Rep. John Tierney (D-Mass.) led his Republican challenger, former state Sen. Richard Tisei, by 12 points in a new independent poll. But Tierney, who has suffered politically from revelations about his wife’s family’s gambling ring, is burdened with some significant weaknesses, the survey showed.
Tierney got 46 percent compared with Tisei’s 34 percent in the WBUR poll of likely voters that included leaners conducted by the MassINC Polling Group. Eleven percent were undecided, and 7 percent said they would vote for the Libertarian candidate.
When leaners were not included, Tierney’s lead over Tisei was 7 points.
But red flags abounded for the eight-term Congressman in this poll. Only 35 percent of those polled had a favorable opinion of him — a low number for a longtime Member — while 30 percent had an unfavorable view. Twenty-one percent had heard of him but were undecided, and 10 percent had never heard of him. Full story
A Democratic super PAC will blitz six House districts with $2.2 million worth of television advertisements starting today.
House Majority PAC’s buy targets competitive races in California, Iowa, North Carolina, New York, Ohio and Wisconsin with tailored spots for each race.
The spending spree marks this super PAC’s largest flight of advertisements yet in the 2012 cycle. Most importantly for Democrats, the spots will help the party stay competitive on the air in races where Republicans already reserved a significant amount of ad space.
Plumbing company owner Markwayne Mullin made an unexpected trip to the hospital over the weekend to treat “a small tear” in his esophagus, according to the 2nd district GOP nominee’s Facebook page.
“I’m feeling much better now and the Doctors and Nurses are doing a great job,” Mullin wrote on Sunday. “I’ll be in the hospital until about the end of the week as they keep an eye on me but then I’ll be back on the campaign trail.”
Mullin faces former Assistant District Attorney Rob Wallace (D) in an open-seat race generated by Rep. Dan Boren’s (D) retirement.
Mullin is favored to win the seat despite his brief break from the campaign trail.
Former Gov. Tim Kaine (D), who is running for an open Senate seat, issued a harsh rebuke of a Republican-aligned outside group that launched three ads against him Tuesday, the anniversary of 9/11.
A Crossroads GPS spokesman said in a release that the $1 million ad campaign highlights the areas in which Kaine is out of step with Virginia, including on issues such as education and the defense industry.
In response, the Kaine campaign released a statement regarding the timing of the latest round of ads, rather than its routine fact-check. Full story
House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan (R) has made television advertisement reservations in the 1st district, where he is running for re-election even as he simultaneously campaigns for vice president.
Ryan’s 1st district ad buy is set to run for the next two weeks and dovetails with Wisconsin television ads being run by Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and the Romney/Ryan ticket. Businessman Rob Zerban is challenging Ryan in the 1st district.
Zerban is Ryan’s most organized Democratic challenger in recent memory. But Ryan has a daunting amount of money stockpiled and newfound national notoriety, and redistricting improved the lines for him.
Roll Call currently rates this race as Safe Republican.
Rep. John Tierney (D) will launch his first television ad of the election season Wednesday. It attacks his Republican opponent, former state Sen. Richard Tisei, for being “too extreme.”
“The tea party Republican agenda: outlaw abortion, restrict birth control, billionaire tax cuts, middle-class tax hikes,” a female narrator says over spooky music and desaturated slow-motion images of Rush Limbaugh, Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich.
“And Richard Tisei?” the narrator continues over unflattering slow-motion video of Tisei. “He calls the tea party ‘a godsend’ to Republicans; defends extreme anti-choice Republican views, saying, ‘It is what it is.’ Republicans plan to gut Medicare? Tisei calls it ‘a good starting point.’
“Tea party Republicans and Richard Tisei: What it is is too extreme,” the narrator says.
AARP and a local Univision affiliate are set to host a Spanish-language debate between Rep. Francisco “Quico” Canseco (R) and his Democratic challenger, state Rep. Pete Gallego, on Sept. 25.
The two candidates are battling it out for the 23rd district, which Roll Call rates as a Tossup.
The debate will take place at Palo Alto College in San Antonio, and topics addressed will be about “retirement security — particularly Social Security and Medicare,” according to an AARP press release.
An Independent Senate candidate from Montgomery County named Rob Sobhani has caught the attention of several Maryland Democrats with a major television advertising blitz in a challenge to Sen. Benjamin Cardin (D).
According to the Maryland political blog “Maryland Juice,” Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D) sent out a concerned fundraising solicitation to Cardin supporters about the $700,000 ad buy.
Several of those Sobhani spots aired Sunday night on broadcast television.
Democratic sources on the ground say that $700,000 warrants attention, but they maintain that Cardin should still coast to re-election. Former Secret Service agent Daniel Bongino is the Republican nominee. Roll Call rates this race as Safe Democratic.
Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) held a 7-point lead in the state’s open-seat Senate race and Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) led by 12 points in the race to replace Heinrich in the House, according to a new independent poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal.
Heinrich led former Rep. Heather Wilson (R), 49 percent to 42 percent, and Lujan Grisham led Janice Arnold-Jones (R) in the Albuquerque-based 1st district, 46 percent to 34 percent.
The polls were conducted Sept. 3-6 by Research & Polling. The Senate poll included a sample of 667 likely voters with a 3.8-point margin of error. The 1st district poll surveyed 409 likely voters with a 4.8-point margin of error.
In the state’s two less competitive Congressional districts, Reps. Steve Pearce (R) and Ben Ray Luján (D) each led by 26 points over their respective challengers.
The National Republican Senatorial Committee bought almost $600,000 in television time here, believing that popular former Gov. Angus King (I) is more vulnerable than the available polling suggests.
King is the frontrunner and is expected to caucus with the Democrats if he wins the Senate seat in November. But in a complex three-way race with Maine Secretary of State Charlie Summers (R) and state Sen. Cynthia Dill, the NRSC senses opportunity. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has not invested in Dill, but Republicans say that if her numbers can be elevated, she and King might divide the vote of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, allowing Summers to win with a plurality.
The NRSC ad buy, which is built around that strategy, is scheduled to last two weeks, according to sources who monitor Maine ad spending. The news of the NRSC offensive was first reported by the Hotline. Full story