Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
July 28, 2014

July 31, 2012

New York: Conflicting Polls Released in 19th District

It’s the battle of the polls in upstate New York.

This morning, a Republican poll showed freshman Rep. Chris Gibson (R) leading his Democratic challenger, Julian Schreibman, by 17 points. This afternoon, Schreibman’s campaign released a poll showing the Republican up by 10 points.

The Democratic poll found Gibson leading Schreibman, 42 percent to 32 percent. (The Republican poll found Gibson leading Schreibman, 53 percent to 36 percent.)

The second poll, conducted by respected pollster Jefrey Pollock of the Democratic firm Global Strategy Group, found Schreibman to be largely unknown, with significant room to grow his name ID. It also found that Gibson was only familiar to 46 percent of voters in the district. Full story

Breaking: Geoff Davis Resigns From Congress

Breaking: Geoff Davis Resigns From Congress

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. Geoff Davis (R-Ky.), who had already announced his retirement, announced late today that he would resign immediately to deal with a “family health issue.”

Gov. Steven Beshear (D) can call a special election as early as five weeks after the seat is certified as vacant, but given that the general election is less than 100 days away, insiders expect him to call the special election for Nov. 6, the same day as the general election.

Davis’ resignation is thus likely to leave the northern Kentucky seat vacant until November, when Thomas Massie, the GOP nominee for the safe Republican 4th district, will likely to be elected both in the special and general elections. That would allow him to be seated immediately.

“There won’t be a primary,” former Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson explained to Roll Call. “Both parties will pick their nominees based on party rules.”

Insiders see the GOP picking Massie, the tea party-aligned winner of a contentious May primary.

Davis is the 8th House Member to resign this Congress. To see a full list of the Members who left check out our Casualty List.

 

Obama Team Criticizes Mitt Romney Trip

Obama Team Criticizes Mitt Romney Trip

(Chris Maddaloni/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

President Barack Obama’s campaign torched Mitt Romney’s foreign policy trip as a disaster today, contending that the Republican frontrunner embarrassed himself and failed to show he was ready to be commander in chief, although the campaign stepped gingerly into the controversy over Romney’s comments about the importance of “culture” in the wealth of nations.

Robert Gibbs, a senior adviser to the campaign, said the trip was an audition to be commander in chief and ended up as nothing short of “an embarrassing disaster” for Romney and noted that Romney took just three questions from reporters on the trip, compared with 25 questions at four press conferences by then-candidate Obama during a foreign trip in 2008.

Colin Kahl, a former deputy assistant secretary of Defense for the Middle East, said Romney whiffed on a series of statements in a trip that was designed to be easy, with gaffes including questioning London’s readiness for the Olympics.

“Here he struck out playing T-ball,” he said. “It should have been easy for him.” Full story

New Mexico: DSCC Targets Wilson in TV Ad

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee slammed the voting record of former Rep. Heather Wilson (R) in its first TV ad in the New Mexico Senate race.

The spot, launched today, accuses Wilson of supporting corporate tax breaks that helped to send jobs to China and India. Wilson faces Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) in a competitive race to replace retiring Sen. Jeff Bingaman (D). Full story

North Carolina: DCCC Releases Poll Showing Mike McIntyre Ahead

A new poll commissioned by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee found vulnerable Rep. Mike McIntyre (D-N.C.) leading his Republican challenger, state Sen. David Rouzer, by 19 points. That’s a very different image than the one painted by a GOP poll released Monday, which found McIntyre leading Rouzer by only 4 points.

The Democratic survey found McIntyre led Rouzer 53 percent to 34 percent, including those who were undecided but leaned toward one candidate or the other. Full story

Democratic House Majority Super PAC Releases Polls Showing Leads in Utah, Maryland

Democratic House Majority Super PAC Releases Polls Showing Leads in Utah, Maryland

Rep. Jim Matheson (right) leads Mia Love in Utah's 4th district race, according to a poll released by the House Majority PAC. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The House Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, released two polls this morning that indicate Democrats are well-positioned in high-profile races in Utah and Maryland.

In the tossup race for Utah’s 4th, 51 percent of respondents said they would vote for Rep. Jim Matheson (D), while 33 percent supported Mia Love (R). In the Maryland 6th district survey, businessman John Delaney (D) had the support of 44 percent of those polled, while 42 percent said they would vote for Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R). The difference is within the poll’s margin of error.

Full story

Rising Star Julian Castro Gets Prime Speaking Slot at DNC

San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro will deliver the keynote address on the opening night of the Democratic National Convention, making him the first Latino to receive that assignment.

Castro will share the Sept. 4 speaking duties in Charlotte, N.C., with first lady Michelle Obama. President Bill Clinton and Massachusetts Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren will speak Wednesday night, followed on Thursday by Vice President Joseph Biden and President Barack Obama.

Castro’s prominent role, announced today by the the convention committee, is the latest evidence that Castro and his twin brother, state Rep. Joaquin Castro, are rising stars in the Democratic Party.

Joaquin Castro, who is running to replace retiring Rep. Charlie Gonzalez (D-Texas), did not face a runoff today and is likely headed to Congress next year.

“Having both the First Lady and Mayor Castro speak on the opening night of our convention will bring together two incredible leaders whose life stories both embody the promise of America, that if you work hard and play by the rules, you can make it,” said Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, the convention chairman.

Presidential Campaigns Launch New Apps

Want to be the first to know who Mitt Romney chooses as his vice presidential running mate? Starting today, there’s an app for that.

