Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
July 7, 2015

Pennsylvania: Democratic Poll Shows Mark Critz With Single-Digit Lead

A new Democratic poll showed Rep. Mark Critz (D) leading his GOP opponent, attorney Keith Rothfus, by a slim 6-point margin in the competitive southwestern Pennsylvania district.

Critz led Rothfus, 44 percent to 38 percent, in the survey conducted for House Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, and the SEIU.

Republicans plan to target the elusive 12th district after several unsuccessful attempts to pick it up in recent years. Last year, Keystone State GOP officials redrew the Congressional boundaries and made Critz’s district more conservative.

This survey marks the second Democratic poll showing Critz ahead since the April primary. The Critz campaign released its own poll from mid-June showing the Congressman with a 10-point lead.

Benenson Strategy Group conducted the House Majority PAC and SEIU poll of 400 likely general election voters from July 9 to 11. The survey had a margin of error of 4.9 points.

Roll Call rates this race as a Tossup.

Comment (1)

  1. Anonymous

    July 17, 2012
    2:43 a.m.

    Correct me if I M wrong here, but the “elusive” CD-12 is also, by definition, a new constituency drawn for the 2012 cycle. Granted, it is not totally new in the manner of SC-07, NV-04, and some others, but nevertheless is not a lineal descendent of any SINGLE current/outgoing seat (i.e. this is a combined seat from portions of current 04 and 12, w/ the remaining bits parcelled out to surrounding seats). As for its outlook, barring an avalanche of pro-Chairman Romney sentiment, with its attendent fondness for offshore tax shelters and whatnot, the locally attuned Critz should hold this quasi-new seat for his party.

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