- Citizens United Case Helped Elect More Republicans
- House Republicans Don't Expect Government Shutdown
- Christie Makes Mexico Trip as Foreign Policy Test
- Franken Maintains Lead in Minnesota
- Senator's Refusal to Resign Changed South Dakota Politics
August 14, 2012
If there’s one primary to watch in the Gopher State today, it’s the Democratic contest in the 8th district, where three candidates are facing off for the right to challenge freshman Rep. Chip Cravaack (R) this November.
Cravaack’s district represents the Democrats’ best shot at picking up a seat in Minnesota. Roll Call rates the 8th district race as a Tossup.
The district also features the most contentious primary on the ballot.
The Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party backed former Rep. Rick Nolan (D) for the seat earlier this year. The party recently started airing advertisements on his behalf. But Nolan’s fundraising has struggled despite the support of the delegation.
Meanwhile, former state Sen. Tarryl Clark (D) has raised money at a fast clip. She’s also buoyed by an endorsement from President Bill Clinton, who is featured in her latest spot.
Most Democrats expect Nolan or Clark to prevail, although Duluth City Councilor Jeff Anderson is also running.
August 13, 2012
Democrat Ann McLane Kuster has released her first television advertisement in her bid to oust Rep. Charles Bass (R) in the 2nd district.
The 30-second spot attempts to emphasize crossover appeal and personal frugality. According to a source, this is “a full buy on WMUR and in Boston.”
Bill Clinton today endorsed Dan Roberti in his bid for the Democratic nomination in Connecticut’s 5th district.
The endorsement comes just one day before the primary, and it’s unclear how effective it will be in boosting Roberti over former state Rep. Elizabeth Esty and state Speaker Chris Donovan.
“Whether running a homeless shelter, organizing rebuilding efforts after Hurricane Katrina, or helping veterans find jobs, Dan has demonstrated a deep commitment to public service,” Clinton said in a statement. “He’s always working to make a difference for other people, and he’s good at it.”
The independent expenditure arm of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee began airing an attack ad this weekend against Rep. Todd Akin, the GOP nominee for Senate in Missouri.
Saying he would “undermine Social Security,” the spot attacks Akin with his own words. Democrats are hoping to frame Akin as too extreme for Missouri voters. They hope swing voters will instead cast their ballots for vulnerable first-term Sen. Claire McCaskill (D).
If it were up to former Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-Mich.), he might envision a different path to the Senate than challenging Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) this November.
The newly minted Republican nominee has said repeatedly he supports repealing the 17th amendment, which allows the direct election of Senators, according to interviews he gave in the last year.
The fall advertisement wars will start this week when House Republicans begin airing spots in four battleground races.
On Friday, the National Republican Congressional Committee will target Democratic Reps. John Barrow (Ga.), Ben Chandler (Ky.), Mike McIntyre (N.C.) and Mark Critz (Pa.) with advertisements in their districts.
The NRCC previously announced $24 million in airtime reservations, but it can change those buys at any time. These independent expenditures mean the NRCC is putting down cash and airing spots — and doing it earlier than usual.
In 2010, the committee didn’t begin airing spots until after Labor Day. But the deluge of ads from outside groups and the competitive presidential race have pushed up the launch date for the traditional fall ad campaigns.
According to data on the buys obtained by Roll Call, the committee targeted less expensive markets with its first buys for the fall:
August 12, 2012
For Republicans, call Paul Ryan the schizophrenic choice.
Even as they celebrated Mitt Romney’s decision to select the House Budget chairman as his vice presidential running mate, they acknowledged it carries political risks for the GOP ticket in the November battle against President Barack Obama. Democrats are uniformly elated, believing that the Wisconsin lawmaker’s blueprint to overhaul Medicare could be a dagger to the heart of the Romney campaign — and a lifeboat for Obama, whose re-election is threatened by a potential wave of voter discontent.
Conversations with Republican professionals and Twitter exchanges with some of my “very” conservative followers since Saturday’s announcement reveal the GOP’s split personality over the Ryan pick.
Rep. Mazie Hirono easily won her Democratic Senate primary Saturday, and Honolulu City Councilwoman Tulsi Gabbard scored an upset victory in the Democratic primary to replace Hirono in the House.