Want to get the details on volunteer opportunities for President Barack Obama’s campaign? There’s an app for that, too. Full story

New York: GOP Poll Shows Chris Gibson Ahead by Double Digits

New York: GOP Poll Shows Chris Gibson Ahead by Double Digits

Rep. Chris Gibson is one of several New York freshmen who are vulnerable. (Scott J. Ferrell/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Freshman Republican Rep. Chris Gibson led Democrat Julian Schreibman by 17 points in the reconfigured 19th district in upstate New York, according to a new GOP poll. Gibson got 53 percent to Schreibman’s 36 percent, with 10 percent of likely voters undecided about the race.

A memo about the poll, conducted by respected Republican firm Public Opinion Strategies and obtained by Roll Call, also found the GOP leading the generic Congressional ballot. Full story

July 30, 2012

California Poll: Brian Bilbray, Scott Peters Tied in 52nd District

California Poll: Brian Bilbray, Scott Peters Tied in 52nd District

Rep. Brian Bilbray tied with his Democratic opponent for California's 52nd district in a recent poll. (Scott J. Ferrell/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A poll conducted for San Diego Port Commissioner Scott Peters found the Democrat tied with Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) in the 52nd district.

Peters and Bilbray both took 40 percent, including those only leaning toward either candidate, with 19 percent undecided. This is a top pickup opportunity for Democrats, who need to capitalize in California for a chance at the House majority.

Both parties’ House campaign committees have reserved about $1.6 million in fall TV time in San Diego. Full story

Arizona: Martha McSally in D.C. for NRCC Candidate School

Arizona: Martha McSally in D.C. for NRCC Candidate School

(Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Retired Air Force Colonel Martha McSally posted on her Facebook page over the weekend that “the entire AZ Republican Congressional delegation will host a meet and greet” for her Wednesday evening. She added that her campaign’s goal is to raise “another $315k” by Sept. 1.

“I arrived this evening in D.C for four days … [National Republican Congressional Committee] candidate school plus meetings with many people, members of Congress, and organizations,” she also wrote.

McSally is the presumptive GOP nominee to challenge Rep. Ron Barber (D) in the fall in the race for the new 2nd district.

Roll Call rates this race as Leans Democratic.

Michigan: Nancy Cassis Will Not Support Kerry Bentivolio if He Is Nominee

NOVI, Mich. — Former state Sen. Nancy Cassis will not support her primary opponent if he wins the 11th district Republican nomination next week.

“Not after what I’ve seen,” she told Roll Call over a late breakfast at Big Boy restaurant last week. “I couldn’t in good conscience.”

Cassis is running a write-in campaign to defeat Kerry Bentivolio, an Iraq veteran and reindeer rancher who is the only Republican on the Aug. 7 primary ballot. They are running in the 11th district in the suburbs and exurbs west of Detroit.

Former Rep. Thaddeus McCotter (R) prompted the divisive primary earlier this summer when he filed faulty ballot petitions and did not have enough signatures to make the ballot. A few weeks later, McCotter resigned from Congress. Full story

Breaking: Steven LaTourette Won’t Seek Re-Election

Breaking: Steven LaTourette Wont Seek Re Election

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated: 7:25 p.m. | Nine-term Ohio Republican Rep. Steven LaTourette will not run for re-election in November, a Republican source confirmed to Roll Call.

The news, which came as a surprise to political observers from Washington, D.C., to Ohio, was first reported by the Columbus Dispatch. The report said he was leaving over a dispute about future committee assignments. LaTourette is considered a close confidant of Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio).

LaTourette is expected to make his retirement announcement Tuesday at a 10 a.m. press conference at his district office in Painsville. A GOP source said the Congressman will have the option to not submit his official letter of retirement to Ohio’s governor until after Aug. 8. That would avoid having another primary and allow the GOP replacement nominee to be chosen by a group of party officials from each county in the district.

LaTourette’s reconfigured 14th district slightly leans Republican, and the seat could be in play this fall depending on the strength of the candidate who replaces him on the ballot. Ohio’s primary was in March and therefore party nominee have already been set. The Democratic nominee in the district is Dale Blanchard, who does not appear to have filed with the Federal Election Commission.

Texas: Dueling Final Polls in Senate Runoff

Texas: Dueling Final Polls in Senate Runoff

Supporters of Ted Cruz remained confident heading into Tuesday's Texas Senate runoff. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Come Wednesday morning, at least one pollster will have some explaining to do about final numbers heading into Tuesday’s Texas Senate runoff.  That’s because the last surveys released over the weekend showed both Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst and former Texas Solicitor General Ted Cruz ahead.

A Dewhurst poll conducted last week showed him ahead of Cruz by 5 points. Then Public Policy Polling, a Democratic polling firm, released an automated survey that showed Cruz up by 10 points.

Cruz has steadily built momentum since the late May primary, and most observers of the race believe he will win — probably by a comfortable margin. Sources in the Cruz camp were confident going into the weekend, saying their polling has held steady since Roll Call obtained a late June internal survey that showed Cruz in the lead.

Full story

North Carolina: GOP Poll Shows Mike McIntyre With Small Lead, Well Under 50 Percent

North Carolina: GOP Poll Shows Mike McIntyre With Small Lead, Well Under 50 Percent

Rep. Mike McIntyre (left) is among the most vulnerable House Democrats this cycle. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Vulnerable North Carolina Rep. Mike McIntyre (D) had a slight edge over state Sen. David Rouzer, his Republican opponent, according to a new poll conducted by the Rouzer campaign.

In a matchup among likely voters in the reconfigured 7th district, McIntyre pulled 44 percent to Rouzer’s 40 percent. Fifteen percent were undecided.

Redistricting made the 7th significantly more favorable to Republicans and made McIntyre one of the more vulnerable incumbents in the House. Full story

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