senate Race

iowa senate poll

A new poll shows Braley, above, in a tight race with Ernst for Senate in Iowa. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A new poll showed Rep. Bruce Braley, D-Iowa, with a narrow lead, 44 percent to 40 percent, over his Republican opponent, state Sen. Joni Ernst, in the competitive race for Senate.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, released Wednesday morning, comes a couple weeks after Ernst’s resounding victory in the Republican primary that local operatives say put this race in play. Ernst and Braley are vying for the seat currently held by Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa, who is retiring. 

According to the survey, Ernst — one of the few female Republican Senate candidates this cycle — did not fare as well with female voters compared to Braley. Female survey respondents favored Braley, 47 percent to 36 percent, over Ernst. But male survey respondents favored Ernst over Braley, 44 percent to 40 percent.

Also in the poll, independent voters were split between Ernst and Braley at 38 percent. Democrats and Republicans were each solidly behind their party’s nominee.

The results were based on live phone interviews with 1,277 registered Iowa voters from June 12 through June 16, using both cell phones and land lines. The margin of error was 2.7 percentage points.

The race is rated Leans Democratic by the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call.

  • JohnnyAngel Advocacy Group

    Iowa IS cornfield county;will they finally awake after having Harkin in power sooooo long ? Possible…but doubtful.

  • radsenior

    It really doesn’t matter that Rep. Bruce Braley, D-Iowa, is up over his opponent, what matters is the continued push to remove TEA types from office across the nation. Look at what happened in Texas. The radicalization is seen in the platform of the Texas TEA party after their takeover of the once proud Republicans. The Texas TEA Party also wants to make it more difficult to register to vote and urges Congress to repeal the Voting Rights Act.
    The Texas TEA Party believes the state should be able to ignore federal gun laws. All to include: All federal acts, laws, executive orders, and court orders which restrict or infringe on the people’s right to keep and bear arms shall be invalid in Texas, not be recognized by Texas, shall be specifically rejected by Texas, and shall be considered null and void and of no effect in Texas.
    If you are not registered and do not vote, or are denied your right to vote, you are voting for the opposition!

  • keysersozay

    You are so uniformed it is frightening. But the uniformed don’t know that they are. The TEA extremist oh yeah, the constitutionalists. You are a fool.

  • don76550

    Braley, isn’t he the trial lawyer that called Iowa voters a bunch of hicks. Vote against him.

  • Jon Kahr

    The morality, liberty, and prosperity of a free country run contrary to the subjective decrees of the “interests of society” put forth by those quacks, charlatans, and academics who conjure up the ever-shifting mirage of collectivist illusions.

  • samantha devon

    If there are any traders out there trading the Forex I wanted to warn you don’t waste your time I’ve been trying to make money with it for years! Go to the website Bionic Traders and get into trading the futures instead it’s much better now I’m making money trading and very happy.

  • JayfromBrooklyn

    Braley has got to be the worst candidate of this cycle.

  • Ocean Sprayz

    Run-of-the-mill collectivists routinely attempt to confuse roads and fire departments with collectivism by referring to them as “socialism”.

  • Sohft Erside

    Where there is uncertainty and variability regarding possible outcomes, the differences between rewards for merit and utility become clear.

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