Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
February 14, 2016

Maine: Democratic Poll Shows Michaud With Big Lead

(Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Mike Michaud has a solid lead over his Republican challenger in Maine’s 2nd district, according to a poll commissioned by the Democratic lawmaker’s campaign.

Michaud led state Senate President Kevin Raye (R) 55 percent to 32 percent in the poll conducted by Democratic polling firm Normington Petts. The survey also showed Michaud with a favorable/unfavorable rating of 51 percent/19 percent and with 88 percent name identification in the redrawn district.

Buzz has been growing about Raye’s candidacy since his Jan. 5 announcement. Republicans dismissed the survey.

“These numbers aren’t surprising considering the poll was conducted by a Democrat pollster, but there’s a clear Republican path to victory,” National Republican Congressional Committee spokesman Nat Sillin told Roll Call.

The race will be a rematch from 2002, when Michaud beat Raye by 4 points in an open-seat race. In 2006 and 2008, Michaud cruised to re-election, garnering more than two-thirds of the vote both years. Last cycle, which heavily favored the GOP nationally, proved to be tougher for the incumbent. Still, Michaud won re-election by a 10-point margin.

The telephone survey was taken Jan. 23-25 of 400 likely voters in the redrawn 2nd district. The margin of error was 4.9 points.

Roll Call rates the race Likely Democratic.

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