In heavily Democratic Hawaii, both Hirono and Gabbard are favored to win in November as well, especially with homegrown President Barack Obama on the ticket. Full story
August 11, 2012
If voters aren’t familiar yet with the “the Ryan budget,” they will be soon — and House Democrats couldn’t be happier about it.
Democrats already banked on using House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan’s (Wis.) proposed Medicare cuts as their primary attack point against the House GOP this fall, when the party faces tough odds in winning back the majority.
This morning, presumptive GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney promoted the budget’s author to the national ticket — effectively making the plan a household name. An elated Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee encouraged its candidates to start shooting out press releases overnight.
“I just nominated Mitt Romney to be one of the DCCC’s newest Majority Makers,” DCCC Chairman Steve Israel (N.Y.) said today in a phone interview. “He may have handed the majority to us with his choice of Paul Ryan. The Ryan budget is a debate we know we win — and Mitt Romney just nationalized the debate.”
As Rep. Paul Ryan embarks on a national campaign, he will still have to run for re-election for his House seat.
Wisconsin law allows Ryan to seek both the vice presidency and another term in the House, and that is the understanding of what he will do, according to a Congressional campaign spokesman.
Ryan’s 1st district includes Republican pockets in the southeastern part of the state, and he won re-election last cycle by a 2-to-1 margin. The district was improved for him in redistricting. All of these points indicate that his re-election race should not be competitive, and Roll Call rates this race as Safe Republican.
But even before Ryan was picked as the vice presidential nominee, Democrats were making noise about giving him more of a race than he’s used to. He has a wealthy Democratic opponent, Rob Zerban, who has worked relentlessly to convince the political establishment that this is a real race. His argument is that Ryan has not had a serious opponent in years and that there is an opportunity for an organized Democrat to force an upset. Full story
Updated 7:19 a.m. | Mitt Romney has tapped Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan to be his vice presidential running mate, his campaign announced Saturday morning.
Official word of the pick came via a press release a little after 7 a.m. titled “Mitt Romney & Paul Ryan: America’s Comeback Team.” The pick was first reported in the wee hours of Saturday morning by NBC News’ Chuck Todd, who cited three sources.
The announcement will come Saturday morning in Norfolk, Va., in front of the USS Wisconsin. The event is the first stop of a multiday campaign bus tour for Romney and his newly minted running mate.
Ryan, the chairman of the House Budget Committee, has taken on an increased national profile as the architect of the GOP’s budget plan that proposes dramatic reforms to entitlement programs.
His stock as a VP pick rose in recent weeks as a chorus of conservatives, including the Weekly Standard and Wall Street Journal, publicly encouraged Romney to make a bold choice with Ryan. The pick is viewed as likely to energize the Republican base. Full story
August 10, 2012
After weeks and months of speculation about whom Mitt Romney will tap to be his vice presidential running mate, the presumptive GOP nominee will unveil his pick on Saturday morning in Norfolk, Va.
Romney’s campaign released a media advisory just after 11 p.m. tonight announcing that the news would come as the former Massachusetts governor kicks off of his bus tour. Full story
Geauga County Prosecutor David Joyce (R) will take retiring Rep. Steven LaTourette’s (R) spot on the November ballot in Ohio’s 14th district.
Local Republican officials picked Joyce as their new Republican nominee today, a decision that virtually assures he will come to Congress in January.
Congressional seats aren’t vacated often in heavily Democratic Hawaii.
So a scrum ensued within the party when two opened up last year, and is set to culminate Saturday when the Democratic nominees for the open Senate seat and 2nd district House seat are decided. In a year when homegrown President Barack Obama leads the ticket, the winners of the Democratic primaries will be especially favored to win in November. Full story
August 9, 2012
Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr.’s team launched a new effort this week to reassure supporters that the Member plans to return to work and seek another term to his Chicago-area seat, the redrawn 2nd district.
Rick Bryant, the Illinois Democrat’s chief of staff, said he spoke to mayors to provide them with an update on Jackson’s medical condition and indicate that the Congressman fully intends to return to work on Capitol Hill after treatment for what the Mayo Clinic has described as “depression and gastrointestinal issues.” Full story